Liberty Flames vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/10/2023

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, October 10, 2023

Venue:  JSU Stadium, Jacksonville, AL

Where to Watch:  ESPNU

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Liberty -6, JSU +6; Over/Under:  56 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Liberty -6, JSU +6; Over/Under:  56.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Liberty -6, JSU +6; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Liberty Flames:  5-0 (3-0) (1st place, C-USA)

Jacksonville State Gamecocks:  5-1 (3-0) (2nd place, C-USA)

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Liberty Flames:  won their last game at home against the Sam Houston State Bearkats 21-16.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks:  won their last game on the road against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 45-30.

Liberty is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Sam Houston State 24-16. Kaidon Salter was the starting QB and he completed 11/19 passes for 257 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Quinton Cooley led the team in rushing yards with 106 and 1 TD. CJ Daniels led the receivers with 157 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Jerome Jolly, Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while CJ Bazile Jr. and Brylan Green each led the defense in sacks with 1. Brylan Green came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Jax State is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Middle Tennessee State 45-30. Zion Webb was the starting QB and he completed 11/21 passes for 186 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Zion Webb led the team in rushing yards with 101 and 1 TD. Sean Brown led the receivers with 103 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Kekoura Tarnue led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Chris Hardie, Kolbi Fuqua, and Kamari Stephens each led the defense in sacks with 2. Kekoura Tarnue and Chris Hardie each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Jacksonville State listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Jacksonville State is in their 1st year playing in the FBS and they have been lighting up the scene with a 5-1 record overall to start the season. They are already 3-0 in conference play too and they are undefeated in home games with their 3-0 record there. Liberty has also been lighting things up with a 5-0 record overall and they are also 3-0 in their conference games as these two look like the 2 best teams in the conference right now. Liberty is also 2-0 in their road games this year but they are also coming off of a close win at home against Sam Houston State in their last game who is also new to the FBS and they are going to have more trouble here as they are finally facing a decent team, something they haven't really faced in their first few games. Jacksonville State is going to be ready for this home game so they can send a message to the rest of the conference and even if Liberty pulls out this win on the road, Jacksonville State will keep it a really close game. The best way to place a bet here is on Jacksonville State to cover the spread in this game.

Liberty Jacksonville State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Tuesday, October 10, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is JSU 21 Liberty 17.

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Liberty Flames: 50-27 ATS in all games. 11-6 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-3 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 4-1 UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 7-2 UNDER after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks: 0-2 ATS after scoring 42 points or more last game. 0-2 ATS after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers. 6-3 UNDER in all games. 5-1 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 5-1 UNDER after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.

Liberty Flames:  N. Frith (WR) Ques Tues - Undisclosed. B. Lucas (RB) Ques Tues - Undisclosed. V. Blue (RB) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. B. Schlitter (OL) out for season - Lower Body. J. Jenkins (TE) out for season - Eligibility. V. Jones Jr. (WR) out for season - Knee. R. Smith (WR) out for season - Knee.

Jacksonville State Gamecocks:  R. Wiggins (RB) Mid Nov - Chest.

“It was a tremendous night, tremendous environment. Our fans and our student body especially just make it an unbelievable place to play, what all we do there, especially going into the Flames Quarter. For us to find a way to win even though we didn’t play our best, I was very pleased with that. As we watched the game, there are a lot of things we did well and some things we felt like we left out there. I think any time you find a way to win a challenging game, whether that’s a drive by the offense or a kick or what the defense got five stops inside the four yard line there teh last how many seconds.” - Jamey Chadwell after his team’s win against SHSU in their last game. 

“For the most part, we just wanted to attack and be physical. We knew coming into this game that they were a good team, they were going to play hard, and honestly, I didn’t worry too much about what they did, it was about us. We wanted to make this game about us and get back to playing Jax State football. Against Sam Houston, we came out with a win, but it wasn’t the best looking win. So this week we wanted to get back to that hard edge football.” - Chris Hardie after their win against MTSU in their last game. 

WR Sibley, Treon  

WR Frith, Noah 

WR Smoot, Elijah  

TE Hanshaw, Bentley 

QB Salter, Kaidon 

RB Lucas, Billy  

RB Cooley, Quinton 

WR Lane, Quinton 

WR Pettway, Michael 

WR Galban, Sterling 

TE Brown, Sean 

QB Smothers, Logan 

RB Jackson, Malik 

Passing: K. Salter (1176)

Rushing: Q. Cooley (429)

Receiving: C. Daniels (420)

Touchdowns: K. Salter (6)

Passing: L. Smothers (523)

Rushing: M. Jackson (559)

Receiving: P. Carter (242)

Touchdowns: L. Smothers (5)

Coaches:

Liberty Flames: Jamey Chadwell (1st season)

Jacksonville State Gamecocks: Rich Rodriguez (2nd season)