Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/28/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, Feb 27, 2022
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Monday, February 28, 2022
Venue:  United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX
Where to Watch:  ESPN2

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  KSU +13, TT -13; Over/Under:  132.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  KSU +12.5, TT -12.5; Over/Under:  133.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  KSU +12.5, TT -12.5; Over/Under:  133.5 points
 

Season Record

Kansas State Wildcats:  14-14 (7th place, Big 12)
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  22-7 (3rd place, Big 12)
 
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Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Kansas State Wildcats:  2-3 last 5
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  4-1 last 5
 
 
 

Kansas State Wildcats Analysis

KSU is coming into this game with a 14-14 record overall and they are 5-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 17th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 6-10 in their conference games this season. Their last win was against the West Virginia Mountaineers but they have gone on a 3 game losing streak since then with losses coming against the Oklahoma State Cowboys, the Kansas Jayhawks, and the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game. Nijel Pack led the team in points in that game with 32 while Markquis Nowell was next on the team with 16 points. Nowell and Mike McGuirl both led the team in assists in that game with 4 each while Mark Smith led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 42.6% from the field, 32% from 3-point range, and 75.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 68.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.4 PPG against them. KSU has an ATS record of 14-12-2 this season and their O/U record is 15-13.
 
 

Texas Tech Red Raiders Analysis

TT is coming into this game with a 22-7 record overall and they are 17-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 17th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 11-5 in their conference games this season. They have won 4 of their last 5 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 4 game winning streak that they were on. Their 4 wins in that span were against the TCU Horned Frogs, the Baylor Bears, the Texas Longhorns, and the Oklahoma Sooners while their loss came against TCU in their last game. Bryson Williams led the team in points in that game with 21 while Adonis Arms was next on the team with 15 points. Arms led the team in assists in that game with 4 and he also led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 58.1% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 100% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 73.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.4 PPG against them. TT has an ATS record of 20-9 this season and their O/U record is 14-15.
 

 

Kansas State vs Texas Tech Prediction

KSU has not been playing well in their recent games. They have lost 3 straight games coming into this one, 2 of those losses were within 3 points but they are taking on a much stronger team here than what they have seen in those 2 close losses. They are going up against a ranked opponent here and the last ranked opponent they faced, they lost by close to 20 points and they were on the road for that one as well. KSU has not played well on the road or against conference opponents this season and they are going up against a TT side that is 11-5 against conference opponents and they are unbeaten at home with a 17-0 record. TT is coming off of a close loss by 3 points on the road against TCU and they will be hungry to get that game back here. They are back at home and going up against a team that has been spiraling for 3 straight games. KSU does not have a lot of time left to fix things with only 2 games left and they will likely keep falling in these last 2 games. TT is the better team here and they will be looking for a win to make up for their last game. TT should win this game by double digits here at home.
 
Kansas State Texas Tech Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, February 28, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is TT 83 KSU 66.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Kansas State Wildcats: 10-16 ATS off 2 straight losses against conference rivals. 5-11 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less. 12-4 OVER against conference opponents.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 19-9 ATS in all games. 12-4 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 14-8 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent.
 

Key Injuries

 
Kansas State Wildcats:  M. Edwards (G) out for season - Leg injury. L. Landers (F) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Harris (G) Out indefinitely - Illness. S. Lewis (F) out for season - Knee injury.
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  D. Batcho (F) Ques Mon - Knee injury. E. Duncan (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“It’s a tough loss, for sure. We played so hard, especially in the second half. To come up short, It’s just a testament of the way this year has gone.” - Markquis Nowell on their loss against ISU.
 
 
“If they ask me, they’d get my vote. TCU is really good. This Big 12, as we all know, is a nightmare. It keeps me up late at night. Every game is tough.” - Mark Adams after his team’s loss against TCU.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Kansas State Wildcats
D. Bradford 
M. McGuirl
M. Nowell
N. Pack 
M. Smith
 
Texas Tech Red Raiders
A. Arms 
K. McCullar 
K. Obanor 
D. Warren
B. Williams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Kansas State Wildcats
PPG: N. Pack (17.8)
APG: M. Nowell (5.1)
Reb/G: M. Smith (8.6)
 
Texas Tech Red Raiders
PPG: B. Williams (13.9)
APG: K. McCullar (3.1)
Reb/G: K. McCullar (5)
 
Coaches:
Kansas State Wildcats: Bruce Weber (10th season)
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Mark Adams (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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