by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 17, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Raiders +13, Dolphins -13; Over/Under: 46 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Raiders +13.5, Dolphins -13.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Raiders +13.5, Dolphins -13.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
Las Vegas Raiders: 5-5 (2nd place, AFC West)
Miami Dolphins: 6-3 (1st place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Las Vegas Raiders: won their last game at home against the New York Jets 16-12.
Miami Dolphins: lost their last game at a neutral site against the Kansas City Chiefs 21-14.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Miami Dolphins Preview and Analysis
The Raiders are entering this game with a 5-5 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 16-12. Aidan O'Connell was the starting QB and he completed 16/27 passes for 153 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 116. Davante Adams led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Nate Hobbs led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Robert Spillane and Malcolm Koonce each led the defense in sacks with 1. Robert Spillane came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Dolphins are entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 21-14. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 21/34 passes for 193 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Raheem Mostert led the team in rushing yards with 85 and 1 TD. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Zach Sieler led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Jaelan Phillips and Bradley Chubb each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Raiders vs Dolphins Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 13 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins have looked really good this season with their 6-3 record overall and have been really good in their home games too, going 4-0 in home games this year. They just lost in Germany to the Chiefs in their last game but now they will be back at home looking to bounce back and they are well rested too since they are coming out of their bye week. The Raiders have been through a lot this season with their fired head coach but they have still managed to get themselves to 5-5 overall. They have been terrible in their road games though with their 1-4 road record and this will be a really tough start on the road for rookie Aidan O'Connell. The Dolphins will not be holding back here as they look to bounce back at home and they have already been blowing out a ton of bad teams in their home games this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game.
Raiders Dolphins Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 19, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 31 Raiders 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Las Vegas Raiders: 8-14 ATS in road games. 7-25 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 3-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 8-2 UNDER in all games. 15-8 UNDER in road games. 10-2 UNDER off a home win. 9-4 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.
Miami Dolphins: 10-4 ATS as a home favorite. 48-23 ATS against AFC West division opponents. 14-8 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 8-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 18-12 UNDER after a bye week.
Key Injuries
Las Vegas Raiders: N. Hobbs (CB) Prob Sun - Ankle. D. Deablo (LB) Prob Sun - Ankle. A. Butler (DT) Prob Sun - Knee. C. Bolton (LB) Prob Sun - Illness. R. Teamer (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. J. Johnson (FB) Prob Sun - Concussion. G. Van Roten (G) Ques Sun - Bicep. M. Peters (CB) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Crosby (DE) Ques Sun - Knee. A. Robertson (CB) Ques Sun - Concussion. D. Parham (G) Ques Sun - Calf. K. Miller (OT) Ques Sun - Shoulder. B. Hoyer (QB) Ques Sun - Knee. K. Mauga (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Facyson (CB) Out indefinitely - Shin. D. Wagner (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Brown (RB) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Walter (RB) I-R - Undisclosed.
Miami Dolphins: J. Phillips (LB) Prob Sun - Back. J. Holland (S) Prob Sun - Back. S. Ahmed (RB) Prob Sun - Ribs. T. Armstead (T) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Smythe (TE) Ques Sun - Ankle. A. Ingold (FB) Ques Sun - Foot. B. Berrios (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. R. Mostert (RB) Ques Sun - Ankle. C. Claypool (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Waddle (WR) Prob Sun - Knee. R. Cracraft (WR) Prob Sun - Shoulder. D. Achane (RB) Prob Sun - Knee. B. Jones (S) Ques Sun - Concussion. R. Hunt (OL) Ques Sun - Hamstring. R. Jones (OL) Ques Sun - Knee. I. Wynn (OL) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. C. Brooks (RB) I-R - Ankle. E. Ezukanma (WR) Out indefinitely - Neck. K. Crossen (DB) I-R - Undisclosed. Z. Vandenburgh (LB) I-R - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“I had fun when I got in the locker room. When I was out there on the grass, that was stressful.” - Antonio Pierce after his team’s win against the Jets in their last game.
“I’m always going to blame myself — I’ve got to catch the ball. Can’t end the game like that when we have an opportunity like that against a really good team.” - Tua Tagovailoa after their loss against the Chiefs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Las Vegas Raiders
WR ADAMS, DAVANTE
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Renfrow, Hunter
TE Mayer, Michael
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Jacobs, Josh
FB Johnson, Jakob
Miami Dolphins
WR Waddle, Jaylen
WR Hill, Tyreek
WR Berrios, Braxton
TE Smythe, Durham
QB Tagovailoa, Tua
RB MOSTERT, RAHEEM
FB Ingold, Alec
Statistical Leaders
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: J. Garoppolo (1205)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (622)
Receiving: D. Adams (659)
Touchdowns: J. Meyers (6)
Miami Dolphins
Passing: T. Tagovailoa (2609)
Rushing: R. Mostert (605)
Receiving: T. Hill (1076)
Touchdowns: R. Mostert (13)
Coaches:
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (Interim)
Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
