Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 4, 2025
Venue: Pavilion at Ole Miss, University, MS
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Kentucky +3.5, Ole Miss -3.5; Over/Under: 157 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Kentucky +3.5, Ole Miss -3.5; Over/Under: 157 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Kentucky +3.5, Ole Miss -3.5; Over/Under: 157 points
Season Record
Kentucky Wildcats: 15-6 (4-4) (9th place, SEC)
Mississippi Rebels: 16-6 (5-4) (7th place, SEC)
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Kentucky Wildcats: 2-3 last 5
Mississippi Rebels: 1-4 last 5
Kentucky Wildcats vs Mississippi Rebels Preview and Analysis
Kentucky is entering this game with a 15-6 record overall, a 4-4 record in conference games, and they are 2-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game. Amari Williams led the team in points per game in that game with 22 while Jaxson Robinson was next on the team with 20. Amari Williams led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Amari Williams led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 48.4% from the field, 43.5% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 87.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 76.5 PPG against them. Kentucky has an ATS record of 10-11 this season and their O/U record is 12-9.
Ole Miss is entering this game with a 16-6 record overall, a 5-4 conference record, and they are 10-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Auburn Tigers in their last game. Sean Pedulla led the team in points in that game with 29 while Matthew Murrell was next on the team with 17. Jaylen Murray led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Sean Pedulla, Jaemyn Brakefield, and Davon Barnes each led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 46.4% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 68.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.7 PPG against them. Ole Miss has an ATS record of 12-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 9-13.
Kentucky vs Mississippi Prediction
The current betting odds have Kentucky listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kentucky has looked good in their games this season with their 15-6 record overall, but their 4-4 conference record has them right in the middle of the SEC. They haven't been a good road team so far with their 2-3 road record, but they are still a ranked team with a lot of talent. Meanwhile, Ole Miss has looked really good in their games this season with their 16-6 record overall, but their 5-4 conference record also has them right in the middle of the SEC. Ole Miss had a great start to the season and they have really turned things around with Chris Beard, but lately they have been struggling a lot in the conference. They are only 1-4 in their last 10 games and coming off another loss in their last one. They lost to Auburn at home by double digits and even their 1 win in their last 5 games was a really close 3 point win at home over Texas. Ole Miss could win this game in another tight one, but they haven't looked good lately and as bad as Kentucky has been lately, they are still the better team and can take advantage of Ole Miss in this slump. Kentucky is also coming off a loss in their last one and they lost a really bad game at home to Arkansas who is one of the worst teams in the SEC this year, and it was against their former head coach too. Kentucky will be looking to bounce back in a big way here and they have the talent to win on the road against a struggling team like Ole Miss. The best way to place a bet here is on Kentucky to cover the spread in this game.
Kentucky Mississippi Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 4, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Kentucky 81 Ole Miss 78.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Kentucky Wildcats: 9-2 ATS as a road underdog or pick. 14-5 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 16-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 56-32 OVER in all games. 6-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 23-14 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%).
Mississippi Rebels: 17-26 ATS in all home games. 14-21 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 11-21 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 9-4 OVER off a home loss against a conference rival. 28-17 1H OVER in all home games. 23-14 1H OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.
Key Injuries
Kentucky Wildcats: L. Butler (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Kriisa (G) Out - Foot.
Mississippi Rebels: None.
Notable Quotes
“You know, this is a journey for us. This is not a coronation, this is a journey. We’re going to earn our way through it, and there’s going to be some pain on the way and certainly, for my guys tonight it was super painful.” - Mark Pope after his team’s loss against Arkansas in their last game.
"I think it validates that we're a top-25 program. This was the second time that Auburn and Ole Miss have played in all these years, that both teams were ranked. We're going to continue to try and build our program where we're in the position we were today, where we're more than competitive." - Chris Beard after his team’s loss against Auburn in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kentucky Wildcats
L. Butler
A. Carr
O. Oweh
J. Robinson
A. Williams
Mississippi Rebels
D. Davis
M. Dia
J. Murray
M. Murrell
S. Pedulla
Statistical Leaders
Kentucky Wildcats
PPG: O. Oweh (15.6)
APG: L. Butler (4.8)
Reb/G: A. Williams (9)
Mississippi Rebels
PPG: S. Pedulla (15.2)
APG: J. Murray (3.7)
Reb/G: M. Dia (5.9)
Coaches:
Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Pope (1st season)
Mississippi Rebels: Chris Beard (2nd season)