by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Aug 08, 2023
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Wednesday, August 9, 2023
Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Where to Watch: ARID
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -125, D-Backs +105; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -125, D-Backs +105; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Dodgers -125, D-Backs +105; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Dodgers: 65-46 (1st place, NL West)
Arizona Diamondbacks: 57-56 (3rd place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Dodgers: 7-3 last 10
Arizona Diamondbacks: 2-8 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Preview and Analysis
The Dodgers are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 4-game series against the San Diego Padres 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 65-46 record overall and have a road record of 31-26. This is the series finale of a 2-game series with the Diamondbacks on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .798 OPS. Julio Urías is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while rookie pitcher Bobby Miller is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-2 with a 4.26 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 6 hits through 3.2 IP against the San Diego Padres.
The Diamondbacks are entering this series on a 6 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Minnesota Twins in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-56 record overall and have a home record of 28-28. This is the 2nd game of a 2-game series with the Dodgers on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .743 OPS. Rookie pitcher Brandon Pfaadt is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Merrill Kelly is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-5 with a 3.21 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 BB with 9 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Minnesota Twins.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have been rolling in their games lately with one of the best offenses in the entire MLB and they now have the lead in the NL West too. They will be looking to pull away even more in this series since the Diamondbacks have been terrible lately, once in 1st place of this division a few weeks ago but now in 3rd place as they have slipped back to .500. Their offense hasn't been great in their games lately either and their pitching has been questionable all season so the Dodgers are going to take advantage of any scoring opportunities they get with how hot they have been. They also have rookie Miller on the mound here and he hasn't been bad in his starts lately, not giving up many runs at all. The Diamondbacks are also going to have a solid starter on the mound here with Kelly starting in this game and he has been great all year, not giving up many runs in his starts lately either, but he is still facing one of the best offenses in the MLB here and the Dodgers will find ways to bring in their baserunners here as they continue to generate a ton of scoring opportunities in their games. The Diamondbacks offense hasn't been as good lately so even if Kelly pitches a great game here he won't have too much run support and the Dodgers will edge them out. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Dodgers Diamondbacks Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 9, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 7 Diamondbacks 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Dodgers: 32-19 (+7.6 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 49-28 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 11-1 UNDER revenging a 3 game sweep, beaten by 3+ runs in each game.
Arizona Diamondbacks: 22-28 (-6.2 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 69-115 (-23.3 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 29-17 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125. 25-15 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers: C. Kershaw (SP) Prob Thurs - Shoulder. M. Grove (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Miller (RP) Late Aug - Neck. T. Cyr (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. D. Hudson (RP) Early Sept - Knee. J. Deluca (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Marisnick (CF) Mid Aug - Hamstring. D. May (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Reyes (SP) out for season - Shoulder. J. Feyereisen (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Buehler (SP) Early Sept - Elbow. G. Lux (2B) out for season - Knee. B. Treinen (RP) Early Sept - Shoulder.
Arizona Diamondbacks: K. Marte (2B) Ques Tues - Quadricep. Z. Davies (SP) Mid Aug - Back. G. Moreno (C) Late Aug - Shoulder. E. Longoria (3B) Out indefinitely - Back. A. Adams (RP) out for season - Ankle. M. Melancon (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. T. Henry (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Jameson (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. C. Martin (SP) out for season - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“We just don't give up. Got to play all nine innings, no matter what. We've been around for a while, a lot of us have, and the young guys are taking to it. We have fun playing the game.” - Mookie Betts after their win against the Padres in their game on Monday.
“We talked about creating a little bit of energy on the bases. We’ve been talking about that for a while and it showed up today. You’re advancing 90 feet and in several cases you’re advancing two players 90 feet. We just couldn’t capitalize. We put ourselves in a really good position. I can’t explain it.” - Torey Lovullo after his team’s loss against the Twins in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Dodgers
Mookie Betts (R) 2B
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Will Smith (R) C
Max Muncy (L) DH
David Peralta (L) LF
Jason Heyward (L) RF
Enrique Hernandez (R) 3B
James Outman (L) CF
Miguel Rojas (R) SS
Arizona Diamondbacks
Ketel Marte (S) 2B
Corbin Carroll (L) CF
Tommy Pham (R) DH
Christian Walker (R) 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B
Jake McCarthy (L) RF
Nick Ahmed (R) SS
Carson Kelly (R) C
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Jake Marisnick (.400)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (151)
Home Runs: Mookie Betts (31)
RBI: Freddie Freeman (80)
Stolen Bases: Freddie Freeman (16)
Wins: Clayton Kershaw (10)
Saves: Evan Phillips (14)
ERA: Tyler Cyr (0.00)
Arizona Diamondbacks
Batting Average: Dominic Fletcher (.301)
Hits: Ketel Marte (115)
Home Runs: Christian Walker (23)
RBI: Christian Walker (69)
Stolen Bases: Corbin Carroll (36)
Wins: Zac Gallen (11)
Saves: Scott McGough (9)
ERA: Kevin Ginkel (2.08)
Managers:
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (8th season)
Arizona Diamondbacks: Torey Lovullo (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
