by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 13, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chargers -3, Packers +3; Over/Under: 44 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chargers -3.5, Packers +3.5; Over/Under: 44 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chargers -3, Packers +3; Over/Under: 44 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Chargers: 4-5 (3rd place, AFC West)
Green Bay Packers: 3-6 (3rd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Chargers: lost their last game at home against the Detroit Lions 41-38.
Green Bay Packers: lost their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 23-19.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Chargers are entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Detroit Lions 41-38. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 27/40 passes for 323 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Austin Ekeler led the team in rushing yards with 67 and 1 TD. Keenan Allen led the receivers with 175 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 2 TDs. Derwin James Jr. led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Packers are entering this game with a 3-6 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 23-19. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 21/40 passes for 289 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. AJ Dillon led the team in rushing yards with 70. Jayden Reed led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Rudy Ford and Isaiah McDuffie each led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Preston Smith led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Chargers vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chargers listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chargers are only 4-5 overall this season and haven't looked great in their losses but they have also been losing to some of the top teams in the NFL. They have been beating up on the bad teams though and after taking a tough loss by 3 points at home to the Lions in their last game, they will be looking to bounce back with a much better performance here. The Packers are only 3-6 overall this season and they have looked terrible in their games lately. Their offense hasn't been putting up many points and has been a big reason for their recent struggles. The Chargers have a much better offense that is going to put up points in this game as they look to bounce back from their loss and eventually the Chargers much stronger offense will put up too many points for the Packers to come back from in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chargers to cover the spread in this game.
Chargers Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 19, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chargers 28 Packers 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Los Angeles Chargers: 19-30 ATS after allowing 35 points or more last game. 4-9 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game. 1-5 ATS after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points. 12-5 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 7-2 OVER after a loss by 6 or less points.
Green Bay Packers: 8-4 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. 22-13 ATS against AFC West division opponents. 47-26 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 47-26 OVER after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. 22-14 OVER against AFC West division opponents.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Chargers: C. Rumph II (LB) day-to-day - Foot. K. Murray Jr. (LB) day-to-day - Shoulder. G. Everett (TE) day-to-day - Back. J. Palmer (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Williams (WR) I-R - Knee. R. Layne (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Woods (S) Out indefinitely - Illness. C. Linsley (C) Out indefinitely - Illness.
Green Bay Packers: J. Alexander (CB) day-to-day - Shoulder. Q. Walker (LB) day-to-day - Groin. E. Stokes (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. D. Savage (S) Out indefinitely - Calf. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“There have been games where we haven’t put up enough points and there were big games where we put up some points. It didn’t happen today." - Justin Herbert after their loss against the Lions in their last game.
“You see how close we are, a play here or a play there. I feel like we just keep pushing at it. If we keep putting in the work, it’ll go in our favor.” - Aaron Jones after their loss against the Steelers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Guyton, Jalen
WR ALLEN, KEENAN
TE Everett, Gerald
QB Herbert, Justin
RB Ekeler, Austin
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Musgrave, Luke
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (2349)
Rushing: J. Kelley (339)
Receiving: K. Allen (895)
Touchdowns: K. Allen (6)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (2009)
Rushing: A. Dillon (376)
Receiving: J. Reed (417)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (6)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Chargers: Brandon Staley (3rd season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
