Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/03/2025

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, May 3, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Clippers +1.5, Nuggets -1.5; Over/Under:  205 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Clippers +1, Nuggets -1; Over/Under:  205.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Clippers +1.5, Nuggets -1.5; Over/Under:  204.5 points

Los Angeles Clippers:  50-32 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  50-32 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Los Angeles Clippers:  7-3 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  6-4 last 10

The Clippers are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 20-21 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Denver Nuggets. James Harden led the team in points in that game with 28 while Kawhi Leonard was next on the team with 27 points. James Harden led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kawhi Leonard led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 86.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.2 PPG against them. The Clippers have an ATS record of 50-37-1 this season and their O/U record is 41-45-2.

The Nuggets are entering the playoffs with a 50-32 record overall this season and they were 26-15 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Los Angeles Clippers. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 21 points. Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray each led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Russell Westbrook led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 52.4% from the field, 40.7% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 40-46-2 this season and their O/U record is 51-37.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 7 of a 7 game series between the 4th seeded Nuggets and the 5th seeded Clippers from the Western Conference for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. This series is all tied up 3-3 after the Clippers won game 6 at home. The Clippers evened up the series at 3 with a 111-105 win over the Nuggets in the 6th game of this series, but the Nuggets have looked a lot better in the first few games and are starting to take control of this series. The Nuggets didn't look great in the first 2 games of this series at home as they got off to a slow start, but now they have started to look like the better team as they settled into this series. They have won 2 of the last 3 games in this series now with a road win included in that and they won in crushing fasion their last game at home, beating the Clippers by double digits. The Clippers came into this series with a well rested Kawhi Leonard and he was a huge factor in those first few games when the Clippers looked like the better team, but now as the series goes on longer, the Clippers are starting to look like they are out of gas. They haven't been a good road team either with their 20-21 road record this season so the Nuggets can definitely take advantage of them in this game 7 since the Nuggets have been picking up some momentum in the last few games. The Clippers had their chances to take a strong hold of this series but they squandered it and now the Nuggets will have the chance to put them away on their home court. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Clippers Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, May 3, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 101 Clippers 97.

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Los Angeles Clippers: 52-28 ATS off a home win. 24-17 ATS after a win by 6 points or less. 27-16 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 37-22 UNDER when the line is +3 to -3. 26-14 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less. 

Denver Nuggets: 2-7 ATS when attempting to close out a playoff series. 6-11 1H ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 15-22 1H ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 45-29 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 36-21 UNDER as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 

Los Angeles Clippers:  None.

Denver Nuggets:  D. Holmes II (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

“I give our guys credit for just staying with it. (They) don’t get deflated, and we did a good job. I told the guys after the game, it’s about being a team and whatever it takes to win. Those guys totally understood it.” - Tyronn Lue after his team’s win against the Nuggets in game 6 of this series on Thursday.

“They were quicker to the punch. They played with a lot more desperation because their backs were against the wall, and you’ve got to give them credit. The whole game, they brought it.” - Jamal Murray after their loss against the LA Clippers in game 6 of this series on Thursday.

PG James Harden

SG Kris Dunn

SF Norman Powell

PF Kawhi Leonard

C Ivica Zubac

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: J. Harden (22.8)

APG: J. Harden (8.7)

Reb/G: I. Zubac (12.6)

PPG: N. Jokić (29.6)

APG: N. Jokić (10.2)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.7)

Coaches:

Los Angeles Clippers: Tyronn Lue (5th season)

Denver Nuggets: David Adelman (Interim)