by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jul 18, 2023
Game Time: 1:05 pm ET, Wednesday, July 19, 2023
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -145, Orioles +125; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -145, Orioles +125; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -145, Orioles +125; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 54-39 (1st place, NL West)
Baltimore Orioles: 57-36 (2nd place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 8-2 last 10
Baltimore Orioles: 8-2 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off of a loss but won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-39 record overall and have a road record of 25-23. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also won the series opener of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .782 OPS. Michael Grove is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Julio Urías is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 7-5 with a 4.35 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 Ks on 1 hit through 6 IP against the New York Mets.
The Orioles are entering this series on an 8 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-36 record overall and have a home record of 29-19. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Wednesday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Tyler Wells is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Dean Kremer is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 10-4 with a 4.59 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 8 strikeouts on 2 hits through 6 innings played against the Miami Marlins.
Dodgers vs Orioles Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have been rolling lately with one of the best offenses in the MLB but they are finally starting to surge again as they have taken over the lead in the NL West. The Orioles have also been having a great season with their record and their offense but the Dodgers have had a much stronger offense all season and their pitching has also been a lot better with the Orioles bullpen struggling late in games at times. The Dodgers are now over .500 in their road games this season too and their offense has been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately. The Orioles do have Kremer starting here who is coming off a good start in his last one, but he hasn't been great in most of his starts this season and he usually gives up a few runs in each of his starts. He will get himself into trouble here with the way the Dodgers offense has been putting up runs lately. The Dodgers also have a solid starter in Urias on the mound here. Urias hasn't been great this season but he hasn't been giving up as many runs in his starts lately as he has been pitching a lot better and he is also a starter who has been really consistent for the Dodgers over the last few seasons. With him starting to pitch a lot better now and the Dodgers offense starting to roll again, the Dodgers are getting ready to go on a big run and won't be stopped easily. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Dodgers Orioles Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 19, 2023 (1:05 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 6 Orioles 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 10-15 (-14.1 units) on the moneyline as a road favorite of -125 or more. 8-12 (-8.4 units) on the moneyline on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. 29-17 OVER in road games. 12-6 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Baltimore Orioles: 57-36 (+22.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 21-10 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 27-17 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher. DEAN KREMER is 9-1 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: S. Miller (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. C. Kershaw (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. D. Hudson (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Pepiot (SP) Late July - Oblique. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Thompson (LF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. N. Syndergaard (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Cyr (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Baltimore Orioles: C. Mullins (CF) Ques Tues - Quadricep. A. Voth (SP) Late July - Elbow. C. Perez (RP) Late July - Forearm. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“He threw me a bunch in a row and I was able to get to that one. You can't cheat to it, because he's got slider and changeup as well. So you really are just trying to touch it. I think I was just able to kind of make the adjustment as he kept throwing them." - Chris Taylor after their win against the Orioles in their game on Monday.
“It probably could have been in a better spot. Just a little bit too far out over to give him time to get to it.” - Bryan Baker after their loss against the LA Dodgers in their game on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Max Muncy (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
David Peralta (L) LF
Jason Heyward (L) RF
Chris Taylor (R) SS
James Outman (L) CF
Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Aaron Hicks (S) CF
Colton Cowser (L) LF
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.318)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (118)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (27)
RBI: Mookie Betts (65)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (12)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (12)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average: Austin Hays (.309)
Hits: Austin Hays (94)
Home Runs: Anthony Santander (17)
RBI: Anthony Santander (54)
Stolen Bases: Jorge Mateo (22)
Wins: Dean Kremer (10)
Saves: Felix Bautista (25)
ERA: Chris Vallimont (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
