by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 04, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 7, 2023
Venue: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Kentucky +14.5, Georgia -14.5; Over/Under: 49 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Kentucky +14.5, Georgia -14.5; Over/Under: 49 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Kentucky +14.5, Georgia -14.5; Over/Under: 48.5 points
Season Record
Kentucky Wildcats: 5-0 (2-0) (2nd place, SEC East)
Georgia Bulldogs: 5-0 (2-0) (1st place, SEC East)
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Kentucky Wildcats: won their last game at home against the Florida Gators 33-14.
Georgia Bulldogs: won their last game on the road against the Auburn Tigers 27-20.
Kentucky Wildcats vs Georgia Bulldogs Preview and Analysis
Kentucky is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Florida 33-14. Devin Leary was the starting QB and he completed 9/20 passes for 69 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Re'Mahn Davis led the team in rushing yards with 280 and 3 TDs. Barion Brown led the receivers with 37 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Maxwell Hairston led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while D'Eryk Jackson, J.J. Weaver, and Deone Walker each led the defense in sacks with 1. Trevin Wallace came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Georgia is entering this game with a 5-0 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Auburn 27-20. Carson Beck was the starting QB and he completed 23/33 passes for 313 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Daijun Edwards led the team in rushing yards with 76 and 2 TDs. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 157 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Javon Bullard led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Smael Mondon Jr., Tykee Smith, and Xavian Sorey Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Malaki Starks came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Kentucky vs Georgia Prediction
The current betting odds have Kentucky listed as a 14.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kentucky is 5-0 this season and they have looked really good in their games with a lot of big wins over bad opponents. They just pulled off a big win at home against Florida in their last game and now they are going on the road here but they will definitely be up for the number 1 ranked team in the country right now. Georgia is also 5-0 this season but they haven't really looked like the team that has won back-to-back National Championships and they barely scraped by Auburn in their win last week. They have struggled in both of their games against SEC opponents as they struggled in Auburn last week and also at home against South Carolina. Kentucky is the best SEC team they will have faced up to this point and they are going to give them some trouble with the offensive problems Georgia has been having. Georgia doesn't have the same suffocating defense either as they have been giving up some points in their games this year and Kentucky will be able to take advantage of that. The best way to place a bet here is on Kentucky to cover the spread in this game.
Kentucky Georgia Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 7, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is UGA 24 UK 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Kentucky Wildcats: 20-10 ATS in all games. 8-4 ATS as an underdog. 12-6 ATS against conference opponents. 8-3 UNDER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 9-3 UNDER as an underdog. 12-6 UNDER against conference opponents.
Georgia Bulldogs: 5-10 ATS as a home favorite. 2-6 ATS off a road win. 5-10 ATS in home games. 16-8 UNDER as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. 16-10 UNDER in games played on a grass field.
Key Injuries
Kentucky Wildcats: T. Rybka (DL) Ques Sat - Shoulder. B. Brown (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Wilcox (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Wright (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. K. Horsey (OL) Out indefinitely - Leg. N. Hall (OL) out for season - Undisclosed. B. Christman (OL) out for season - Undisclosed.
Georgia Bulldogs: D. Morrissette (WR) Ques Sat - Groin. E. Lightsey (LB) Ques Sat - Back. A. Blaske (OL) Ques Sat - Knee. P. Spurlin III (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. R. Robinson II (RB) Ques Sat - Ankle. A. Mims (OL) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Ingram-Dawkins (DL) Out indefinitely - Foot. B. Robinson (RB) out for season - Knee. L. Luckie (TE) Out indefinitely - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“We were far from perfect but when we did put it together, we were humming on all sides. ... Our guys came out strong and that’s something I said we needed to go back to, establishing the line of scrimmage. That’s who we are.” - Mark Stoops after his team’s win against Florida in their last game.
“We’re not going to get where we want to go if we don’t get better. That’s the biggest thing.” - Kirby Smart after his team’s win against Auburn in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kentucky Wildcats
WR Key, Dane
WR Brown, Barion
WR Robinson, Tayvion
TE Dingle, Jordan
TE Bates, Brenden
QB Leary, Devin
RB Davis, Ray
Georgia Bulldogs
WR Rosemy-Jacksaint, Marcus
WR Thomas, Rara
WR Lovett, Dominic
TE Bowers, Brock
QB Beck, Carson
RB Edwards, Daijun
Statistical Leaders
Kentucky Wildcats
Passing: D. Leary (1129)
Rushing: R. Davis (594)
Receiving: T. Robinson (308)
Touchdowns: R. Davis (11)
Georgia Bulldogs
Passing: C. Beck (1497)
Rushing: D. Edwards (260)
Receiving: B. Bowers (412)
Touchdowns: D. Edwards (5)
Coaches:
Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Stoops (11th season)
Georgia Bulldogs: Kirby Smart (8th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
