Kentucky Wildcats vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/27/2024

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Venue:  Humphrey Coliseum, Starkville, MS

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +2.5, MS State -2.5; Over/Under:  157.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +2.5, MS State -2.5; Over/Under:  157.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +2.5, MS State -2.5; Over/Under:  157.5 points

Kentucky Wildcats:  19-8 (9-5) (5th place, SEC)

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  19-8 (8-6) (7th place, SEC)

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Kentucky Wildcats:  3-2  last 5

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  5-0  last 5

Kentucky is entering this game with a 19-8 record overall, a 9-5 record in conference games, and they are 5-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their last game. Justin Edwards led the team in points per game in that game with 28 while Antonio Reeves was next on the team with 24. Reed Sheppard led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Reed Sheppard led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 63.1% from the field, 54.2% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 88.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.9 PPG against them. Kentucky has an ATS record of 16-11 this season and their O/U record is 19-8.

Mississippi State is entering this game with a 19-8 record overall, an 8-6 conference record, and they are 11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the LSU Tigers in their last game. Josh Hubbard led the team in points in that game with 32 while Tolu Smith III was next on the team with 19. Shakeel Moore and Dashawn Davis each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Tolu Smith III and KeShawn Murphy each led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 46.2% from the field, 47.6% from 3-point range, and 77.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.5 PPG against them. Mississippi State has an ATS record of 14-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-14.

The current betting odds have Kentucky listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kentucky has looked good in their games this season with their 19-8 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked good in the SEC with their 9-5 conference record which has them near the top of the conference and they have also been a good road team this year with their 5-3 road record. Meanwhile, Mississippi State has also looked good in their games this season with their 19-8 record overall and their 8-6 conference record which has them in the middle of the SEC right now. They have looked great on their home court this season with their 11-2 home record, but they have still been a really up and down team in the conference this year. They have looked a lot better in their games lately as they are 5-0 in their last 5 games and gaining a lot of momentum now, but Kentucky has also been getting hot now and will have their own momentum after beating Alabama in their last game who is the best team in the SEC right now. Mississippi State has been getting hot lately but they have been really inconsistent this year while Kentucky has been a ranked team all season and is now looking to prove themselves still as they get hot going into the postseason tournaments. The best way to place a bet here is on Kentucky to cover the spread in this game. 

Kentucky Mississippi State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 27, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Kentucky 81 Mississippi State 76.

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Kentucky Wildcats: 17-25 ATS off a home win. 8-17 ATS off a home win scoring 85 or more points. 9-16 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 19-8 OVER in all games. 8-2 OVER when the total is 150 to 159.5. 15-3 OVER after one or more consecutive overs.

Mississippi State Bulldogs: 42-27 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3. 8-4 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more. 30-16 ATS off 3 straight wins against conference rivals. 5-1 OVER when the total is 150 to 159.5. 7-0 OVER after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers. 12-6 OVER off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival.

Kentucky Wildcats:  T. Mitchell (F) Ques Tues - Shoulder.

Mississippi State Bulldogs:  A. Taylor (G) Out indefinitely - Personal.

“I thought they were good and I left them in. All I said was if you need a sub, I’m going to sub you out but you will go right back in because this unit is really pretty good.” - John Calipari after his team’s win against Alabama in their last game on Saturday.

"I'm in charge of Josh's shot. Since he's arrived, I've not said one word to him about his jump-shot, I promise you that. More than likely, I probably won't ever. He knows what he's doing out there." - Chris Jans after his team’s win against LSU in their last game on Saturday.

A. Bradshaw 

J. Edwards 

T. Mitchell 

A. Reeves 

D. Wagner

J. Bell 

D. Davis

T. Fort 

D. Jeffries 

C. Matthews

PPG: A. Reeves (19.9)

APG: R. Sheppard (4.1)

Reb/G: T. Mitchell (7.5)

PPG: T. Smith (16.8)

APG: D. Davis (3)

Reb/G: T. Smith (8.1)

Coaches:

Kentucky Wildcats: John Calipari (15th season)

Mississippi State Bulldogs: Chris Jans (2nd season)