Los Angeles Clippers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/04/2024

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Mar 03, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Monday, March 4, 2024
Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch:  NBA TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Clippers +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  230 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Clippers +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  230 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Clippers +4.5, Bucks -4.5; Over/Under:  230.5 points

Season Record

Los Angeles Clippers:  39-20 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Milwaukee Bucks:  40-21 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Los Angeles Clippers:  5-5 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10


Los Angeles Clippers vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis


The Clippers are entering this game with a 39-20 record overall and they are 18-12 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards and the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Kawhi Leonard led the team in points in that game with 32 while Norman Powell was next on the team with 24 points. James Harden led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Daniel Theis led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 37.6% from the field, 29.4% from 3-point range, and 88.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.5 PPG against them. The Clippers have an ATS record of 31-28 this season and their O/U record is 23-34-2.



The Bucks are entering this game with a 40-21 record overall and they are 24-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Philadelphia 76ers, the Charlotte Hornets twice in a row, and the Chicago Bulls in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 46 while Damian Lillard was next on the team with 16 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 43% from the field, 32.6% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 26-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 29-31-1.


Clippers vs Bucks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked really good in their games this season with their 40-21 record overall which has them right near the top of the East right now. They have also looked great on their home court all year with their 24-7 home record. Meanwhile, the Clippers have also looked really good in their games this season with their 39-20 record overall which has them right near the top of the West right now and in the mix for the number 1 seed. They have also been a good road team this year with their 18-12 road record, but they are playing this game in a bad situation. They have some momentum on their side here with 2 wins in a row, but they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and are playing this game on a back-to-back too. The Bucks are in a much better situation since they have been rested for this game but they have also been hot lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games. They have been playing a lot better now under Doc Rivers after their rocky start with him and now they have a ton of momentum coming into this one with 5 wins in a row. The Bucks have looked a lot better in their games lately and have been really good at home all year, they can take advantage of the Clippers in this bad situation on the back-to-back. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Clippers Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Monday, March 4, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 116 Clippers 99.
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NBA Betting Trends


Los Angeles Clippers: 3-7 ATS as an underdog. 4-7 ATS in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 4-8 ATS in the second half of the season. 15-8 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 36-23 OVER as a road underdog.

Milwaukee Bucks: 6-2 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more. 4-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 30-18 OVER in a home game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 11-5 OVER after a division game. 6-3 OVER off a win against a division rival.

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Clippers:  R. Westbrook (PG) Out indefinitely - Hand.

Milwaukee Bucks:  C. Livingston (SF) Doub Mon - Groin. M. Beauchamp (SF) Prob Mon - Back. G. Antetokounmpo (SF) Ques Mon - Achilles. K. Middleton (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“This was an old-school, 1985 game. But I loved the way we kept competing and kept guarding, defending.” - Tyronn Lue after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in their game on Sunday.


“We’re winning games, but for us, it’s not about right now. Our whole key is getting ready. That's the first thing I told them. We still have work to do, we're still pushing, we got to get better. It's nicer to get wins than to lose, but we're not where we want to be yet.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the Bulls in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Clippers
PG James Harden
SG Terance Mann
SF Paul George
PF Kawhi Leonard
C Ivica Zubac

Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Jae Crowder 
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Clippers
PPG: K. Leonard (24.2)
APG: J. Harden (8.3)
Reb/G: I. Zubac (9.3)

Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.8)
APG: D. Lillard (6.8)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.3)

Coaches:
Los Angeles Clippers: Tyronn Lue (4th season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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