by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Dec 23, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Monday, December 25, 2023
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Raiders +10.5, Chiefs -10.5; Over/Under: 41 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Raiders +10, Chiefs -10; Over/Under: 41 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Raiders +10, Chiefs -10; Over/Under: 41 points
Season Record
Las Vegas Raiders: 6-8 (3rd place, AFC West)
Kansas City Chiefs: 9-5 (1st place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Las Vegas Raiders: won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 63-21.
Kansas City Chiefs: won their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 27-17.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Analysis
The Raiders are entering this game with a 6-8 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 1-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Los Angeles Chargers 63-21. Aidan O'Connell was the starting QB and he completed 20/34 passes for 248 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Zamir White led the team in rushing yards with 69 and 1 TD. Davante Adams led the receivers with 101 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Divine Deablo led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Malcolm Koonce led the defense in sacks with 2. Jack Jones came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 9-5 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 5-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 27-17. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 27/37 passes for 305 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Clyde Edwards-Helaire led the team in rushing yards with 37. Rashee Rice led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 1 TD. L'Jarius Sneed led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Derrick Nnadi, Jaylen Watson, Charles Omenihu and Drue Tranquill each led the defense in sacks with 1. Willie Gay Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Raiders vs Chiefs Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 10.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked good in their games this season with their 9-5 record overall but lately they haven't been at their best and have been slipping in the race for the number 1 seed in the AFC. They did get a nice win by 10 points against the Patriots on the road last week and they will be looking to keep that streak going with a much needed home win as the Broncos are starting to put pressure on the Chiefs in the AFC West. Meanwhile, the Raiders are 6-8 this season and have looked a lot better since firing Josh McDaniels but their playoff hopes are very slim at this point in the season and they were already beaten by the Chiefs earlier this year in a home game where they allowed the Chiefs to come back and blow them out. The Chiefs are going to be focused on this home game on a national stage and they will be looking to prove that they are still a big threat in the AFC to make the Super Bowl. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game.
Raiders Chiefs Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Monday, December 25, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 35 Raiders 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Las Vegas Raiders: 14-24 ATS off a home win against a division rival. 5-10 ATS after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. 10-4 UNDER in all games. 16-8 UNDER in road games. 15-4 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs.
Kansas City Chiefs: 5-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. 6-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 9-5 UNDER as a favorite. 19-9 UNDER in home games. 7-1 UNDER after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.
Key Injuries
Las Vegas Raiders: R. Spillane (LB) Prob Mon - Illness. J. Herron (OT) Prob Mon - Knee. D. Turner (WR) Ques Mon - Shoulder. D. Parham (G) Ques Mon - Illness. M. Mayer (TE) Ques Mon - Toe. M. Crosby (DE) Ques Mon - Knee. B. Facyson (CB) Ques Mon - Shin. K. Miller (OT) Ques Mon - Shoulder. J. Jacobs (RB) Ques Mon - Knee. A. James (C) Ques Mon - Ankle. K. Mauga (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Wagner (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Brown (RB) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Walter (RB) I-R - Undisclosed.
Kansas City Chiefs: N. Bolton (LB) Prob Mon - Wrist. C. Jones (LB) Ques Mon - Illness. M. Hardman Jr. (WR) Ques Mon - Thumb. K. Toney (WR) Ques Mon - Hip. J. McKinnon (RB) Ques Mon - Groin. D. Smith (OT) Ques Mon - Neck. B. Cook (S) Ques Mon - Ankle. I. Pacheco (RB) Prob Mon - Shoulder. N. Remigio (WR) Ques Mon - Foot. J. Williams (CB) Ques Mon - Illness. S. Moore (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We knew at halftime what the record was. We want to be aggressive regardless of what the score was. If we had 21 or 10, we were going to be aggressive. That was our mindset.” - Antonio Pierce after his team’s win against the LA Chargers in their last game.
“When you're as close as the AFC is right now, wins are hard to get. And they’re important. This Patriots team is so close. They’re doing a nice job with their defense. They’re salty.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the Patriots in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Adams, Davante
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Renfrow, Hunter
TE Mayer, Michael
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Jacobs, Josh
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Watson, Justin
WR Toney, Kadarius
WR Rice, Rashee
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Pacheco, Isiah
Statistical Leaders
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: A. O'Connell (1613)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (805)
Receiving: D. Adams (968)
Touchdowns: J. Meyers (8)
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (3703)
Rushing: I. Pacheco (779)
Receiving: T. Kelce (924)
Touchdowns: I. Pacheco (7)
Coaches:
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (Interim)
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
