Kansas Jayhawks vs Arizona Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/28/2026

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 28, 2026

Venue:  McKale Center at ALKEME Arena, Tucson, AZ

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kansas +8.5, Arizona -8.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kansas +8.5, Arizona -8.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kansas +8.5, Arizona -8.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Kansas Jayhawks:  21-7 (11-4) (2nd place, Big 12)

Arizona Wildcats:  26-2 (13-2) (1st place, Big 12)

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Kansas Jayhawks:  3-2  last 5

Arizona Wildcats:  3-2  last 5

Kansas is entering this game with a 21-7 record overall, an 11-4 record in conference games, and they are 5-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Houston Cougars in their last game. Tre White led the team in points in that game with 23 while Darryn Peterson was next on the team with 14. Melvin Council Jr. led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Bryson Tiller led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 44% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 90% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.2 PPG against them. Kansas has an ATS record of 18-10 this season and their O/U record is 9-19.

Arizona is entering this game with a 26-2 record overall, a 13-2 conference record, and they are 14-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Baylor Bears in their last game. Jaden Bradley led the team in points in that game with 25 while Brayden Burries was next on the team with 24. Ivan Kharchenkov and Jaden Bradley each led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Tobe Awaka led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 49.2% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 87.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 PPG against them. Arizona has an ATS record of 15-12-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-14.

The current betting odds have Arizona listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arizona has looked great in their games this season with their 26-2 record overall and their 13-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big 12. They have looked great on their home court too with their 14-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, Kansas has looked really good in their games this season with their 21-7 record overall and their 11-4 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have been a good road team too with their 5-4 road record this year, but they haven't been a great road team. They have also been up and down lately as they are 3-2 in their last 5 games. They are off a home win over Houston in their last one and have picked up some really good wins this year, but they also have some bad losses like their double digit loss at home to Cincinnati last Saturday and a blow out loss to Iowa State on the road too. They are also dealing with some drama with their star player being in and out of the lineup, not playing full games either. Arizona is also 3-2 in their last 5 games, but they lost 2 games in a row after a 23-0 start to the year, and now they have been rolling again with 3 wins in a row now. One of those losses this season was on the road against Kansas too, so they are going to bring their best effort at home to get their revenge against a streaky Kansas team. Look for Arizona to continue rolling here and assert themselves as the best team in the Big 12 this season. The best way to place a bet here is on Arizona to cover the spread in this game. 

Kansas Arizona Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 28, 2026 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Arizona 82 Kansas 70.

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Kansas Jayhawks: 6-12 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 5-9 ATS after game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 33% or less. 4-10 ATS after playing 2 consecutive home games. 20-9 UNDER in road games. 22-8 UNDER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%).

Arizona Wildcats: 14-4 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 11-6 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 27-16 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 3-1 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite.

Kansas Jayhawks:  None.

Arizona Wildcats:  K. Peat (F) Questionable - Lower Leg. D. Aristode (F) Questionable - Illness.

"I thought our ball screen defense was really good. The bigs stayed until he picked the dribble up a lot more. If you look at it, they didn't get near as many open looks. I know, Sharp scored, I think, off the short roll to start the second half, when we helped too much. Kingston made one or two late. But other than that, I thought our ball screen defense was right on point, and that was good. Even when we were switching, I thought we switched up and just didn't let them, you know, get to their spots." - Bill Self after his team’s win against Houston in their last game. 

“Just a great basketball game, and we knew it was gonna be tough coming in here, we’ve been on the road for what feels like a week now. Obviously we had a big, gritty win on Saturday and we had to follow it up with a game that people probably thought we were overlooking, and there’s no way we were overlooking this game. I have way too much respect for Scott and for Baylor. We knew it was going to be tough, and I know how much talent they have. They’ve just had a tough year, but you can see when they put it together how good they really are.” - Tommy Lloyd after his team’s win against Baylor in their last game. 

F. Bidunga 

M. Council 

D. Peterson 

B. Tiller 

T. White

J. Bradley 

B. Burries 

I. Kharchenkov 

M. Krivas 

K. Peat

PPG: Darryn Peterson (19.5)

APG: Melvin Council Jr. (5.1)

Reb/G: Flory Bidunga (9.2)

PPG: Brayden Burries (15.5)

APG: Jaden Bradley (4.7)

Reb/G: Tobe Awaka (9.6)

Coaches:

Kansas Jayhawks: Bill Self (23rd season)

Arizona Wildcats: Tommy Lloyd (5th season)