by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Wednesday, Nov 24, 2021
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, November 28, 2021
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chargers -2.5, Broncos +2.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chargers -2.5, Broncos +2.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chargers -2.5, Broncos +2.5; Over/Under: 47.5 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Chargers: 6-4 (2nd place, AFC West)
Denver Broncos: 5-5 (4th place, AFC West)
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Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Los Angeles Chargers: won at home on Nov. 21 against the Pittsburgh Steelers 41-37.
Denver Broncos: lost at home on Nov. 14 against the Philadelphia Eagles 30-13.
Los Angeles Chargers Analysis
The Chargers are coming into this game with a 6-4 record overall and they are 3-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd divisional matchup of the year and they are currently 2-0 in their division games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Justin Herbert played very well in that game as he completed 30/41 passes for 382 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. He also led the team in rushing with 90 yards on 9 carries while Austin Ekeler had 50 yards and 2 touchdowns on 11 carries. Keenan Allen had a nice day as he led the receivers with 112 yards on 9 receptions while Mike Williams had 97 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions. Ekeler caught the other 2 touchdown passes in that one. Kyzir White led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Joey Bosa, Uchenna Nwosu, and Kyler Fackrell all recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense was able to come up with an interception in that one. They have scored 260 points in their 10 games this season averaging 26 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 265 points against them allowing 26.5 PPG. Their offense is averaging 386.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 355 YPG.
Denver Broncos Analysis
The Broncos are coming into this game with a 5-5 record overall and they are 2-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 2nd divisional matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 0-1 in their division games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game. Teddy Bridgewater played alright in that game but he did not do enough as he completed 22/36 passes for 226 yards. Javonte Williams led the team in rushing with 48 yards on 8 carries while Melvin Gordon had 45 yards and 1 touchdown on 9 carries. Albert Okwuegbunam led the receivers with 77 yards on 3 receptions while Jerry Jeudy led the team in receptions with 6 for 48 yards. Malik Reed led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Reed and Dre'Mont Jones both recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while Justin Simmons was the only player to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 200 points in their 10 games this season averaging 20 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 183 points against them allowing 18.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 342.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 328.2 YPG.
Chargers vs Broncos Prediction
The Chargers are coming into this game as a 3 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chargers have been playing much better in their recent games and their offense played very well in their last game. The Broncos have been very inconsistent this season, after starting out 3-0 they are just floating right at .500 with a 5-5 record. The Chargers already have a 2-0 lead in their division and will be looking to get the win against the worst team in their division to help put a real stranglehold on the division with the Chiefs starting to play much better now as well. The Chargers have a lot more skil;led players on their team and will be able to out score the Broncos by a lot. The best bet to place in this game is on the Chargers to cover the spread in this game.
Chargers Broncos Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 28, 2021 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Chargers 34 Broncos 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Los Angeles Chargers: 246-233 ATS in all games. 37-31 ATS as a road favorite. 136-100 ATS in road games. 187-176 ATS against conference opponents. 99-92 ATS versus division opponents.
Denver Broncos: 92-82 O/U in games where the line is +3 to -3. 261-227 O/U in all games. 134-108 O/U in home games. 192-173 O/U against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Chargers: M. Webb (DB) Ques Sun - Knee injury. A. Gilman (S) Ques Sun - Quadricep injury. A. Samuel Jr. (CB) Ques Sun - Concussion.
Denver Broncos: J. Johnson (S) Ques Sun - Quadricep injury. M. Agim (DL) Ques Sun - Knee injury. B. Massie (T) Ques Sun - Ankle injury.
Notable Quotes
"We had our best stuff at the end. I feel like we've shown real stuff through 10 games. I'm really proud of this group. This game was one of my favorites, for sure." - Brandon Staley on his team’s win against the Steelers in their last game.
"We missed the opportunity completely. We dropped the ball." - Dre’Mont Jones on their loss against the Eagles in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Allen, Keenan
WR Williams, Mike
TE COOK, JARED
QB Herbert, Justin
RB Ekeler, Austin
FB Nabers, Gabe
Denver Broncos
WR Sutton, Courtland
WR Jeudy, Jerry
TE Fant, Noah
QB Bridgewater, Teddy
RB Williams, Javonte
FB Beck, Andrew
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (2927)
Rushing: A. Ekeler (573)
Receiving: K. Allen (810)
Touchdowns: A. Ekeler (13)
Denver Broncos
Passing: T. Bridgewater (2389)
Rushing: M. Gordon III (522)
Receiving: C. Sutton (617)
Touchdowns: M. Gordon III (7)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Chargers: Brandon Staley (1st season)
Denver Broncos: Vic Fangio (3rd season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
