Game Time:  8:40 PM ET, Tuesday, June 28th,  2022 

Venue: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado

Where to Watch: MLB.tv

DraftKings: Moneyline: Dodgers -213, Rockies +185; O/U 11.5

FanDuel: Moneyline:  

PointsBet: Moneyline: 

Opening Lines: 

Dodgers: 45-26; 1st place NL West

Rockies: 31-42; 5th place NL West (last place)

Sunday night brought us another Dodgers win and another Rockies loss… against separate teams.  They face off in Colorado for a Rockies homestand Monday night.  That prediction is already out.  (I predicted a Dodger win and an OVER).  This prediction covers Game 2 of the series which will of course be played Tuesday night.  It isn’t going to change a heck of a lot.  The Dodgers still are great on both offense and the mound… while the Rockies are pretty good on offense and a raging dumpster fire on the mound.

A National League matchup between the best and worst teams in the NL.  The Dodgers are a winning machine with a great offense and a great group of pitchers.  They were built to win and the mission experiences pure failure every time someone else wins a World Series.  The Los Angeles Franchise is pot committed… They pay big bucks for the top talent and keep doing it if the next guy will get them to a higher level.  Several recent former Dodgers (like Joc Pederson) have gone from 7th in a Dodger line-up to the best hitter on another team.  The Dodger bullpen is loaded with guys who would be starting pitchers for 90% of the other teams in the league, that reality is pricey… but it is their reality.  The Colorado Rockies have been National League doormats for a long, long time. Entire decades pass by without a peep from the Rockies in the postseason. The Rockies tend to excel in one thing while being substandard in everything else… This season the Rockies excel at batting average where they are 3rd in the league with an OBP that is 6th in the league!  They are good at the plate… but they have terrible pitching.  They are bottom 5 in every statistical pitching category I can find… even the obscure ones.  The biggest star on the Rockies is LF power hitter Khris Bryant… He is recognizable because he played a key role on the Cubs and the Giants during better years… At this moment and for this game… Khris is out with injury until late July.  

The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 7 of their last 10 games.  Pitchers Julio Urias, Tyler Anderson, and Tony Gonsolin have all gotten two wins during the stretch while Dodger Legend Clayton Kershaw has been working his way back from injury and won HIS last game.  The team logged 4 Overs, 5 unders, and a Push during the stretch. They went 1-1 against the Atlanta Braves in a return to Atlanta for World Series Champ (with Atlanta) Freddie Freeman, 3-0 against the Cincinnati Reds, 1-2 against the Cleveland Guardians (not Braves.. Guardians), and 2-0 against The Los Angeles Angels.  The Dodgers have gotten into an odd groove this season where they destroy bad teams, but falter a bit versus good teams.  That does not bode well for the playoffs… but considering the Dodgers have major injury issues to their starting rotation of pitchers and even now to Mookie Betts… They may be an even better team come postseason time.  And if not they will spend the offseason trading a few guys and signing whoever is the obvious best free agent in baseball… They do it every year.

The Colorado Rockies have won 4 of their last 10 games.  RHP German Marquez has been their only two game winner during the stretch… Rockies’ RHP Chad Kuhl who is statistically the best winner of the season lost both of his games.  The team logged 3 Overs, 6 Unders, and a Push.  They went 1-1 against the Minnesota Twins, 0-3 against the Miami Marlins, 3-0 against the San Diego Padres (while doing the ultimate bizarre favor for the Dodgers, the Rockies have had the NL West’s 2nd place Padres team’s number this season… oddly), and 0-2 against the Cleveland Guardians.  The Rockies are a bad formula of good offense plus bad defense… They are rivaled in the NBA this season by the Charlotte Hornets… big scoring games with lots of losses.  The good part of having this identity is that they are assured of simply going after pitching at the trade deadline and the offseason… as a sure way to get better… but will they do it right?

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The Dodgers are 1st in scoring with 5.13 runs per game, 6th in batting average with .253, and 1st in OBP with .331.

The Rockies are 12th in scoring with 4.59 runs per game, 1st in batting average with .262, 4th in OBP with .325.

The Dodgers pitching is 1st in ERA with .294, 2nd in WHIP with 1.08, and the fielders are 11 th in errors with 36 on the season so far.  

The Rockies pitching is 27th in ERA with 4.96, 28th in WHIP with 1.45, and 30th (last) in errors with 57 on the season so far.

Our prediction for Tuesday June 28th is…  Dodgers 10 - Rockies 3

Yet another prediction for the Rockies to win with an Over. If you look at the money line it might be disheartening to lay money down on a -213 return… so you may be tempted to bet with the point spread … which is not a bad idea as at the moment that is set with the Dodgers -1.5…. 1 believe both plays are free money… Typically in baseball I avoid the point spread because of the frequency of walk-off hits winning the game and robbing your chance to beat the spread… but in this case I see the Dodgers finishing with a big lead.    A fun thing to do would be to parlay a Dodgers win on the Money-line with a Dodgers win ATS, and the Over.  I also don’t typically parlay 3 bets… but again, IT LOOKS LIKE FREE MONEY!

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The Dodgers are 213-110 in all games the last 3 seasons.

The Dodgers are 44-21 as a road favorite of -175 or more the last 3 seasons.

Colorado is 30-76 as an underdog of +150 or more the last 3 seasons.

Dodgers: 3B E. Rios (hamstring) Out ** RF Mookie Betts (Ribs) Out ** K. Pillar (shoulder) Out ** 

Colorado: LF Kris Bryant (back) Out ** 

Dodgers: LHP Clayton Kershaw, 5-1, 2.00 ERA, 47 strikeouts in 45 innings pitched.  0.91 WHIP The 34 year old Kershaw is truly an ageless wonder.  Yes, he missed some time with injury both last season and now this season… but he has returned to form and is putting up some amazing numbers (once again).  The pride of Highland Park Texas has plenty of gas left in the tank!

Rockies: LHP Kyle Freeland, 3-5, 4.29 ERA, 53 strikeouts in 79 innings pitched.  1.37 WHIP.  This 29 year old is going up against a legend with a career record slightly below .500 and a current season stats that look like a regression.  He’s a good kid with middle of the road talent that will need lots of tools and tricks to go right in order to get past the best scoring team in MLB.  

Dodgers: SS Trea Turner, 1B Freddie Freeman, DH Will Smith, LF Chris Taylor, 3B Justin Turner, RF Trayce Thompson, 2B Hanser Alberto, CF Cody Bellinger, C Austin Barnes

Rockies: RF Connor Joe, CF Yonathan Daza, DH CJ Cron, 2B Brendan Rodgers, 3B Ryan McMahon, SS Jose Iglesias, C Elias Diaz, 1B Elet\huris Montero, LF Sean Bouchard

Dodgers: Dave Roberts

Rockies: Bud Black

 

Tuesday will be mostly sunny high up in the mountains… high temperatures of 91*, Humidity at 16% , and winds at 9mph.  It will of course cool off a bit by gametime and sundown.  Denver is a city with a beautiful, awe inspiring mountain backdrop…. And the slight smell of sweet skunk in the air.  Beware of Moose…. Or is it Elk?... I dunno… huh?