by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 12, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 17, 2023
Venue: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Raiders +8.5, Bills -8.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Raiders +9, Bills -9; Over/Under: 47 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Raiders +9, Bills -9; Over/Under: 47 points
Season Record
Las Vegas Raiders: 1-0 (1st place, AFC West)
Buffalo Bills: 0-1 (4th place, AFC East)
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Recent Form
Las Vegas Raiders: won their last game on the road against the Denver Broncos 17-16.
Buffalo Bills: lost their last game on the road against the New York Jets in overtime 22-16.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Buffalo Bills Preview and Analysis
The Raiders are entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Denver Broncos 17-16. Jimmy Garoppolo was the starting QB and he completed 20/26 passes for 200 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 48. Jakobi Meyers led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 2 TDs. Nate Hobbs led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Maxx Crosby and Jerry Tillery led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.
The Bills are entering this game with a 0-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Jets in OT 22-16. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 29/41 passes for 236 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 46. Stefon Diggs led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Terrel Bernard led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Leonard Floyd led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Matt Milano came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Raiders vs Bills Prediction
The current betting odds have the Raiders listed as an 8.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Raiders won their 1st game on the road in a divisional game against the Broncos and Denver can be a really tough place to play in with the altitude. Jimmy G wasn't great in the game but he managed it well like he normally does and he has a very good record in his career as a starter. The Bills looked terrible in their Monday night game as they lost to the Jets with Wilson at QB and even though they are coming back home for this game, turnovers have been a big problem for Josh Allen over the last year. The Raiders have a good team brewing down in Las Vegas and they already won their season opener on the road. The Bills will be looking to bounce back here but they aren't going to blow the Raiders out in this game, especially with Allen's difficulties taking care of the ball as Jimmy G and the Raiders offense will take advantage of any turnovers in this game. Even if the Bills win this game at home, it won't be by double digits. The best way to place a bet here is on the Raiders to cover the spread in this game.
Raiders Bills Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 17, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bills 27 Raiders 24.
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NFL Betting Trends
Las Vegas Raiders: 30-52 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 17-38 ATS after a win by 3 or less points. 13-6 UNDER in road games. 8-2 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.
Buffalo Bills: 6-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 9-5 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 22-13 UNDER as a favorite. 11-4 UNDER in the first half of the season.
Key Injuries
Las Vegas Raiders: C. Jones (DE) Ques Sun - Personal. T. Moehrig (S) Ques Sun - Thumb. J. Meyers (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion. B. Facyson (CB) Out indefinitely - Shin. D. Wagner (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Brown (RB) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Butler (DT) I-R - Arm. A. Walter (RB) I-R - Undisclosed.
Buffalo Bills: B. Spector (LB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. V. Miller (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“That's Jimmy, he's got great mental toughness. Love his grit. Love his toughness.” - Josh McDaniels after his team’s win against the Broncos in their last game.
“We made it pretty hard on ourselves. When you turn the ball over four times, it’s hard to win in this league. You’re playing two opponents: the one on the other sideline and yourself. That’s what we did tonight and that’s not the right formula to win games.” - Sean McDermott after his team’s loss against the Jets in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Las Vegas Raiders
WR ADAMS, DAVANTE
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Renfrow, Hunter
TE Hooper, Austin
QB GAROPPOLO, JIMMY
RB Jacobs, Josh
FB Johnson, Jakob
Buffalo Bills
WR Davis, Gabe
WR Diggs, Stefon
TE Knox, Dawson
TE Kincaid, Dalton
QB Allen, Josh
RB Cook, James
FB Gilliam, Reggie
Statistical Leaders
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: J. Garoppolo (200)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (48)
Receiving: J. Meyers (81)
Touchdowns: J. Meyers (2)
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (236)
Rushing: J. Cook (46)
Receiving: S. Diggs (102)
Touchdowns: S. Diggs (1)
Coaches:
Las Vegas Raiders: Josh McDaniels (2nd season)
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
