by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 28, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 3, 2024
Venue: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chargers -2, Browns +2; Over/Under: 42 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chargers -2, Browns +2; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chargers -2, Browns +2; Over/Under: 42 points
Season Record
Los Angeles Chargers: 4-3 (3rd place, AFC West)
Cleveland Browns: 2-6 (4th place, AFC North)
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Los Angeles Chargers: won their last game at home against the New Orleans Saints 26-8.
Cleveland Browns: won their last game at home against the Baltimore Ravens 29-24.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis
The Chargers are entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New Orleans Saints 26-8. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 20/32 passes for 279 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. J.K. Dobbins led the team in rushing yards with 57 and 1 TD. Ladd McConkey led the receivers with 111 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Daiyan Henley led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Bud Dupree, Tuli Tuipulotu, Poona Ford, Khalil Mack, and Scott Matlock each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Browns are entering this game with a 2-6 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 29-24. Jameis Winston was the starting QB and he completed 27/41 passes for 334 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Nick Chubb led the team in rushing yards with 52. Cedric Tillman led the receivers with 99 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, Ogbonnia Okoronkwo, and Za'Darius Smith each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Chargers vs Browns Prediction
The current betting odds have the Browns listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Browns have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-6 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC North with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They are coming off a win over the Ravens in their last one though and they looked a lot better with Jameis Winston running the offense. Meanwhile, the Chargers have looked good in their games this season with their 4-3 record overall, but that record only has them in 3rd place of the AFC West in a tough division right now. They have the Broncos ahead of them and also the only undefeated team left in the NFL leading the division. The Chargers have looked great on defense all season as Harbaugh has turned this team around in a short period of time, doing to the defense what Brandon Staley was supposed to do all those years, but the offense lacks a lot of talent and they haven't been putting up a ton of points this season. The Browns also have a good defense, they haven't looked good for most of the year but the players are there to turn things around now that the offense is looking better. The Chargers aren't the kind of team to score a ton of points anyway so the Browns will always be in this game and Winston will give their offense a chance here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Browns to cover the spread in this game.
Chargers Browns Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 3, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Browns 21 Chargers 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Los Angeles Chargers: 8-4 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 5-2 ATS off a home win. 3-0 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 26-14 UNDER in all games. 16-9 UNDER as a favorite. 9-3 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.
Cleveland Browns: 4-8 ATS off a home win. 0-5 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 5-9 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 4-1 UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Chargers: K. Mack (OLB) Injured - Rest. D. Perryman (LB) Questionable - Toe. D. Davis (WR) Doubtful - Hamstring. J. Bosa (OLB) Questionable - Hip. W. Dissly (TE) Questionable - Shoulder. H. Hurst (TE) Questionable - Groin. D. Chark (WR) Questionable - Groin. K. Fulton (CB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Taylor (DB) Injured - Fibula. Q. Johnston (WR) Doubtful - Ankle. L. McConkey (WR) Questionable - Hip.
Cleveland Browns: S. Harris (DT) Injured - Hamstring. G. Delpit (SAF) Injured - Wrist. J. Conklin (T) Injured - Knee. Q. Jefferson (DT) Injured - Non-injury. T. Brown (DB) Injured - Ankle. W. Teller (G) Questionable - Knee. D. Thompson-Robinson (QB) Injured - Finger. J. Ford (RB) Out - Hamstring. M. Garrett (DE) Injured - Achilles. J. Hicks (LB) Out - Elbow. E. Pocic (C) Injured - Knee. J. Jeudy (WR) Injured - Knee. J. Wills (T) Out - Knee. R. Hickman (SAF) Out - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“He found it, tracked it, made an unbelievable catch and then a SportsCenter highlight where he went to score the touchdown and put the ball in the end zone. I mean, it's what we needed.” - Jim Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Saints in their last game.
“A win like this is required to change the season around. We have a long way to go." - Jameis Winston after their win against the Ravens in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Fehoko, Simi
WR Palmer, Joshua
WR McConkey, Ladd
TE Dissly, Will
QB Herbert, Justin
RB Dobbins, J.K
FB Matlock, Scott
Cleveland Browns
WR Tillman, Cedric
WR Jeudy, Jerry
WR Moore, Elijah
TE Njoku, David
QB Winston, Jameis
RB Chubb, Nick
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (1443)
Rushing: J. Dobbins (535)
Receiving: L. McConkey (376)
Touchdowns: J. Dobbins (4)
Cleveland Browns
Passing: D. Watson (1148)
Rushing: J. Ford (264)
Receiving: J. Jeudy (345)
Touchdowns: D. Njoku (2)
Coaches:
Los Angeles Chargers: Jim Harbaugh (1st season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
