Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/12/2021

by Big Al Staff

Game Time: 2:10 pm ET, Sunday, September 12, 2021
Venue:  Minute Maid Park, Houston, TX
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet SW

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Angels +200, Astros -250; Over/Under:  NL runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Angels +185, Astros -240; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Los Angeles Angels:  69-72 (4th place, AL West)
Houston Astros:  82-58 (1st place, AL West)
 
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Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Los Angeles Angels:  5-5 last 10
Houston Astros:  5-5 last 10
 
 
 

Offensive Analysis

 
The Los Angeles Angels are ranked 8 in the league for batting average (.247), 14 in the league for RBI (604), 7 in the league for hits (1171), and they are ranked 21 in the league for OBP (.309). The Houston Astros are ranked 1 in the league for batting average (.269), 2 in the league for RBI (713), 1 in the league for hits (1297), and they are ranked 1 in the league for OBP (.340).
 

Defensive Analysis

 
The Los Angeles Angels are ranked 25 in the league for ERA (4.74), 16 in the league for saves (35), 10 in the league for strikeouts (1287), and they are ranked 25 in the league for WHIP (1.38). The Houston Astros are ranked 6 in the league for ERA (3.73), 22 in the league for saves (31), 11 in the league for strikeouts (1273), and they are ranked 9 in the league for WHIP (1.22).
 

 

Angels vs Astros Prediction

The LA Angels are taking on the Houston Astros in the series finale of a three-game series on Sunday afternoon. The 2nd game of this series is still to be played on Saturday with the result pending. The Angels are on a 2 game losing streak including losing the series opener between these two on Friday night. After taking the series opener the Astros have won 1 game now after losing one to the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday.

The Halos have lost 2 games in a row now and have lost 4 of their last 5. They lost to the Astros 10-5 in the first game of the series after tying a two-game series with the San Diego Padres right before this. Jaime Barria will be the starting pitcher on the mound for the Angels on Sunday and he is 2-3 with a 5.16 ERA this season. The Angels have not had good luck with him on the mound losing 5 of their last 6 games that he has made an appearance in. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 8 hits through 7 IP. He also hit a batter in that game as he was credited with the loss in that one. He has seen this Astros lineup once this year and he was credited with the loss in that game as the Astros won 8-2. He allowed 3 runs including 1 HR on 7 hits through 3 innings of work. The Angels' offense has not been quiet in their recent games as they have scored 14 runs total in their last 3, averaging just under 5 runs scored per game in that span. Even if Barria has a bad game he should have some run support to back him up here.

The Hou Astros are coming into this game after winning 3 of their last 4 with the result of Saturday's game still pending. They currently lead the American League West. Lance McCullers Jr will be the starter throwing the first pitch for them in this one and he is 11-4 with a 3.19 ERA this season. His team has been on a little roll with him on the mound as they have 3 of his last 4 starts. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER and 4 BB with 7 Ks on 4 hits through 6 IP. He has seen this Angels lineup 3 times this season and his team is 1-2 in those games with McCullers being credited with 1 win, 1 loss, and 1 no-decision. He did not allow more than 2 runs in any of those games though. The Houston offense has really popped off recently as they have scored 31 runs in their last 4 games averaging just over 7 runs scored per game in that span. McCullers has played well recently and against the Angels this season but if he does have a bad day on the mound then his team will be behind him scoring plenty of runs.

Both of these teams have been playing alright leading up to this game and both are scoring a lot right now. Barria has been a bit shaky though and the Astros' hitters have been hot with their bats. The Angels' batters have also been heating up so there should be lots of runs from both sides in this game. Houston does have a slight pitching advantage here so they will likely win this game with it going over the total.

 
Angels Astros Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, September 12, 2021 (2:10 pm ET start time) is Astros 10 Angels 7.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Los Angeles Angels: 20-34 (-15.4 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 23-35 (-15.5 units) on the moneyline against division opponents.
Houston Astros: 46-25 (+13.4 units) when the total is 7 to 8.5. 29-12 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 7 to 8.5. 40-20 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Los Angeles Angels:  A. Warren (RP) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury. R. Detmers (SP) Out indefinitely - Illness. J. Upton (LF) Out indefinitely - Back injury.
Houston Astros:  A. Scrubb (RP) Late Sept - Shoulder injury. R. Montero (RP) Late Sept - Shoulder injury. P. Baez (RP) Mid Sept - Shoulder injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
Los Angeles Angels: Shohei Ohtani is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in homers, RBIs, and stolen bases and has also been a pretty solid pitcher all year. He will not be pitching in this game but he can still make a big impact with his hitting so watch for him because he will play a big part in his team winning this game.
 
Houston Astros: Yordan Alvarez is one player to watch here. He leads his team in home runs and RBIs and will need to produce some in this game as the Angels have been hitting well recently. Look for him to make a big impact in this one as he will help his team to victory if they do get the win.
 

Notable Quotes

"I feel like they were sitting on my cutters and sliders for the most part. Before I could make adjustments, I had runners on base all the time, and I couldn't really try out new things." - Shohei Ohtani on his performance on the mound on Friday.
 
 
"That's not a guy you would like to face all the time. We were putting some good at-bats together, hit some balls hard early. … It was good to get him out of the game pitching and get him out and his bat, which is as potent as his pitching is." - Dusty Baker on facing Shohei Ohtani on Friday.
 

Starting Lineups

 
Los Angeles Angels
D. Fletcher (2B)
S. Ohtani (P)
P. Gosselin (3B)
J. Adell (LF)
J. Mayfield (SS)
J. Walsh (1B)
K. Suzuki (C)
B. Marsh (CF)
J. Lagares (RF)
 
 
Houston Astros
J. Altuve (2B)
M. Brantley (DH)
A. Bregman (3B)
Y. Alvarez (LF)
C. Correa (SS)
K. Tucker (RF)
A. Diaz (1B)
C. McCormick (CF)
M. Maldonado (C)
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Los Angeles Angels
Batting Average:  Mike Trout (.333)
Hits:  D. Fletcher (153)
Home Runs:  S. Ohtani (44)
RBI:  S. Ohtani (94)
Stolen Bases:  S. Ohtani (23)
Wins:  S. Ohtani (9)
Saves:  R. Iglesias (30)
ERA:  A. Warren (1.69)
 
Houston Astros
Batting Average:  M. Brantley (.316)
Hits:  M. Brantley (143)
Home Runs:  Y. Alvarez (28)
RBI:  Y. Alvarez (91)
Stolen Bases:  K. Tucker (12)
Wins:  L. McCullers Jr. (11)
Saves:  R. Pressly (23)
ERA:  K. Graveman (1.65)
 
Managers:
Los Angeles Angels: Joe Maddon (2nd season)
Houston Astros: Dusty Baker (2nd season)
 

Weather Forecast

86 degrees F scattered thunderstorms, 65% humidity, 50% chance of rain, up to 13 mph wind speeds W.


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