Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds, Preview and Picks - 05/22/2022

by James Q

Saturday, May 21, 2022

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds, Preview and Picks - 05/22/2022

 
Game Time:  1:35 pm ET, Sunday, May 22nd, 2022 
Venue: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia Pennsylvania
Where to Watch: ESPN+, MLB.TV
Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Dodgers -141, Phillies +120; O/U 10
Caesars: NL
PointsBet: NL
(will update as numbers come in)
 

Season Record

Dodgers: 25-12, 1st place NL West
Phillies: 18-19, 2nd place NL East

A National League matchup of West vs East which is a rerun of the same matchup that happened very recently.  The Dodgers are in first place in the very competitive NL West by two games.  The Phillies are in second place in the NL East but 6 games back of the runaway New York Mets. The Dodgers are a tough team that won 106 games last season and have their sights firmly set on getting back to (and winning) the World Series.  The Phillies are an also-ran team that won 82 games last season and have their sets set on not embarrassing themselves this season.  If all that is true?… Then why did the Phillies beat the Dodgers at Dodgers Stadium 3-1 in a 4 games series just last week?  Was it luck on the Phillies side?... Were the Dodgers despondent having just found out that aging ACE Clayton Kershaw would miss some undetermined time on the IR?  Maybe the Phillies players were invigorated by getting out of Philly and playing in the finest baseball weather known to man? (Chavez Ravine).  All we can do is check the numbers and see if it will happen again now that the series will be given a quick sequel but this time in Philadelphia. 

The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 6 of their last 10 games.  They are on a 5-game winning streak.  They logged 7 Overs, 1 Under, and 2 Push during that span… making betting the Over very lucrative.  The Dodgers Swept the Arizona Diamondbacks 4-0 in a 4-game series, They went 1-3 against THESE Philadelphia Phillies in a 4-game series, and they went 1-1 against the Pittsburgh Pirates during that stretch.  A four game losing streak followed by a 5 games winning streak is not ideal but it does produce more wins than losses.  The Dodgers have the best bats in baseball.. The lineup is littered with murderers.  The Dodgers are contending for the best pitching staff in baseball.  Deep and strong already they are waiting for 3 guys in particular to clear the injury list and rejoin what is already a powerfully deep rotation and bullpen.

The Philadelphia Phillies have also won 6 of their last 10 games.  They went 1-1 against the San Diego Padres, 3-1 against THESE Los Angeles Dodgers, 2-1 against the Seattle Mariners, and 0-1 against the New York Mets during that stretch.  The Phillies are not shrinking violets at the plate by any stretch.  They are hitting the ball well… even though their numbers have shrunk a bit while RF Bryce Harper has been out with elbow soreness.  That elbow soreness has turned out to be a small tear in his UCL… he will not be back soon.  If Harper requires surgery you can write off the Phillies entire season.  The problem with Pilly is their lack of quality pitching… actually the rotation is in the dumps at the moment.  With no Harper that would leave a team with very few strengths to lean on.

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

Offensive Analysis

The Dodgers are 1st in scoring with 5.49 runs per game, 9th in batting average with .245, and 1st in OBP with .331.

The Phillies are 4th in runs per game with 4.91 per game, 2nd in batting average with .319, and 8th in OBP with .319.
 

Defensive Analysis 

The Dodgers are 2nd in team ERA with 2.85, 1st in WHIP with 1.08, and 12th in fielding errors with only 19 on the young season so far.

The Phillies are 23rd in ERA with 4.08, 21st in WHIP with 1.27, and 19th in fielding errors with 21 on the young season so far.
 

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Our prediction for Sunday May 22nd is...  Dodgers 8 - Phillies 1
 
The Dodgers are the right bet.  Every time they play the Phillies.  The homestand begs to differ when the Phillies beat up on the Dodgers… but over a long enough timeline… The Dodgers are the better team who will win more games.
 
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MLB Betting Trends

All 4 games in this matchup have gone Over this season.
Philly is 3-1 (+4.0 Units) against the Dodgers this season.

Key Injuries

Dodgers: SP Clayton Kershaw (elbow) Out ** 

Phillies: RF Bryce Harper (elbow) Quest ** SS Didi Gregorious (knee) Out ** CF Mickey Moniak (hand) Out

Players to Watch 

Dodgers: RHP Tony Gonsolin, 4-0, 1.64 ERA, 30 strikeouts in 33 innings pitched.  1.03 WHIP.

Phillies: RHP Zach Elfin, 1-3, 3.90 ERA, 23 strikeouts in 30 innings pitched.

Gonsolin is an ACE… don’t be fooled the Dodgers have the upper hand.

Starting Lineups 

Dodgers: RF Mookie Betts, 1B Freddie Freeman, SS Trea Turner, C Will Smith, 3B Max Muncy, DH Justin Turner, CF Cody Bellinger, LF Chris Taylor, 2B Gavin Lux

Phillies: 1B Rhys Hoskins, DH Alec Bohm, LF Kyle Schwarber, CF Roman Quinn, RF Nick Castellanos, 2B Jean Segura, LF Odubel Herrara, 3B Johan Carmargo, SS Bryson Stott
 

Managers

Dodgers: Dave Roberts
Phillies: Joe Girardi

Weather Forecast

  Partly Cloudy.  Warm winds blow in at 13 mph under an oppressive 87* with 57% humidity.  A light drizzle may be preferable. 
 


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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