Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 08/30/2022

by James Q

Monday, Aug 29, 2022

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 08/30/2022 

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, August 30th, 2022
Venue: Citi Field, Flushing Meadows, New York
Where to Watch:  TBS, MLB.tv

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings: Moneyline: Dodgers -130, Mets +110; O/U 8.5
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  
PointsBet:  Moneyline: 
 

Season Record

Dodgers: 88-38, 1st place NL West
Mets: 82-47, 1st place NL East

A National League matchup of the real big boys!  A fireworks show of talent.  A game where many of the players will be tipping their caps to the “other” All-Stars they rubbed elbows with in the All-Star game.  A big time, big fun, pissing contest.  The Los Angeles Dodgers are head and shoulders above everyone when it comes to wins… The New York Mets are the closest head and shoulders to the Dodgers mark.  These two teams are separated by 6 wins.  That is it.  Plus the Mets are at home.  So where is the Great Betting Opportunity?... It’s in the pitching, it’s in the numbers, it’s in the weather.  Let’s check all of those and make a prediction that will grow your bankroll!

The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 7 of their last 10 games. All throughout August they have been dominant.  7 out of ten is their low mark for August.  The month does include a 13 game win streak.  They went 2-1 against the Miami Marlins (with one left to play tonight), 2-1 against the Milwaukee Twins, 3-0 against the Miami Marlins, and 0-1 against the Milwaukee Twins.  They have spent the whole ten games playing either Milwaukee or Miami.  The Dodgers got bad news that one of their 3 ACES (most teams don’t have more than one) Tony Gonsolin will go on the injury list with a strained forearm.  Hopefully that is not serious and doesn’t disrupt a potential best win total ever.  The Dodgers have the best hitters in baseball and that will help being down a quality pitcher.

The New York Mets have also won 7 of their last 10 games.  The Mets are having a season boy!  At 82 wins they are completely transforming the perception of the NL East.  The Mets benefit from the addition of Max Scherzer (although he lost his last outing) but the real deal moment… These Mets are top-five to 6 in hitting and top 5 to 6 in pitching.  That is a wonderful story of well-roundedness.  That is a wonderful collection of talent on both sides of the plate… Of Course the Dodgers are #1 in pitching and hitting… but the Mets are tough and at home.  They went 

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets and Analysis

Recent Form

 

Offensive Analysis

The Dodgers are 1st in scoring with 5.45 runs per game, 3rd in batting average with .263, and 1st in OBP with .338

The Mets are 5th in scoring with 4.71 runs per game, 7th in batting average with .257, and 3rd in OBP with .329.

Defensive Analysis

The Dodgers pitchers are 1st in ERA with 2.89, 1st in WHIP with 1.07 (that is a team average!), and the fielders are 8th in errors with 54 on the season so far.

The Mets pitchers are 6th in ERA with 3.55, 5th in WHIP with 1.19, and their fielders are 6th in errors with 57 on the season so far.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Prediction


Our prediction for Tuesday, August 30th is… Dodgers 7 - Mets 2

The Dodgers will roll the Mets in their own house.  The numbers give the Dodgers an advantage everywhere… yes the Mets are at home… but so is my mom.  The Dodgers road record is the same as the Mets home record.  The bet is for the Dodgers on the Moneyline.

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MLB Betting Trends

Key Injuries 

Dodgers: C Austin Barnes (personal) Out ** 3B E. Rios (hammy) Out ** CF K Pillar (shoulder) Out ** 

Mets: 2B L Guillorme (groin) Out ** 

Players to Watch 

Dodgers: LHP Andrew Heaney, 2-1, 1.94 ERA, 62 strikeouts in 41 innings pitched, 1.01 WHIP.  "Heandog" is solid for the Dodgers, but his presence on the mound signals a bullpen game.  They are buying time against a good team before using the top dogs against the bad teams.  At this point of the season it's all about padding the win column.  Why waste an Anderson start?  or a Dustin may start?.. and Gonsolin just hit the IR for 15 days before re-evaluation.  So, it's up to the offense and the bullpen.

Mets: RHP Taijuan Walker, 10-3, 3.38 ERA, 88 strikeouts in 117 innings pitched. 1.20 WHIP.  "Tai Weezy" is a powerful pitcher for the Mets.  Of course his strikeout numbers per inning pitched is low.  Against a line-up like the Dodgers that can be a severe weakness.

Starting Lineups

Dodgers: RF Mookie Betts, SS Trea Turner, 1B Freddie Freeman, C Will Smith, 3B Max Muncy, DH Justin Turner, 2B Gavin Lux, LF Joey Gallo, CF Cody Bellinger

Mets: CF Brandon Nimmo, SS Francisco Flores, 1B Pete Alonso, DH Daniel Vogelbach, 2B Jeff McNeil, LF Mark Canha, RF Tyler Naquin, 3B Brett Baty, C James McCann, 

Manager

Dodgers: Dave “Is this heaven?” Roberts
Mets: Buck “we good now” Showalter

Weather Forecast 

Partly Cloudy, 87*, HUMIDITY 69%, Precipitation 20%, wind 14 mph.  The city is ugly when the humidity gets above 50%.  People don’t know exactly which train to take to get away from the stickiness.  Yuck.  get the pizza.


 


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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