Kansas State Wildcats vs Kansas Jayhawks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/18/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 18, 2023

Venue:  David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, KS

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  KSU -8, KU +8; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  KSU -8, KU +8; Over/Under:  56.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  KSU -8.5, KU +8.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Kansas State Wildcats:  7-3 (5-2) (3rd place, Big 12)

Kansas Jayhawks:  7-3 (4-3) (6th place, Big 12)

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Kansas State Wildcats:  won their last game at home against the Baylor Bears 59-25.

Kansas Jayhawks:  lost their last game at home against the Texas Tech Red Raiders 16-13.

Kansas State is entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 5-2 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Baylor 59-25. Will Howard was the starting QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 235 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. DJ Giddens led the team in rushing yards with 115. Ben Sinnott led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Desmond Purnell led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Cody Stufflebean led the defense in sacks with 2. Keenan Garber came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Kansas is entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 4-3 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Texas Tech 16-13. Jason Bean was the starting QB and he completed 1/4 passes for 13 passing yards before leaving injured and getting replaced by Cole Ballard who completed 9/20 passes for 124 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Devin Neal led the team in rushing yards with 137 and 1 TD. Lawrence Arnold led the receivers with 44 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Kenny Logan Jr. led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Ra'Mello Dotson, Rich Miller, and Austin Booker each led the defense in sacks with 1. O.J. Burroughs came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Kansas State listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kansas State is 7-3 overall this season with their 5-2 conference record and they have looked a lot better in their games lately. They came really close to beating Texas the other week on the road and now they are coming off a big win at home against Baylor. Kansas has also looked good this season with their 7-3 record overall and their 4-3 conference record but they have also been struggling a lot more lately with their QB situation. They have already been playing with their backup QB Jason Bean who has been getting the job done at times but he is still a huge downgrade from their starter. Now Bean is dealing with a head injury that had him leave their last game and they will be a much worse team offensively if they have to resort to their 3rd string. Even if Bean plays, he still won't be enough to beat Kansas State with the way they have been getting hot lately and the defending Big 12 champions will be coming to make a statement against their rivals. The best way to place a bet here is on Kansas State to cover the spread in this game. 

Kansas State Kansas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 18, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Kansas State 45 Kansas 24.

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Kansas State Wildcats: 23-11 ATS in all games. 18-5 ATS as a favorite. 16-7 ATS against conference opponents. 8-3 ATS after a game where they committed no turnovers. 16-6 OVER after playing a game where 80 total points or more were scored. 13-7 OVER after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

Kansas Jayhawks: 25-51 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival. 23-36 ATS after 2 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers. 17-8 OVER as an underdog. 11-6 OVER when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 12-4 OVER after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers.

Kansas State Wildcats:  A. Newsom (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. D. Green (LB) out for season - Pectoral.

Kansas Jayhawks:  J. Bean (QB) Prob Sat - Head. T. Wilson (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. L. Grimm (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. T. Kardell (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Daniels (QB) Out indefinitely - Back. B. Conaway (RB) out for season - Undisclosed.

“A great performance by our guys today. Our guys came to play today. We had two defensive touchdowns. We had four stops on fourth down and four turnovers. When you have eight (takeaways) it's hard to beat you.” - Chris Klieman after his team’s win against Baylor in their last game. 

“We battled and found a way to tie it up late but credit them for driving down the field. Our defense found a way to get stops and responded well when challenged. Offensively, I don’t think we ever fully got set today.” - Lance Leipold after his team’s loss against Texas Tech in their last game. 

WR Johnson, Keagan 

WR Brown, Jayce 

WR Brooks, Phillip 

TE Sinnott, Ben

TE Swanson, Will 

QB Howard, Will 

RB Giddens, DJ 

WR Arnold, Lawrence 

WR Skinner, Quentin 

WR Grimm, Luke 

TE Fairchild, Mason 

QB Bean, Jason 

RB Neal, Devin

Passing: W. Howard (2190)

Rushing: D. Giddens (859)

Receiving: P. Brooks (554)

Touchdowns: D. Giddens (9)

Passing: J. Bean (1431)

Rushing: D. Neal (965)

Receiving: L. Arnold (559)

Touchdowns: D. Neal (11)

Coaches:

Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (5th season)

Kansas Jayhawks: Lance Leipold (3rd season)