by Rod Pearson
Monday, Jul 17, 2023
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, July 18, 2023
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch: TBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +100, Orioles -120; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +100, Orioles -120; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers +100, Orioles -120; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 53-39 (1st place, NL West)
Baltimore Orioles: 57-35 (2nd place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
Baltimore Orioles: 8-2 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series off of a loss but won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-39 record overall and have a road record of 24-23. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .780 OPS. Rookie pitcher Emmet Sheehan is their starting pitcher on Monday while Michael Grove is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-2 with a 6.89 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Los Angeles Angels.
The Orioles are entering this series on an 8 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-35 record overall and have a home record of 29-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .749 OPS. Rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez is their starting pitcher on Monday while Tyler Wells is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 7-4 with a 3.18 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.
Dodgers vs Orioles Prediction
The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have been rolling in their games lately as they are now in 1st place of the NL West but their pitching has been bad all season and they will get into trouble here since the Orioles have also been rolling with a great offense this season. The Orioles were starting to get hot again going into the All-Star break and they came out hot with a series sweep over the weekend. Their offense will be able to match whatever the Dodgers do here since the Dodgers have been much worse in their road games this season and the Orioles also have a much better pitching matchup. The Orioles are starting Wells in this game and he has been a consistent starter for them this year. He doesn't give up many runs in his starts and he has pitched a lot better in his home starts too. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have Grove starting in this game and he has been a disaster on the mound, giving up a ton of runs in a majority of his starts this season. The Orioles offense has been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately and they will take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get with Grove on the mound. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game.
Dodgers Orioles Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 18, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Orioles 6 Dodgers 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 15-16 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 24-23 (-6.6 units) on the moneyline in road games. 28-17 OVER in road games. 11-6 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Baltimore Orioles: 57-35 (+23.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 36-25 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 21-14 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125. TYLER WELLS is 9-4 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: S. Miller (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. C. Kershaw (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. D. Hudson (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Pepiot (SP) Late July - Oblique. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Thompson (LF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. N. Syndergaard (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Cyr (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Baltimore Orioles: C. Mullins (CF) Ques Mon - Quadricep. A. Hicks (CF) Ques Mon - Back. A. Voth (SP) Late July - Elbow. C. Perez (RP) Late July - Forearm. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“He was up there clearly to bunt, got behind and we were in, but I think even if we’re back, we’re not on the line and I think regardless, it’s a hit." - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Sunday.
“That's not the guy you want to see come up with a runner in scoring position. That was a little too dicey there at the end." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Max Muncy (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
David Peralta (L) LF
Jason Heyward (L) RF
James Outman (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Austin Barnes (R) C
Baltimore Orioles
Gunnar Henderson (L) SS
Adley Rutschman (S) DH
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Colton Cowser (L) CF
Adam Frazier (L) 2B
James McCann (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.314)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (115)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (27)
RBI: Mookie Betts (65)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (12)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (12)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average: Austin Hays (.310)
Hits: Austin Hays (93)
Home Runs: Anthony Santander (17)
RBI: Anthony Santander (54)
Stolen Bases: Jorge Mateo (22)
Wins: Dean Kremer (10)
Saves: Felix Bautista (25)
ERA: Chris Vallimont (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
