by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 28, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 3, 2023
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chargers -6, Patriots +6; Over/Under: 40 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chargers -6, Patriots +6; Over/Under: 40 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chargers -6, Patriots +6; Over/Under: 40.5 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Chargers: 4-7 (4th place, AFC West)
New England Patriots: 2-9 (4th place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Chargers: lost their last game at home against the Baltimore Ravens 20-10.
New England Patriots: lost their last game on the road against the New York Giants 10-7.
Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots Preview and Analysis
The Chargers are entering this game with a 4-7 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 20-10. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 29/44 passes for 217 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Justin Herbert led the team in rushing yards with 47. Keenan Allen led the receivers with 106 receiving yards on 14 receptions. Deane Leonard led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Khalil Mack led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Patriots are entering this game with a 2-9 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Giants 10-7. Mac Jones was the starting QB and he completed 12/21 passes for 89 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions before getting benched for Bailey Zappe who completed 9/14 passes for 54 yards and 1 INT. Rhamondre Stevenson led the team in rushing yards with 98 and 1 TD. Demario Douglas led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 6 receptions. J.C. Jackson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Anfernee Jennings led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Chargers vs Patriots Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chargers listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chargers haven't looked great this season with their 4-7 record overall and they continue to find ways to lose close games. They just lost another heartbreaker against the Ravens on Monday and they were right in that game with a chance to win it all night. Even though they lost that game, the Chargers looked a lot better on defense to hold the strong Ravens offense to just 20 points and 1 of those TDs was scored right at the end of the game too. The defense will be looking to follow up here with another good performance and this time they are facing a much weaker offense that has been struggling all season. The Patriots have looked terrible this season with their 2-9 record overall and their 1-4 home record. Their defense has been keeping them in some of their games against weaker opponents but they won't have much of a chance stopping this Chargers offense. The Chargers are also going to be desperate to try and turn their season around and it starts with beating up on a struggling team here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chargers to cover the spread in this game.
Chargers Patriots Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 3, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chargers 24 Patriots 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Los Angeles Chargers: 41-19 ATS in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points. 9-3 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 5-1 ATS after a loss by 10 or more points. 5-1 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 9-3 UNDER after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game.
New England Patriots: 2-9 ATS in all games. 6-16 ATS as an underdog. 6-13 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 8-3 UNDER in all games. 6-1 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 25-13 UNDER after a loss by 3 or less points.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Chargers: N. Vannett (TE) day-to-day - Concussion. I. Spiller (RB) day-to-day - Illness. J. Woods (S) day-to-day - Illness. J. Bosa (LB) Out indefinitely - Foot. T. Muse (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Rumph II (LB) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Palmer (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Williams (WR) I-R - Knee. R. Layne (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Linsley (C) Out indefinitely - Illness.
New England Patriots: D. Douglas (WR) day-to-day - Head. R. Reiff (OL) day-to-day - Knee. C. Anderson (OL) Out indefinitely - Illness. K. Bourne (WR) I-R - Knee. K. Boutte (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Wheatley Jr. (T) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Judon (LB) Early Dec - Bicep. C. Gonzalez (CB) I-R - Shoulder. D. Ekuale (DL) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Jones (DB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. I. Bolden (CB) I-R - Neck. R. McMillan (LB) I-R - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“That was certainly the difference in the game, and it usually is in the NFL. We hung in there about as well as you could, turning it over like that, and one of them in the red area. Just didn’t play well enough, clean enough to win tonight.” - Brandon Staley after his team’s loss against the Ravens in their last game.
“We turned the ball over too many times. Got away from us, even the few times we didn’t turn it over. We missed an opportunity at the end of the game to put it into overtime. Not good enough." - Bill Belichick after his team’s loss against the Giants in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Guyton, Jalen
WR Allen, Keenan
TE Everett, Gerald
QB Herbert, Justin
RB Ekeler, Austin
New England Patriots
WR Parker, Devante
WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu
WR Douglas, Demario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Jones, Mac
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (2826)
Rushing: A. Ekeler (428)
Receiving: K. Allen (1117)
Touchdowns: K. Allen (7)
New England Patriots
Passing: M. Jones (2120)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (580)
Receiving: D. Douglas (410)
Touchdowns: K. Bourne (4)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Chargers: Brandon Staley (3rd season)
New England Patriots: Bill Belichick (24th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
