Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/04/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Nov 02, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 4, 2023
Venue:  Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  KSU +4, Texas -4; Over/Under:  49.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  KSU +4.5, Texas -4.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  KSU +4, Texas -4; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Season Record

Kansas State Wildcats:  6-2 (4-1) (3rd place, Big 12)
Texas Longhorns:  7-1 (4-1) (2nd place, Big 12)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in CFB as he is 89-49 his last 138 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Kansas State Wildcats:  won their last game at home against the Houston Cougars 41-0.
Texas Longhorns:  won their last game at home against the BYU Cougars 35-6.


Kansas State Wildcats vs Texas Longhorns Preview and Analysis


Kansas State is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Houston 41-0. Will Howard was the starting QB and he completed 15/17 passes for 164 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. DJ Giddens led the team in rushing yards with 96 and 2 TDs. Phillip Brooks III led the receivers with 83 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Marques Sigle led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Nate Matlack led the defense in sacks with 1. Will Lee III came away with the only interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Texas is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 4-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against BYU 35-6. Maalik Murphy was the starting QB and he completed 16/25 passes for 170 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jonathon Brooks led the team in rushing yards with 98 and 1 TD. Adonai Mitchell led the receivers with 59 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 2 TDs. Jaylan Ford led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Justice Finkley and Barryn Sorrell each led the defense in sacks with 1. Terrance Brooks and Michael Taaffe each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.


Kansas State vs Texas Prediction

The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas is 7-1 this season and they are 4-1 in their conference games as they did lose to Oklahoma. They have looked a lot better lately though even without their starting QB as they blew BYU out 35-6 in their last game. Kansas State has also looked really good lately with their 6-2 record overall and they are also 4-1 in their conference games so this is a big game for both teams since the winner will have an edge to the Big 12 Championship. Kansas State has looked a lot better in their games lately and they are still the Big 12 defending champions, but Texas will be looking to make a statement to them, especially since they are starting to roll again. This is going to be a tough game for Kansas State on the road against Texas who is still trying to prove themselves as a playoff team so even if Kansas State does manage to keep it closer, this still won't be enough points. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game. 

Kansas State Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 4, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Texas 28 Kansas State 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Kansas State Wildcats Texas Longhorns prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Kansas State Wildcats: 22-11 ATS in all games. 15-7 ATS against conference opponents. 29-15 ATS after allowing 6 points or less last game. 6-1 UNDER off a home win against a conference rival. 22-16 UNDER after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games. 

Texas Longhorns: 5-10 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. 3-6 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins. 6-1 UNDER as a favorite. 12-5 UNDER in home games. 10-2 UNDER after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 

Key Injuries


Kansas State Wildcats:  K. Johnson (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. A. Newsom (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. D. Green (LB) out for season - Pectoral.

Texas Longhorns:  K. Ross (DL) Mid Nov - Undisclosed. Q. Ewers (QB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.

Notable Quotes


“It was a dominant performance. We didn't want to be a roller-coaster team. We want to get better every week. Houston is a good team. Our guys really played focused, physical football.” - Chris Klieman after his team’s win against Houston in their last game. 


“The way that he responded from both of those two turnovers, I thought was great. Malik got really good composure about him.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against BYU in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Kansas State Wildcats
WR Jackson, Jadon  
WR Brown, Jayce 
WR Brooks, Phillip 
TE Sinnott, Ben
TE Swanson, Will 
QB Howard, Will 
RB Giddens, DJ 

Texas Longhorns
WR Worthy, Xavier 
WR Mitchell, Adonai 
WR Whittington, Jordan 
TE Sanders, Ja'Tavion 
QB Murphy, Maalik  
RB Brooks, Jonathon

Statistical Leaders


Kansas State Wildcats
Passing: W. Howard (1628)
Rushing: D. Giddens (722)
Receiving: P. Brooks (437)
Touchdowns: D. Giddens (8)

Texas Longhorns
Passing: Q. Ewers (1915)
Rushing: J. Brooks (923)
Receiving: X. Worthy (572)
Touchdowns: J. Brooks (8)

Coaches:
Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (5th season)
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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