Kentucky Wildcats vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/22/2025

Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 22, 2025

Venue:  Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +8.5, Alabama -8.5; Over/Under:  178.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +8.5, Alabama -8.5; Over/Under:  178.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kentucky +8.5, Alabama -8.5; Over/Under:  178.5 points

Kentucky Wildcats:  18-8 (7-6) (9th place, SEC)

Alabama Crimson Tide:  21-5 (10-3) (3rd place, SEC)

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Kentucky Wildcats:  3-2  last 5

Alabama Crimson Tide:  3-2  last 5

Kentucky is entering this game with an 18-8 record overall, a 7-6 record in conference games, and they are 2-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Vanderbilt Commodores in their last game. Otega Oweh led the team in points per game in that game with 20 while Amari Williams was next on the team with 17. Koby Brea and Otega Oweh each led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Otega Oweh led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 58% from the field, 40.7% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 85.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 75.7 PPG against them. Kentucky has an ATS record of 14-12 this season and their O/U record is 14-12.

Alabama is entering this game with a 21-5 record overall, a 10-3 conference record, and they are 10-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Missouri Tigers in their last game. Mark Sears led the team in points in that game with 35 while Labaron Philon was next on the team with 14. Mark Sears led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Mouhamed Dioubate led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 53.8% from the field, 41.9% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 90.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 80.3 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 14-12 this season and their O/U record is 14-11-1.

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama has looked really good in their games this season with their 21-5 record overall and their 10-3 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have looked great on their home court too with their 10-2 home record, and they are ranked like one of the best teams in the nation. Meanwhile, Kentucky has looked good in their games this season with their 18-8 record overall which also has them ranked inside the top 25, but their 7-6 conference record has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have been a terrible road team too with their 2-5 road record. They are coming off a win over Vanderbilt in their last one, but they are 3-2 in their last 5 games and they have taken some bad conference losses this season. Alabama is also 3-2 in their last 5 games and they have no momentum on their side with 2 losses in a row now, but those losses were also against Missouri and Auburn who are 2 of the best teams in the SEC. That is only going to motivate Alabama more to bounce back in this game, and they already beat kentucky on the road earlier this season too. Alabama is one of the best teams in the nation with how good they have looked all season and they are going to bring their best effort at home to bounce back after 2 losses in a row. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Kentucky Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 22, 2025 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 90 Kentucky 72.

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Kentucky Wildcats: 16-25 ATS off a home win. 4-16 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 6-14 1H ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 9-4 OVER as a road underdog or pick. 18-10 OVER after a win by 15 points or more. 22-12 OVER versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.

Alabama Crimson Tide: 27-17 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 7-2 ATS off a road loss. 28-19 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 11-5 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 8-2 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 14-3 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game.

Kentucky Wildcats:  L. Butler (G) Questionable - Shoulder. J. Robinson (G) Questionable - Wrist. K. Kriisa (G) Out - Foot.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  D. Reid (F) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Mallette (G) Doubtful - Knee. L. Wrightsell (G) Out - Achilles. N. Cunningham (F) Out - Redshirt.

"I'm really incredibly proud of our guys. We're learning as fast as we can with this new roster. We've got a bunch of guys stepping up, and I thought they did a great job." - Mark Pope after his team’s win against Vandy in their last game.

“They were on fire tonight. That’s for sure.” - Nate Oats after his team’s loss against Mizzou in their last game. 

L. Butler 

A. Carr 

O. Oweh 

J. Robinson 

A. Williams

G. Nelson 

C. Omoruyi 

L. Philon 

M. Sears 

J. Stevenson

PPG: O. Oweh (16.2)

APG: L. Butler (4.6)

Reb/G: A. Williams (8.7)

PPG: M. Sears (18.5)

APG: M. Sears (4.8)

Reb/G: G. Nelson (8.1)

Coaches:

Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Pope (1st season)

Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (6th season)