Liberty Flames vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/24/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, October 24, 2023

Venue:  Houchens Industries L. T. Smith Stadium, Bowling Green, KY

Where to Watch:  ESPNU

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Liberty -4, WKU +4; Over/Under:  60 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Liberty -4, WKU +4; Over/Under:  60.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Liberty -4, WKU +4; Over/Under:  60.5 points

Liberty Flames:  7-0 (5-0) (1st place, C-USA)

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers:  4-3 (2-1) (4th place, C-USA)

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Liberty Flames:  won their last game at home against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 42-35.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers:  lost their last game on the road against the Jacksonville State Gamecocks 20-17.

Liberty is entering this game with a 7-0 record overall and they have a 5-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Middle Tennessee State 42-35. Kaidon Salter was the starting QB and he completed 12/20 passes for 140 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kaidon Salter led the team in rushing yards with 160. CJ Daniels led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Tyren Dupree led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Tyren Dupree led the defense in sacks with 1. Preston Hodge and Brylan Green each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Western Kentucky is entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Jacksonville State 20-17. Austin Reed was the starting QB and he completed 24/48 passes for 250 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Elijah Young led the team in rushing yards with 39. KD Hutchinson led the receivers with 52 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Kylan Guidry led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Desmyn Baker and Hosea Wheeler each led the defense in sacks with 1. Anthony Johnson Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Western Kentucky listed as a 4 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Western Kentucky is 4-3 this season and have looked a lot better against conference opponents with their 2-1 conference record. They lost a close game to Jacksonville State in their last one but they are still very alive in this conference to go to the Conference USA Championship but they also need to win this game and will be looking to bounce back. Liberty has been rolling in their games this season with their 7-0 record overall and their 5-0 conference record but they have also been playing in a lot of closer games lately. They were blowing teams out at the beginning of the season in their non-conference schedule but the games have been a lot closer since starting conference play, even playing at home against some of the weaker teams in the conference. Liberty has been good this season but Western Kentucky is at home here and they are still one of the best teams in this conference. The best way to place a bet here is on Western Kentucky to cover the spread in this game. 

Liberty Western Kentucky Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Tuesday, October 24, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is WKU 33 Liberty 30.

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Liberty Flames: 3-6 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 3-6 ATS after playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. 10-5 OVER as a road favorite. 6-1 OVER after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more in the last game.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: 23-12 ATS in all games. 10-2 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 14-6 ATS against conference opponents. 8-2 OVER as an underdog. 14-5 OVER after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better.

Liberty Flames:  V. Blue (RB) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. B. Schlitter (OL) out for season - Lower Body. J. Jenkins (TE) out for season - Eligibility. V. Jones Jr. (WR) out for season - Knee. R. Smith (WR) out for season - Knee.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers:  B. Smith (WR) Ques Tues - Undisclosed. R. Robich (LS) Ques Tues - Undisclosed. M. Mathison (WR) Out indefinitely - Hip.

“After watching the video, in all three phases there was some things we did well. Obviously, there were some things we didn’t do very well especially in the first half defensively. We really struggled to tackle, get them off the field, that carried over to third quarter. I thought the turning point in the game was Brylan Green’s fumble recover – or whoever recovered it – I thought our defense played lights out since then.” - Jamey Chadwell after his team’s win against MTSU in their last game. 

"Very excited to be back home this week. Get to play a really good Liberty football team. Things are really heating up in conference play, about how I thought it would be. I thought this year there was going to be a lot of parity and there is a lot of parity. There seems to be a lot of games coming down the stretch. Obviously we had a tough loss last week against Jacksonville State. Our guys will rebound. I know they're excited to be back at home. It's going to be a great atmosphere. We need all our Hilltopper fans to come out and support us. Really excited about being home and really excited about playing an excellent Liberty team. We've got to go get this conference win." - Tyson Helton on his team’s upcoming game against Liberty this week.

WR Sibley, Treon  

WR Frith, Noah 

WR Smoot, Elijah  

TE Hanshaw, Bentley 

QB Salter, Kaidon 

RB Venn, Victor   

RB Cooley, Quinton

WR Barry, Moussa   

WR Holiday, Jimmy 

WR Corley, Malachi 

WR Smith, Dalvin 

TE Helms, River 

QB Reed, Austin 

RB Young, Elijah 

Passing: K. Salter (1493)

Rushing: Q. Cooley (726)

Receiving: C. Daniels (509)

Touchdowns: K. Salter (6)

Passing: A. Reed (1908)

Rushing: M. Stepp (203)

Receiving: M. Corley (590)

Touchdowns: M. Corley (5)

Coaches:

Liberty Flames: Jamey Chadwell (1st season)

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Tyson Helton (5th season)