by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 27, 2024
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Friday, November 29, 2024
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch: Amazon Prime Video
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Raiders +13, Chiefs -13; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Raiders +13, Chiefs -13; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Raiders +13, Chiefs -13; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-9 (4th place, AFC West)
Kansas City Chiefs: 10-1 (1st place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game at home against the Denver Broncos 29-19.
Kansas City Chiefs: won their last game on the road against the Carolina Panthers 30-27.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs Preview and Analysis
The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-9 record overall and they have a 0-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 1-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 29-19. Gardner Minshew II was the starting QB and he completed 25/42 passes for 230 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Sincere McCormick led the team in rushing yards with 33. Jakobi Meyers led the receivers with 121 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Jack Jones led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Tyree Wilson led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 10-1 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 30-27. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 27/37 passes for 269 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 68. Noah Gray led the receivers with 66 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 2 TDs. Nazeeh Johnson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Mike Danna led the team in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Raiders vs Chiefs Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 13 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked great in their games this season with their 10-1 record overall which has them leading the AFC West with the best record in the entire NFL. As good as they have been, they have played in a lot of close games where they barely escaped and they are even coming off a 30-27 win over the Panthers in their last one. They have looked great in their home games though with their 5-0 home record and they continue to find ways to win games as great team usually do. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-9 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC West with the worst record in the entire NFL. They have struggled against AFC West opponents too, going 0-4 in the division, and they haven't looked good in their road games with their 1-5 road record. They are coming off a 29-19 loss to the Broncos in their last one and they have had a big problem at QB all season. O'Connell will likely be getting the start here, but it's not going to help them much against one of the best defenses in the NFL. The Chiefs already beat the Raiders in Las Vegas earlier this season 27-20 and their offense has looked a lot better in their games lately too. They haven't blown many teams out this season with a lot of 1-score games under their belt, but this is a great game on Black Friday for them to really flex their muscles and reestablish their dominance. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game.
Raiders Chiefs Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Friday, November 29, 2024 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 27 Raiders 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Las Vegas Raiders: 10-5 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 8-5 1H ATS after playing a division game. 6-3 UNDER off a home loss. 13-6 UNDER after playing a game at home.
Kansas City Chiefs: 2-10 ATS after scoring 30 points or more last game. 5-9 ATS versus division opponents. 1-5 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 18-6 UNDER in home games. 10-5 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 12-3 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.
Key Injuries
Las Vegas Raiders: A. Mattison (RB) Doubtful - Ankle. J. Jones (CB) Questionable - Back. Z. White (RB) Doubtful - Quadricep. J. Shorter (TE) Injured - Illness. C. Whitehair (OG) Questionable - Ankle. H. Bryant (TE) Questionable - Ankle. N. Hobbs (CB) Out - Ankle. A. James (C) Questionable - Ankle. J. Bennett (CB) Out - Shoulder.
Kansas City Chiefs: C. Conner (DB) Injured - Thumb. B. Cook (SAF) Injured - Rib. C. Omenihu (DE) Out - Knee. I. Pacheco (RB) Out - Ankle. K. Hunt (RB) Injured - Knee. J. Smith-Schuster (WR) Injured - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“I never doubt the mindset of everybody in that locker room. Everybody shows up every day with the mindset to get better, so that's all you can ask for.” - Maxx Crosby after their loss against the Broncos in their last game.
“At that point, yards are more important than getting out of bounds. With three timeouts, I just tried to just cut through and Justin Watson had a great block and was able to get down the field and get out of bounds.” - Patrick Mahomes after their win against the Panthers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Tucker, Tre
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Turner, DJ
TE Bowers, Brock
QB Ridder, Desmond
RB Abdullah, Ameer
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Hopkins, Deandre
WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu
WR Worthy, Xavier
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Hunt, Kareem
Statistical Leaders
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: G. Minshew (2013)
Rushing: A. Mattison (320)
Receiving: B. Bowers (744)
Touchdowns: A. Mattison (4)
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (2673)
Rushing: K. Hunt (577)
Receiving: T. Kelce (569)
Touchdowns: X. Worthy (6)
Coaches:
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (2nd season)
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (12th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
