by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jul 16, 2026
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, July 17, 2026
Venue: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch: MLB TV, MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -115, Yankees -105; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -115, Yankees -105; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -115, Yankees -105; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 61-36 (1st place, NL West)
New York Yankees: 54-42 (2nd place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 5-5 last 10
New York Yankees: 6-4 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 61-36 record overall and have a road record of 30-17. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .777 OPS. Emmet Sheehan was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Roki Sasaki is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-5 with a 5.33 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 5 SO on 4 hits through 6 IP against the Colorado Rockies.
The Yankees are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-42 record overall and have a home record of 23-20. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Friday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .741 OPS. Will Warren was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Gerrit Cole is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 3-4 with a 4.04 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 1 walk with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 6.1 innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Dodgers vs Yankees Prediction
The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 54-42 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 23-20 home record this season. Meanwhile, the the Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 61-36 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West with the best record in MLB. They have been a great road team too with their 30-17 road record this year. The Dodgers have been the team to beat all season, but lately they haven't been at their best. They are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and went into the All-Star break getting swept by the Diamondbacks. The Yankees have looked a lot better lately though, now 6-4 in their last 10 games and they went into the break off a sweep of the Nationals. The Dodgers are going with Sasaki in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 3-5 with a 5.33 ERA and the Dodgers have had a ton of issues with him all season. They have won 2 games in a row now with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start and he has been giving up runs like that all year. The Yankees are going with Cole in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 3-4 with a 4.04 ERA and he hasn't been at his best lately. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, but the offense has been getting a lot better lately and Cole is still a really reliable starter that will be looking to bounce back with a better start. This is a great opportunity for the Yankees at home with the Dodgers not at their best lately, so look for the Yankees to take advantage of this pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game.
Dodgers Yankees Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 17, 2026 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 4 Dodgers 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 33-18 (+5.2 units) on the moneyline against AL East opponents. 107-62 (+28.7 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 81-54 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%). 23-17 OVER off a loss to a division rival as a favorite. 53-30 OVER vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game.
New York Yankees: 252-188 (-18.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 124-93 (-27.2 units) on the moneyline in home games. 59-57 (-22.2 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 21-9 OVER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 22-12 OVER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: B. Treinen (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. W. Smith (C) Ten Day IL - Neck. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Snell (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Hernandez (1B) Ten Day IL - Oblique. B. Casparius (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. E. Diaz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Glasnow (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Miller (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
New York Yankees: C. Rodon (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. A. Judge (RF) Ten Day IL - Rib. M. Fried (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. G. Stanton (DH) Ten Day IL - Leg. C. Schmidt (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
"End of the day, we gave away too many bases, we didn’t play good defense, and then situationally, we weren’t good offensively. So you do that, and you lose three." - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Diamondbacks in their game on Sunday.
"There's going to be highs and lows. There's going to be adverse times. We feel like our first real taste of adversity [was] in that 10-game stretch where I think we went 1-9 [from June 25-July 5]. To go onto a road trip and finish this one off 5-2 – kind of staring at that adversity – is a good response.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Nationals in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (Z) DH
Andy Pages (D) CF
Freddie Freeman (Z) 1B
Mookie Betts (D) SS
Tommy Edman (A) 2B
Kyle Tucker (Z) RF
Teoscar Hernández (D) LF
Max Muncy (Z) 3B
Eliezer Alfonzo (A) C
New York Yankees
Trent Grisham (Z) CF
Ben Rice (Z) 1B
Jasson Domínguez (A) DH
Cody Bellinger (Z) LF
Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Z) 2B
José Caballero (D) SS
Ryan McMahon (Z) 3B
Austin Wells (Z) C
Max Schuemann (D) RF
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Enrique Hernández (1.000)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (103)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (22)
RBI: Andy Pages (66)
Stolen Bases: Andy Pages (8)
Wins: Justin Wrobleski (10)
Saves: Tanner Scott (13)
ERA: Shohei Ohtani (1.79)
New York Yankees
Batting Average: Ben Rice (.279)
Hits: Ben Rice (94)
Home Runs: Ben Rice (29)
RBI: Ben Rice (68)
Stolen Bases: Jazz Chisholm (26)
Wins: Cam Schlittler (9)
Saves: David Bednar (18)
ERA: Yovanny Cruz (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (11th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (9th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
