by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 18, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 22, 2023
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chargers +5.5, Chiefs -5.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chargers +5.5, Chiefs -5.5; Over/Under: 48 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chargers +5.5, Chiefs -5.5; Over/Under: 48 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Chargers: 2-3 (3rd place, AFC West)
Kansas City Chiefs: 5-1 (1st place, AFC West)
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Los Angeles Chargers: lost their last game at home against the Dallas Cowboys 20-17.
Kansas City Chiefs: won their last game at home against the Denver Broncos 19-8.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Analysis
The Chargers are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 20-17. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 22/37 passes for 227 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Austin Ekeler led the team in rushing yards with 27. Keenan Allen led the receivers with 85 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Kenneth Murray Jr. led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Morgan Fox led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Denver Broncos 19-8. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 30/40 passes for 306 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 62. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 124 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Willie Gay Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Justin Reid, Drue Tranquill, and Chris Jones each led the defense in sacks with 1. Justin Reid and Nick Bolton each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Chargers vs Chiefs Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs are 5-1 this season and they have looked really good in their games since losing to the Lions in week 1. Their offense has been up and down but they are getting the job done in their games while their defense has been really good and is playing like one of the best defenses in the league right now. The Chargers are 2-3 this season and they will be looking to bounce back after losing to the Cowboys in prime time on Monday night. The Chargers have been really good on offense this year as they are putting up points in their games but their defense hasn't been good since they have also been giving up a lot of points too. The Chargers are also starting to pile up the injuries on their offense too. The Chiefs may be struggling on offense this season but they still have one of the best QB's in the game on their side and they also have the better defense in this home game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game.
Chargers Chiefs Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 22, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 34 Chargers 24.
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NFL Betting Trends
Los Angeles Chargers: 8-2 ATS as a road underdog. 7-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 7-1 OVER after a loss by 6 or less points. 12-3 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 9-5 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.
Kansas City Chiefs: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. 12-20 ATS against conference opponents. 5-11 ATS after a win by 10 or more points. 10-5 OVER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 7-2 OVER off a home win by 10 points or more.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Chargers: A. Gilman (S) Ques Sun - Heel. D. Leonard (DB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. J. Woods (S) Out indefinitely - Illness. C. Linsley (C) Out indefinitely - Illness. M. Williams (WR) out for season - Knee. O. Ogbonnia (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Guyton (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Kansas City Chiefs: C. Omenihu (DE) Elig Sun - Suspension. J. Watson (WR) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. R. James (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"I thought we were really good most of the night on third down. I thought we pressured the quarterback at a high level, but Dak made a couple of plays on that last drive, and it hurt us.” - Brandon Staley after his team’s loss against the Cowboys in their last game.
“Our defense was incredible tonight, as it has been. But we have to take care of business in the red zone. We had a lot of yards, positive yards, but you can't stall down there." - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the Broncos in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Palmer, Joshua
WR ALLEN, KEENAN
TE Everett, Gerald
QB Herbert, Justin
RB Ekeler, Austin
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Moore, Skyy
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez
WR Toney, Kadarius
TE KELCE, TRAVIS
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Pacheco, Isiah
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (1333)
Rushing: J. Kelley (209)
Receiving: K. Allen (519)
Touchdowns: K. Allen (4)
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (1593)
Rushing: I. Pacheco (387)
Receiving: T. Kelce (346)
Touchdowns: T. Kelce (3)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Chargers: Brandon Staley (3rd season)
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
