Kentucky Wildcats vs LSU Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/21/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Feb 20, 2024
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 21, 2024
Venue:  Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, LA 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kentucky -4.5, LSU +4.5; Over/Under:  166.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kentucky -4.5, LSU +4.5; Over/Under:  166.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kentucky -4.5, LSU +4.5; Over/Under:  166.5 points

Season Record

Kentucky Wildcats:  17-7 (7-4) (5th place, SEC)
LSU Tigers:  12-12 (4-7) (11th place, SEC)

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Recent Form
Kentucky Wildcats:  3-2  last 5
LSU Tigers:  2-3  last 5


Kentucky Wildcats vs LSU Tigers Preview and Analysis


Kentucky is entering this game with an 18-7 record overall, an 8-4 record in conference games, and they are 5-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Auburn Tigers in their last game. Antonio Reeves led the team in points per game in that game with 22 while Adou Thiero was next on the team with 14. Reed Sheppard and Rob Dillingham each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Ugonna Onyenso led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 44.4% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 88.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 77.4 PPG against them. Kentucky has an ATS record of 15-10 this season and their O/U record is 18-7.


LSU is entering this game with a 13-12 record overall, a 5-7 conference record, and they are 9-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game. Tyrell Ward led the team in points in that game with 16 while Jordan Wright was next on the team with 14. Jordan Wright led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Trae Hannibal led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 43.1% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 64.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.3 PPG against them. LSU has an ATS record of 11-14 this season and their O/U record is 13-12.



Kentucky vs LSU Prediction

The current betting odds have Kentucky listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kentucky has looked good in their games this season with their 18-7 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country. They have looked good in the SEC this year with their 8-4 conference record which has them right near the top of the conference and they have also been a good road team with their 5-2 road record. Meanwhile, LSU hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 13-12 record overall and their 5-7 conference record which has them in the bottom half of the SEC. They have looked a lot better on their home court this year with their 9-4 home record, but they don't have the talent to compete with some of the better teams in the SEC. LSU is only 2-3 in their last 5 games while Kentucky is 3-2 in their last 5 games and has been gaining some momentum too. They took a bad loss at home to Gonzaga last week but they are starting to get hot again as they just upset Auburn in their last game on the road and have shown on many occasions this season that they can beat good teams on the road. LSU is one of the weaker teams in the SEC this year and with the way Kentucky is getting hot now, LSU won't be able to put up much of a fight here. The best way to place a bet here is on Kentucky to cover the spread in this game. 

Kentucky LSU Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 21, 2024 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Kentucky 79 LSU 66.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Kentucky Wildcats LSU Tigers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


Kentucky Wildcats: 11-6 ATS off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog. 7-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins. 18-7 OVER in all games. 8-4 OVER against conference opponents. 23-13 OVER after 1 or more consecutive unders. 13-3 OVER off a road win.

LSU Tigers: 5-12 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 7-15 ATS off a close road win by 3 points or less. 3-9 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins. 13-4 OVER off a win against a conference rival. 7-3 OVER after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less. 8-4 OVER after a conference game.

Key Injuries


Kentucky Wildcats:  T. Mitchell (F) Ques Wed - Shoulder.

LSU Tigers:  J. Cook (G) Ques Wed - Leg. C. Stewart (G) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Collins (F) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Notable Quotes


“Today was Antonio. When one guy can go do what he did in those games, it’s huge. We have multiple guys that can go and do stuff like that.” - John Calipari after his team’s win against Auburn in their last game on Saturday.


“I think our guys just stayed the course and found a way to get over the hump.” - Matt McMahon after his team’s win against South Carolina in their last game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Kentucky Wildcats
A. Bradshaw 
J. Edwards 
T. Mitchell 
A. Reeves 
D. Wagner

LSU Tigers
W. Baker 
J. Reed 
C. Stewart 
M. Williams III 
J. Wright

Statistical Leaders


Kentucky Wildcats
PPG: A. Reeves (19.5)
APG: R. Sheppard (4.1)
Reb/G: T. Mitchell (7.5)

LSU Tigers
PPG: J. Cook (15.6)
APG: J. Cook (2.8)
Reb/G: J. Wright (5.1)

Coaches:
Kentucky Wildcats: John Calipari (15th season)
LSU Tigers: Matt McMahon (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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