Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/26/2024

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 24, 2024
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, April 26, 2024
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Clippers +4, Mavericks -4; Over/Under:  209 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Clippers +4, Mavericks -4; Over/Under:  209 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Clippers +4.5, Mavericks -4.5; Over/Under:  209.5 points

Season Record

Los Angeles Clippers:  51-31 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Dallas Mavericks:  50-32 (1st place, Southwest Division)

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Recent Form
Los Angeles Clippers:  5-5 last 10
Dallas Mavericks:  6-4 last 10


Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Preview and Analysis


The Clippers are entering this game with a 51-31 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 26-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Dallas Mavericks in their last game. Paul George and James Harden each led the team in points in that game with 22 while Kawhi Leonard was next on the team with 15 points. James Harden led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Ivica Zubac led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 36.8% from the field, 26.7% from 3-point range, and 80.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 115.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 112.3 PPG against them. The Clippers have an ATS record of 39-45 this season and their O/U record is 36-46-2.



The Mavericks are entering this game with a 50-32 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 25-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Clippers in their last game. Luka Dončić led the team in points in that game with 32 while Kyrie Irving was next on the team with 23 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Dereck Lively II led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 42.1% from the field, 42.4% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.6 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 49-35 this season and their O/U record is 36-47-1.


Clippers vs Mavericks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 4th seeded Clippers and the 5th seeded Mavericks for Round 1 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Mavericks won game 2 of this series on the road. The Mavericks looked terrible in game 1 of this series as the Clippers really smacked them in the face without Kawhi Leonard, but Kawhi came back to the lineup for the Clippers in game 2 and it was enough to help the Mavericks win by 3 points and even up the series as the Clippers had to readjust to Kawhi being back in the lineup after missing him in their last few games. The Mavericks showed that they can go toe-to-toe with the Clippers in game 2 and now they have the momentum on their side going back home for game 3. Both of these teams have been good home teams and good road teams all season so home advantage won't be too big in this series, but it is definitely going to help the Mavericks more in this game with the momentum on their side now. The Clippers are going to be scrambling to get a road game back in this game but the Mavericks will make sure to bring their best effort in this game and take a series lead. The Mavericks have also been the much hotter team coming into this playoff series. They stumbled in game 1 but bounced back in game 2 and they will have even more momentum here after beating the Clippers with Kawhi back in the lineup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game.

Clippers Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, April 26, 2024 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 114 Clippers 106.
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NBA Betting Trends


Los Angeles Clippers: 3-8 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 5-10 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less. 5-10 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 16-3 UNDER against Southwest division opponents. 10-2 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent. 29-14 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Dallas Mavericks: 34-20 ATS as a favorite. 8-1 ATS after allowing 100 points or less. 29-17 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 14-3 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 10-1 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 30-19 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Key Injuries


Los Angeles Clippers:  None.

Dallas Mavericks:  D. Gafford (PF) Ques Fri - Back. T. Hardaway Jr. (SG) Ques Fri - Ankle. G. Brown III (SF) Out indefinitely - Personal.


Notable Quotes


“I felt good. We still got more games to play and more time to get better. Just keep trying to get a rhythm back.” - Kawhi Leonard after their loss against the Mavericks in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.


“We played 48 minutes of physical basketball. Both teams were under 100. It was '90s basketball at its best.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s win against the LA Clippers in game 2 of this series on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Los Angeles Clippers
PG James Harden
SG Terance Mann
SF Paul George
PF Kawhi Leonard
C Ivica Zubac

Dallas Mavericks
PG Luka Doncic
SG Kyrie Irving
SF Derrick Jones Jr.
PF P.J. Washington 
C Daniel Gafford

Statistical Leaders


Los Angeles Clippers
PPG: K. Leonard (23.7)
APG: J. Harden (8.5)
Reb/G: I. Zubac (9.2)

Dallas Mavericks
PPG: L. Doncic (33.9)
APG: L. Doncic (9.8)
Reb/G: L. Doncic (9.2)

Coaches:
Los Angeles Clippers: Tyronn Lue (4th season)
Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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