by Rod Pearson
Monday, Aug 21, 2023
Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Tuesday, August 21, 2023
Venue: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: BSGL
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -198, Guardians +164; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -198, Guardians +164; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -198, Guardians +164; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 76-47 (1st place, NL West)
Cleveland Guardians: 59-66 (2nd place, AL Central)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 9-1 last 10
Cleveland Guardians: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 76-47 record overall and have a road record of 33-26. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .791 OPS. Julio Urías was their starting pitcher on Saturday in game 2 of their double-header while rookie pitcher Bobby Miller is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-2 with a 3.70 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 4 Ks on 1 hit through 6 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
The Guardians are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 4-game series against the Detroit Tigers 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-66 record overall and have a home record of 32-31. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Tuesday and they have Monday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Logan Allen was their starting pitcher on Sunday while Noah Syndergaard is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 2-6 with a 6.57 ERA this season. His team lost 7 of their last 8 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 2 BB with 3 strikeouts on 8 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Cincinnati Reds.
Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have been rolling in their games lately as they have taken control of the NL West with the best record and are now running away with the division. They have one of the best offenses in the MLB and have been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately too. They did lose 1 game in their series over the weekend but they have still been so hot and they are going to have their rookie Miller on the mound here who has been pitching a lot better in his starts lately. The Guardians haven't been playing well lately as they have slipped back under .500 on the season and also have one of the worst offenses in the MLB that will not be able to compete with the Dodgers here. They also have Syndergaard starting here who the Dodgers traded away earlier this season and for good reason since he hasn't pitched well all year and the Dodgers will be sure to get after him for some runs with how hot they have been lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game and on the runline.
Dodgers Guardians Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 21, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 7 Guardians 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 76-47 (+8.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 55-29 (+15.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 18-9 UNDER after 7 or more consecutive home games. 17-9 UNDER after allowing 1 run or less.
Cleveland Guardians: 59-66 (-17.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-36 (-14.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8.5 to 10. 43-19 UNDER in home games. 13-6 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: J. Heyward (CF) Ques Tues - Hip. T. Gonsolin (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Marisnick (CF) Mid Sept - Hamstring. J. Kelly (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. Y. Almonte (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Cyr (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Miller (RP) Late Aug - Neck. D. Hudson (RP) Early Sept - Knee. J. Deluca (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Cleveland Guardians: M. Kelly (SP) Early Sept - Back. C. Gallagher (C) Out indefinitely - Concussion. C. Quantrill (SP) Late Aug - Shoulder. D. Fry (1B) Late Aug - Hamstring. J. Naylor (1B) Late Sept - Oblique. S. Bieber (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow. T. McKenzie (SP) Mid Sept - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“He was awesome. The energy tonight, he responded. The City Connect jerseys. LeBron in the house. Crowd really energetic and he just fed off it. Tonight it was the Mookie and Julio show.” - Dave Roberts on Julio Urias after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Saturday.
“It's not a great recipe for success. I'll tell you that. It's a hard way to play, especially when runs are hard to come by for us.” - Terry Francona after his team’s loss against the Tigers in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) RF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
Amed Rosario (R) 2B
Chris Taylor (R) LF
James Outman (L) CF
Enrique Hernandez (R) 3B
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Jose Ramirez (S) DH
Oscar Gonzalez (R) RF
Ramon Laureano (R) CF
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Tyler Freeman (R) 3B
Gabriel Arias (R) 1B
Zack Collins (L) C
Brayan Rocchio (S) SS
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Jake Marisnick (.400)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (162)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (34)
RBI: Mookie Betts (86)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (16)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (11)
Saves: Evan Phillips (19)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average: Zack Collins (.500)
Hits: Steven Kwan (134)
Home Runs: Jose Ramirez (18)
RBI: Josh Naylor (79)
Stolen Bases: Andres Gimenez (20)
Wins: Tanner Bibee (9)
Saves: Emmanuel Clase (33)
ERA: Konnor Pilkington (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (11th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
