Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/13/2022

Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Tuesday, September 13th, 2022

Venue: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona

Where to Watch: MLB.tv, 

DraftKings: Moneyline: Dodgers -200, D-Backs +170; O/U 8 

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  

PointsBet:  Moneyline: 

 

Dodgers: 96-43, 1st place NL West

D-Backs: 66-73, 4th place NL West

Game 2 of this series will go off Tuesday night.  This prediction focuses on that game.

A Nationals League matchup between the best in the National League West… and the league… and the 4th place NL West team that has been a perennial doormat for as long as most fans can remember.  The odger4s are a tough ask for any team in the MLB.  They are #1 in every statistical batting category of note… and #1 in every statistical pitching category of note.  The Boys in Blue are beginning to feel like a team of destiny.  The Arizona Diamondbacks are not top ten in any of those statistical categories offense or defense… In fact the ONLY category the D-backs are better than 20th is in runs scored… where they are 13th… of course that can be chopped up to the fact that the majority of their games are played against the Col;orado Rockies, the San Diego Padres, and the San Francisco Giants… all teams that are struggling mightily with pitching this season.  That fact does cast a bit of shade on the Dodgers numbers since they play all the same teams,  Still it is hard to ignore that the Dodgers first three batters in any given game are future HOF’ers in their prime.  After the first three in the lineup the Dodgers are stacked with home run hitters.  They will eat most teams alive on most nights.  Let’s find the Great Betting opportunity here in the pitching matchup.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have won only 5 of their last 10 games AFTER having the most dominant August in recent memory for anyone.  The faltering started with some losses to the New York Mets… then they lost 1 to the Padres out of 3 and 1 to the Giants out of 3… which dropped them immediately back into another series with the Padres where they lost the first game.  It has been rough.  To add pressure to this situation full-fledged Dodger ACE Tony Gonsolin hit the injury list right before the losing started… that led to an experimentation phase in the pitching rotation.  The Dodgers are looking for a few young guys to show that they are playoff ready “if needed”... Tony will be back soon, but they still had to experiment.  They went 1-1 against the San Diego Padres, 2-1 against the San Francisco Giants, 2-1 against the San Diego Padres, and 0-2 against the New York Mets during that span.  The Mets losses are seriously the most troubling since that is really the only team the Dodgers have to worry about come playoff time.  Lots of season left though.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have won only 4 of their last ten games.  That directly correlates to their 65-73 record.  They lose more than they win and they have for years.  The bad stats declare that this team will not be in the postseason discussion at all. With 24 games to play and lodged at 8 games below .500… They are against mathematical elimination… NOW.  A 20 game win streak would not help unless it became a 24 game win streak.  Diamondback players are used to playing in anonymity since the world has not heard of Christian Walker (32 home runs) or Stone Garrett (Stone has only played briefly but is hitting .424 over 10 games).  They went 0-2 against the Colorado Rockies, 1-2 against the San Diego Padres, 3-1 against the Milwaukee Brewers, and 0-1 against the Philadelphia in an 18-12 loss in what might have been the MOST little league game played in the majors this year.

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The Dodgers are 1st in scoring with 5.45 runs per game, 3rd in batting average with .263, and 1st in OBP with .338

The D-Backs are 13th in scoring with 4.45 runs per game, 24th in batting average with .232, and 21st in OBP with .309.

The Dodgers pitchers are 1st in ERA with 2.89, 1st in WHIP with 1.07 (that is a team average!), and the fielders are 8th in errors with 54 on the season so far.

The D-Backs pitchers are 22nd in team ERA with 4.27, 20th in WHIP with 1.29, and the fielders are 18th in errors with 76 on the season so far.

 

Our prediction for Tuesday, September 13th is… Dodgers 6 - D-Backs 3

Yes, against the bet os for the Dodgers on the moneyline.  The D-Backs deliberately held back their best starter so as to not face Tim Anderson… That has never worked against the best hitting team in baseball.

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Dodgers: C Austin Barnes (personal) Out ** 3B E. Rios (hammy) Out ** CF K Pillar (shoulder) Out ** 

D-Backs: SS N Ahmed (shoulder) Out ** 

Dodgers: LHP Clayton Kershaw, 7-3, 2.62 ERA, 102 strikeouts in 96 innings pitched. 0.97 WHIP.  Aged like fine wine, Clayton has been is still and will be a Dodger ACE as long as that WHIP keeps representing the talent (and it is)..

Diamondbacks: RHP Merrill Kelly, 12-5, 2.94 ERA, 147 strikeouts in 172 innings pitched. 1.08 WHIP. The best Chris Elliot impersonator on the planet… will again throw quality stuff.  Will he get any run support?

Dodgers: RF Mookie Betts, SS Trea Turner, 1B Freddie Freeman, C Will Smith, 3B Max Muncy, DH Justin Turner, 2B Gavin Lux, LF Joey Gallo, CF Cody Bellinger

D-Backs: RF Daulton Varsho, CF Alek Thomas, LF Jake McCarthy, 1B Christian Walker, DH Ketel Marte, 3B Emmanuel Riveraz, 2B Wilmer Difo, C Cooper Hummel, SS Geraldo Perdomo

Dodgers: Dave “Is this heaven?” Roberts

D-Backs: Torey “this is fun” Lovullo

Partly Cloudy.  99*... Phoenix is hot and dry…hot and dry… hot and dry.  When it is partly cloudy they get the privilege of being a degree below 100.  The wind is 10 mph… and although light that will feel a bit like a sand blaster.