by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jul 28, 2023
Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Saturday, July 29, 2023
Venue: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Angels +110, Blue Jays -130; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Angels +110, Blue Jays -130; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Angels +110, Blue Jays -130; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Los Angeles Angels: 54-49 (3rd place, AL West)
Toronto Blue Jays: 57-46 (3rd place, AL East)
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Recent Form
Los Angeles Angels: 8-2 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays: 5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis
The Angels are entering this series on a 4 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Detroit Tigers in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-49 record overall and have a road record of 25-26. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .785 OPS. Lucas Giolito is their starting pitcher on Friday while Reid Detmers is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-7 with a 4.38 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 9 Ks on 6 hits through 5 IP against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
The Blue Jays are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-46 record overall and have a home record of 27-20. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the LA Angels on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .750 OPS. Kevin Gausman is their starting pitcher on Friday while Alek Manoah is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-8 with a 6.10 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 4 BB with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Seattle Mariners.
Angels vs Blue Jays Prediction
The current betting odds have the Angels listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. There has been a lot of speculation around the Angels and Ohtani with the trade deadline approaching but they have decided to make a playoff push now and they have been rolling in their games lately with 4 wins in a row coming into this series. The Blue Jays have also been rolling in their games lately but haven't been as consistent as the Angels have been with their up and down offense getting hot in some games but cold in others and the Angels do have a better offense than the Blue Jays have. The Angels also have Detmers starting in this game and he has been pitching a lot better lately, not giving up many runs in his last few starts. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have Manoah starting here and even though he has been pitching better lately, he has still struggled a lot all season giving up a ton of runs in his starts and he will struggle to keep the Angels off the board here while their offense has been so hot lately. The Angels can take advantage of this better pitching matchup with their hot offense and they will put up enough runs to carry the team in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Angels to win this game.
Angels Blue Jays Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 29, 2023 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Angels 8 Blue Jays 4.
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MLB Betting Trends
Los Angeles Angels: 19-14 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 43-31 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 15-5 OVER as an underdog of +125 to +175. 11-4 OVER on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5.
Toronto Blue Jays: 39-31 (-9 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 23-22 (-5.6 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. ALEK MANOAH is 11-5 OVER in all games and 20-12 OVER in home games.
Key Injuries
Los Angeles Angels: S. Ohtani (SP) Prob Fri - Back. B. Joyce (RP) Mid Aug - Hand. M. Trout (CF) Mid Aug - Wrist. B. Drury (3B) Early Aug - Shoulder. A. Rendon (3B) Late Aug - Shin. C. Devenski (RP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. S. Bachman (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Adell (LF) Out indefinitely - Oblique. G. Urshela (3B) out for season - Pelvis. J. Suarez (RP) Early Aug - Shoulder. M. Stassi (C) Out indefinitely - Hip. A. Warren (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Quijada (RP) out for season - Elbow. L. O'Hoppe (C) Late Aug - Shoulder. C. Rodriguez (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Toronto Blue Jays: H. Ryu (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. C. Green (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. A. Cimber (RP) Late Aug - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“He’ll get some fluids in him and he’ll be fine.” - Phil Nevin on Shohei Ohtani after his team’s win against the Tigers in their 2nd game of a double-header on Thursday.
“I'm really proud of them. That's a huge bounce-back win. Tough to win a series against a good team on the road. Did that.” - John Schneider after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Los Angeles Angels
Zach Neto (R) SS
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Mickey Moniak (L) CF
Taylor Ward (R) LF
Mike Moustakas (L) 3B
Matt Thaiss (L) C
Hunter Renfroe (R) RF
Eduardo Escobar (S) 1B
Luis Rengifo (S) 2B
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) RF
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Brandon Belt (L) DH
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Whit Merrifield (R) LF
Daulton Varsho (L) CF
Danny Jansen (R) C
Cavan Biggio (L) 2B
Statistical Leaders
Los Angeles Angels
Batting Average: Mickey Moniak (.335)
Hits: Shohei Ohtani (114)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (38)
RBI: Shohei Ohtani (80)
Stolen Bases: Shohei Ohtani (12)
Wins: Shohei Ohtani (9)
Saves: Carlos Estevez (23)
ERA: Carlos Estevez (1.98)
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average: Ernie Clement (.429)
Hits: Bo Bichette (137)
Home Runs: Vladimir Guerrero (17)
RBI: Vladimir Guerrero (65)
Stolen Bases: Whit Merrifield (20)
Wins: Chris Bassitt (10)
Saves: Jordan Romano (28)
ERA: Genesis Cabrera (0.00)
Managers:
Los Angeles Angels: Phil Nevin (2nd season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
