Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Wednesday, August 18th, 2022

Venue: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Where to Watch: MLB.tv

 

DraftKings: Moneyline: Dodgers -115, Brewers -105; O/U 8

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  

PointsBet:  Moneyline: 

 

Dodgers: 80-35, 1st place NL West

Brewers: 62-53, 2nd place NL Central.

This series has been frustrating.  It’s gone 1-1.  An outcome neither team had in mind.  The Dodgers are heavily favored in Game 3 (tonight) and that is where our prediction lands…. But what about Game 4?!!  Won’t they all be tired?... Won’t we see wild familiar play?!!... No, the Dodgers are still the better team by far.

A National League matchup between the best in the National League and the 2nd best in the NL Central (weakest National League division). The Brewers are potentially the team that could finally do it!  No one has beaten the Los Angeles Dodgers in the last 13 games (12, but they play the Royals today and I’m assuming another Dodger win).  The Magic to the streak of course is that the Dodgers have also won every game in the stretch ATS… Only 2 teams have gotten within 3 runs and no one has gotten closer.  The 2nd win against the Royals was Dodgers 13 - Royals 3. The roll this has put me on both with betting games and making predictions is personally historic.  If the Dodgers are able to keep it up I’ll be a rich man and they will set team records across the board.  The Brewers have struggled as of late.  After leading the NL Central for most of the season, the lost that lead to the Cleveland Guardians recently.  That is embarrassing if you have seen the Guardians stats.  Yet, The Brewers still have some bright spots of talent both in the line-up and among the pitching staff.  The right combination on the right night could squeak out a win… Let’s check the numbers and make a solid prediction.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are on fire.  They are a killing machine at the moment better than Shwarzeneggar in any Terminator movie.  Had the Dodgers been the Terminator… Sarah Connor would have been dead in the first 3 minutes of the first movie.  They have won 10 of their last ten games and are coasting into a 13 game win streak.  The top of the line-up has an order of 1) Mookie Betts, 2) Trea Turner, and 3) Freddie Freeman… Three of the top-15 batters in all of baseball… Those guys are filled by 3 legitimate power hitters in Will Smith, Justin Turner, and Max Muncy… batting 9th for the Dodgers is former league MVP Cody Bellinger… seriously batting 9th for the Dodgers is a recent league MVP. And the line-up is ALMOST as impressive as the pitching staff.  They went 2-0 against the Kansas City Royals, SWEPT the Minnesota Twins 2-0, SWEPT the San Diego Padres 3-0, and SWEPT the San Francisco Giants 3-0 (as part of a bigger 4-0 SWEEP) during that stretch of games.  No one is hotter than the Dodgers.

The Milwaukee Brewer are not on fire.  They have only won 4 of their last 10 games. They have an above average pitching staff but just barely… and they have an above average line-up but just barely.  They went 1-1 against the St Louis Cardinals, 2-0 against the Tampa Bay Rays, 1-2 against the Cincinnati Reds, and 0-3 against the Pittsburgh Pirates.  The Pirates losses are especially bad, but at the time the Brewers had an injury list that was pretty full.  They have since gotten a few guys back.  To beat the Dodgers they will have to capitalize off of a bad Dodger game or have a pretty great game themselves… possibly both at the same time.

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The Dodgers are 1st in scoring with 5.45 runs per game, 3rd in batting average with .263, and 1st in OBP with .338

The Brewers are 8th in scoring with 4.58 runs per game, 20th in batting average with .239, and 8th in OBP with .320

The Dodgers pitchers are 1st in ERA with 2.89, 1st in WHIP with 1.07 (that is a team average!), and the fielders are 9th in errors with 54 on the season so far.

The Brewers pitchers are 12th in ERA with 3.81, and 12th in WHIP with 1.24, and the fielders are 16th in errors with 62 in the season so far.

Our prediction for Thursday, August 18th is… Dodgers 6 - Brewers 2

Bet on the Dodgers on  the moneyline.  They have been winning in long stretches after every loss this season.  Plus you get really good return on this moneyline.

  

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The Dodgers are 6-3 against Milwaukee the last 3 seasons (+1.9 UNITS).

The Brewers are 3-1 against the Dodgers at Milwaukee the last 3 seasons.

The average total in all 9 games over the last 3 seasons was 7.8.

Dodgers: C Austin Barnes (personal) Out ** 3B E. Rios (hammy) Out ** CF K Pillar (shoulder) Out ** 

Brewers: C O. Narvaez (quad) Out ** 2B J. Peterson (elbow) Out 

Dodgers: LHP Andrew Heaney, 1-0, 1.16 ERA, 42 strikeouts in 31 innings pitched.  1.00 WHIP.  The Dodgers have been playing Heaney a lot lately with an idea toward giving him lots of exposure.  Heaney will definitely be in the trade for Ohtani along with several minor leaguers and Justin Turner or Max Muncy.  For now he has great numbers on a limited sample.

Brewers: RHP Corbin Burnes, 8-5, 2.39 ERA, 181 strikeouts in 143 innings pitched.  0.92 WHIP.  Burnes is one of the best the Brewers have to offer.  Great numbers and sick tools.  He won’t last too long against the Dodger lineup.

Dodgers: RF Mookie Betts, SS Trea Turner, 1B Freddie Freeman, C Will Smith, 3B Max Muncy, DH Justin Turner, 2B Gavin Lux, LF Joey Gallo, CF Cody Bellinger

Brewers: LF Christian Yelich, SS Willy Adames, DH Andrew McCitchen, 3B Mike Brousseau, RF Hunter Renfroe, 1B Rowdy Tellez, 2B Luis Urias, C Victor Caratini, CF Tyronne Taylor

Dodgers: Dave “Is this heaven?” Roberts

Brewers: Craig “ nah… it’s Milwaukee” Counsell

Partly Cloudy, 74*, Humidity 65%, wind 11 mph, Precipitation 10%.  The weather will be mild as mild gets.  A nice night to play a little ball.  The humidity will knock pop-ups short… but that shouldn’t bother anyone.  Get some brats and enjoy the game.