Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 23, 2023
Venue: FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, TN
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Kentucky -13.5, Vandy +13.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Kentucky -13.5, Vandy +13.5; Over/Under: 50.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Kentucky -13.5, Vandy +13.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Season Record
Kentucky Wildcats: 3-0 (0-0) (3rd place, SEC East)
Vanderbilt Commodores: 2-2 (0-0) (6th place, SEC East)
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Kentucky Wildcats: won their last game at home against the Akron Zips 35-3.
Vanderbilt Commodores: lost their last game on the road against the UNLV Rebels 40-37.
Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores Preview and Analysis
Kentucky is entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Akron 35-3. Devin Leary was the starting QB and he completed 16/26 passes for 315 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Re'Mahn Davis led the team in rushing yards with 72 and 1 TD. Re'Mahn Davis led the receivers with 97 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Maxwell Hairston led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Trevin Wallace led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against UNLV 40-37. AJ Swann was the starting QB and he completed 16/35 passes for 296 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Patrick Smith led the team in rushing yards with 43. London Humphreys led the receivers with 102 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Trudell Berry led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Bakary Diakité and Miles Capers each led the defense in sacks with 1. Martel Hight and Nicolás Rinaldi each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction
The current betting odds have Vanderbilt listed as a 13.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Vanderbilt hasn't looked great in their games this season with 2 home wins and 2 road losses but they are going to be at home here where they have been a better team and they will have some fire in them too with this being the start of their conference schedule at home. Kentucky has looked really good in their 3 games this season but they haven't really played any tough teams this year and all 3 of those games were also at home. Now they are playing their 1st road game of the season which is also their 1st conference game and they are going to struggle more in this game. Kentucky has a good defense that is going to get stops in this game but they don't have a strong offense and they will struggle themselves to move the ball on the road here with Vandy throwing everything they have at them. Kentucky is also looking for revenge from last year so they are going to win this game but this spread is too big for them as Vanderbilt will keep this game closer at home. The best way to place a bet here is on Vanderbilt to cover the spread in this game.
Kentucky Vanderbilt Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 23, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Kentucky 31 Vanderbilt 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Kentucky Wildcats: 18-10 ATS in all games. 11-6 ATS after playing a game at home. 5-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. 12-4 UNDER against conference opponents. 8-2 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive unders.
Vanderbilt Commodores: 3-12 ATS in home games. 3-10 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 2-9 ATS after playing a non-conference game. 96-64 UNDER against conference opponents. 8-2 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread.
Key Injuries
Kentucky Wildcats: J. Wilcox (RB) day-to-day - Hamstring. L. Wright (RB) day-to-day - Undisclosed. K. Horsey (OL) Out indefinitely - Leg. N. Hall (OL) out for season - Undisclosed. B. Christman (OL) out for season - Undisclosed.
Vanderbilt Commodores: J. Palmer (TE) day-to-day - Back. S. Riley (S) day-to-day - Undisclosed. C. Spence (TE) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Appreciate the way the defense played all night. There's a lot of frustration offensively. (It's a) broken record, but you can’t have both, (bad) snaps, holds. You can’t fumble going in the end zone. You have a chance to easily put up, 40 to 49 (points).” - Mark Stoops after his team’s win against Akron in their last game.
“I don't believe that our side deserved to win tonight. I don't believe that we played to a level that would've allowed us to win that game.” - Clark Lea after his team’s loss against UNLV in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kentucky Wildcats
WR Key, Dane
WR Brown, Barion
WR Robinson, Tayvion
TE Dingle, Jordan
TE Bates, Brenden
QB Leary, Devin
RB Davis, Ray
Vanderbilt Commodores
WR Sheppard, Will
WR Skinner Jr., Quincy
WR McGowan, Jayden
TE Ball, Justin
TE Kyle, Logan
QB Swann, AJ
RB Smith, Patrick
Statistical Leaders
Kentucky Wildcats
Passing: D. Leary (855)
Rushing: R. Davis (236)
Receiving: T. Robinson (260)
Touchdowns: R. Davis (5)
Vanderbilt Commodores
Passing: A. Swann (1062)
Rushing: P. Smith (200)
Receiving: W. Sheppard (314)
Touchdowns: W. Sheppard (6)
Coaches:
Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Stoops (11th season)
Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (3rd season)