Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/22/2022

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Oct 19, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 22, 2022
Venue:  Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  KSU +3.5, TCU -3.5; Over/Under:  54 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  KSU +3.5, TCU -3.5; Over/Under:  54 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  KSU +3.5, TCU -3.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points
 

Season Record

Kansas State Wildcats:  5-1 (3-0) (2nd place, Big 12)
TCU Horned Frogs:  6-0 (3-0) (1st place, Big 12)
 
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Recent Form
Kansas State Wildcats:  won their last game on the road against the Iowa State Cyclones 10-9.
TCU Horned Frogs:  won their last game at home against the Oklahoma State Cowboys 43-40 in overtime.

 

Kansas State Wildcats vs TCU Horned Frogs Preview and Analysis

 
KSU is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 2-0 in their road games this year. This will also be their 4th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 3-0. They won against the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game on the road 10-9. Adrian Martinez started that game at QB and he completed 12/19 passes for 246 yards and 1 touchdown. Adrian Martinez also led the team in rushing with 77 yards on 19 rushing attempts. Phillip Brooks III led the team in receiving with 119 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions while Malik Knowles also had 108 receiving yards on 5 catches. Josh Hayes led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Felix Anudike and Brendan Mott each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
TCU is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th home game of the season as they are 3-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 4th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 3-0. They won against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game at home 43-40 in OT. Max Duggan started that game at QB and he completed 23/40 passes for 286 yards and 2 touchdowns. Kendre Miller led the team in rushing with 104 yards and 2 TDs on 22 carries. Quentin Johnston led the team in receiving with 180 yards and 1 TD on 8 receptions. Mark Perry led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Dee Winters and Jamoi Hodge each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Bud Clark came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

Kansas State vs TCU Prediction

The current betting odds have TCU listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TCU has had a pretty tough schedule in their last few games but they have come out of it smelling like roses as they are the only undefeated team left in the Big 12. KSU has also been playing well in their games as they are the 2nd best team in the conference right now with a 5-1 record, and they are also the only other undefeated team in the Big 12 in conference games. TCU has been really good though, going on the road to beat a very good Kansas team and then coming back home to beat the undefeated Oklahoma State after trailing by a lot early in that game. KSU has also been playing great this year but they have had a lot of wins that were much closer in score and they haven't had a schedule as tough as TCU either. They just beat Texas Tech at home who doesn't have a great team and then they went on the road and beat Iowa State by 1 point when they haven't been having a great year either. This will be their toughest test of the year so far and to go on the road here after the way TCU won last week, it is going to be very difficult for them. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game.
 
Kansas State TCU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 22, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 49 KSU 24.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Kansas State Wildcats TCU Horned Frogs prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Kansas State Wildcats: 17-10 ATS in all games. 12-7 ATS against conference opponents. 23-14 OVER as a road underdog of 7 points or less.
TCU Horned Frogs: 8-16 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 13-20 ATS after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. 6-1 OVER off an extremely close home win by 3 points or less.
 

Key Injuries

 
Kansas State Wildcats:  W. Honas (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. S. Robinson (LB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. T. Poitier (OL) out for season - Knee.
TCU Horned Frogs:  C. Morris (QB) Out indefinitely - Knee. Q. Brown (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Their kid made a great play on Malik. He made a phenomenal play. Touchdowns and points were going to be at a premium, with two good defenses." - Chris Klieman after his team’s win against ISU in their last game.
 
 
"Great win for our program. We made every mistake humanly possible in the first half, and guys just kind of kept hanging in there battling and I really thought we had a good mentality at halftime. ... Then we just came out defensively in the second half and just played lights out." - Sonny Dykes after his team’s win against Oklahoma State in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Kansas State Wildcats
WR Knowles, Malik
WR Warner, Kade
WR Brooks, Phillip 
TE Wheeler, Sammy
QB Martinez, Adrian
RB Vaughn, Deuce
FB Moore, Christian 
 
TCU Horned Frogs
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Williams, Savion
WR Spivey, Geor'Quarius 
WR Barber, Taye
TE Wiley, Jared 
QB Duggan, Max
RB Miller, Kendre 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Kansas State Wildcats
Passing: A. Martinez (900)
Rushing: D. Vaughn (661)
Receiving: P. Brooks (274)
Touchdowns: A. Martinez (9)
 
TCU Horned Frogs
Passing: M. Duggan (1591)
Rushing: K. Miller (578)
Receiving: Q. Johnston (500)
Touchdowns: K. Miller (8)
 
Coaches:
Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (4th season)
TCU Horned Frogs: Sonny Dykes (1st season)

Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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