by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 18, 2021
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 20, 2021
Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Kansas +21, TCU -21; Over/Under: 64.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Kansas +21.5, TCU -21.5; Over/Under: 64.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Kansas +21.5, TCU -21.5; Over/Under: 64.5 points
Season Record
Kansas Jayhawks: 2-8 (10th place, Big 12)
TCU Horned Frogs: 4-6 (9th place, Big 12)
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Kansas Jayhawks vs TCU Horned Frogs Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Kansas Jayhawks: won on the road on Nov. 13 against the Texas Longhorns in overtime 57-56.
TCU Horned Frogs: lost on the road on Nov. 13 against the Oklahoma State Cowboys 63-17.
Kansas Jayhawks Analysis
Kansas is coming into this game with a 2-8 record overall and they are 1-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-6 in their conference games this season. They have lost 7 of their last 8 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped the 7 game losing streak that they were on. Jalon Daniels played great in their last game as he completed 21/30 passes for 202 yards and 3 touchdowns. Devin Neal had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 143 yards and 3 touchdowns on 24 carries while Daniels also ran in 1 TD himself. Kwamie Lassiter II led the receivers with 68 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions while Mason Fairchild and Neal both caught the other touchdown passes with 1 each. Kenny Logan Jr. led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles. Kyron Johnson recorded the only sacks in that game with 2 while O.J. Burroughs and Jacobee Bryant each came up with 1 interception for them in that one. They have scored 193 points in their 10 games this season averaging 19.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 441 points against them allowing 44.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 320.2 YPG while their defense is allowing 492 YPG.
TCU Horned Frogs Analysis
TCU is coming into this game with a 4-6 record overall and they are 3-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 2-5 in their conference games this season. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and they are coming into this one off of another loss in their last game. Chandler Morris did not have a good game in that one as he completed 11/20 passes for 103 yards. Emari Demarcado led the team in rushing with 90 yards and 1 touchdown on 14 carries. Taye Barber led the receivers with 74 yards on 3 receptions. Nook Bradford led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. No one on the defense recorded a sack or an interception in that game though. They have scored 299 points in their 10 games this season averaging 29.9 PPG and they have allowed thier opponents to score 343 points against them allowing 34.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 433.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 462.2 YPG.
Kansas vs TCU Prediction
Kansas is coming into this game as a 21 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams have been very bad all season. Kansas has started to show some improvement recently and will have a lot of confidence in this game as they are coming off of a massive upset over Texas in their last game. Their offense was very balanced in that game, they ran the ball well and they threw it well. TCU has not really been improving in their games recently, they have just stayed mediocre for the entire season. TCU is not going to be blowing out anyone by more than 21 points, especially with the way Kansas played last week. The best bet to place in this game is on Kansas to cover the spread as they have stayed close in a few of their games this season and this will be another.
Kansas TCU Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 20, 2021 (4:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 42 Kansas 28.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Kansas Jayhawks: 24-41 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points. 140-187 ATS in all games. 91-134 ATS as an underdog. 43-74 ATS as a road underdog. 55-90 ATS in road games. 101-139 ATS against conference opponents.
TCU Horned Frogs: 19-23 O/U as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 78-86 O/U as a favorite. 42-45 O/U as a home favorite. 80-87 O/U against conference opponents. 81-87 O/U after playing a conference game.
Key Injuries
Kansas Jayhawks: J. Bean (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. W. Huggins (TE) out for season - Undisclosed injury. S. Roe (FB) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
TCU Horned Frogs: E. Demercado (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. S. Jackson (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. M. Duggan (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
"It really says a lot about the young men we have in the locker room. They've been starving. It's one win. We have to build on it.'' - Lance Leipold on his team’s win against Texas in their last game.
“Don’t be surprised when you KU football start winning like they used to. They have the right people there to do it. No disrespect to anybody, but you know they're coached better. Their technique is better. They're just a lot better football team than what they were a year ago. There's no comparison." - Jerry Kill on Kansas ahead of their game against them this week.
Starting Lineups
Kansas Jayhawks
WR Trevor Wilson
WR Lawrence Arnold
WR Lassiter II, Kwamie
TE Fairchild, Mason
QB Jason Bean
RB Neal, Devin
TCU Horned Frogs
WR Brown, Quincy
WR Quentin Johnston
WR Derius Davis
WR Conwright, Blair
TE DiNunzio, Dominic
QB Morris, Chandler
RB Demercado, Emari
Statistical Leaders
Kansas Jayhawks
Passing: J. Bean (1252)
Rushing: D. Neal (648)
Receiving: K. Lassiter II (507)
Touchdowns: D. Neal (7)
TCU Horned Frogs
Passing: Max Duggan (1666)
Rushing: Zach Evans (648)
Receiving: Q. Johnston (612)
Touchdowns: K. Miller (6)
Coaches:
Kansas Jayhawks: Lance Leipold (1st season)
TCU Horned Frogs: Jerry Kill (Interim)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
