by Rod Pearson
Sunday, Jul 16, 2023
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Monday, July 17, 2023
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -115, Orioles -105; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -115, Orioles -105; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -115, Orioles -105; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 53-38 (1st place, NL West)
Baltimore Orioles: 56-35 (2nd place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
Baltimore Orioles: 8-2 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers entered their last series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Los Angeles Angels. They enter this game with a 53-38 record overall and have a road record of 24-22. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Orioles on Monday with the series finale of their series against the New York Mets still to be played on Sunday. They also won the series opener and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .786 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bobby Miller is their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Emmet Sheehan is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 2-0 with a 4.35 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 1 HR, and 4 BB with 4 Ks on 4 hits through 3.2 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Orioles entered their last series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins. They enter this game with a 56-35 record overall and have a home record of 28-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Monday with the 3rd game of their series against the Miami Marlins still to be played on Sunday. They also won the 1st game and the 2nd game of that series on Friday and Saturday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Kyle Bradish is their starting pitcher on Sunday while rookie pitcher Grayson Rodriguez is making his start in this game on Monday. He is 2-2 with a 7.35 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 8 earned runs, 3 homers, and 3 BB with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits through 3.1 innings played against the Texas Rangers.
Dodgers vs Orioles Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have been getting hot in their games lately as they now have the 1st place spot in the NL West and they will be looking to keep that lead now that they are starting to roll. They have had one of the best offenses in the MLB all season and they have been rolling in their games lately putting up a ton of runs. The Orioles have also had a good offense but their pitching hasn't been good for most of the season and they will have a tough time keeping one of the best offenses in the league from putting up runs here when they have been so hot lately. The Orioles also have Rodriguez starting here and he has been having a terrible year giving up a ton of runs in his starts. He gave up 8 runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him but he has also missed a lot of time due to an injury and will be making his 1st start back in a while here. The Dodgers are going to get after him in this game and they also have their rookie Sheehan on the mound who has been pitching really well in most of his starts. The Dodgers not only have the better pitching matchup here but they also have the better offense and they are going to keep rolling in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Dodgers Orioles Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Monday, July 17, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 7 Orioles 4.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 15-16 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 9 to 9.5. 17-16 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline as a road favorite of -110 or higher. 21-11 OVER as a road favorite of -110 or higher. 11-6 OVER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Baltimore Orioles: 56-35 (+22.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 36-25 (+12.8 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 26-17 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher. GRAYSON RODRIGUEZ is 7-3 OVER in all games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: S. Miller (RP) Out indefinitely - Neck. C. Kershaw (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. D. Hudson (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Pepiot (SP) Late July - Oblique. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Thompson (LF) Early Aug - Oblique. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. N. Syndergaard (SP) Out indefinitely - Finger. T. Cyr (RP) Late July - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Baltimore Orioles: C. Mullins (CF) Ques Sun - Quadricep. A. Voth (SP) Late July - Elbow. C. Perez (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. M. Givens (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. K. Akin (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. D. Tate (RP) Early Aug - Forearm. J. Means (SP) Mid Aug - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“I think this lineup top to bottom, they all swing it really well. And I think it was just a matter of time before we started clicking and started rolling.” - Tony Gonsolin after their win against the Mets in their game on Saturday.
“We just have a lot of options. When you have five guys on the bench and you have multiple switch-hitters and you have right-left situations, I have way more options than I've ever had before.” - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Max Muncy (L) 3B
J.D. Martinez (R) DH
David Peralta (L) LF
Jason Heyward (L) RF
James Outman (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Baltimore Orioles
Austin Hays (R) LF
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Anthony Santander (S) 1B
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Aaron Hicks (S) RF
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Jordan Westburg (R) 2B
Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Freddie Freeman (.317)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (115)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (27)
RBI: Mookie Betts (64)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (12)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (12)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average: Austin Hays (.311)
Hits: Austin Hays (92)
Home Runs: Anthony Santander (16)
RBI: Anthony Santander (52)
Stolen Bases: Jorge Mateo (22)
Wins: Dean Kremer (10)
Saves: Felix Bautista (25)
ERA: Chris Vallimont (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
