Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/17/2022

Game Time: 12:05 pm ET, Sunday, July 17, 2022

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  Peacock

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +275, Blue Jays -330; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +270, Blue Jays -340; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +240, Blue Jays -300; Over/Under:  9.5 runs

 

Kansas City Royals:  36-54 (5th place, AL Central)

Toronto Blue Jays:  48-43 (3rd place, AL East)

 

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Kansas City Royals:  6-4 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  4-6 last 10

 

 

 

 

The Royals were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Detroit Tigers 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 36-54 record overall and have a road record of 17-27. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Daniel Lynch is the starting pitcher on Saturday while Kris Bubic will be making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 1-6 with a 6.63 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 8 hits through 5.2 IP against the Detroit Tigers. 

 

The Blue Jays won 3 of their last 4 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-0 completing the sweep in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 48-43 record overall and have a home record of 28-19. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Royals on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .761 OPS. Max Castillo is on the mound on Saturday while José Berríos will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Sunday. He is 7-4 with a 5.38 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 13 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Philadelphia Phillies. 

The current betting odds have the Blue Jays listed as a massive favorite in this game. The Royals won the first game of this series but got destroyed in the 2nd game and that will likely be the only win they get in Toronto with all of the players they are missing in this series. The Blue Jays have a big advantage just in that regard, not to mention that they also have a much better lineup and pitching staff in general as well. They need some home wins here to feel good about themselves and go into the All-Star break like that. They have still been a very good team at home this season and they have found plenty of success with Berrios on the mound this season. This is a series that the Jays should have swept but they still have a chance to win the series and they will do so here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Blue Jays on the runline.

 

Royals Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 17, 2022 (12:05 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 9 Royals 4.

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Kansas City Royals: 26-22 (+4.8 Units) ML on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 76-83 (+16.7 Units) ML in the second half of the season. 29-17 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125.

Toronto Blue Jays: 48-43 (-15.4 Units) ML in all games. 12-20 (-10.3 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 31-22 UNDER against AL Central opponents.

 

 

Kansas City Royals:  W. Merrifield (2B) Out indefinitely - Toe. S. Perez (C) Late Aug - Thumb. A. Mondesi (SS) out for season - Knee.

Toronto Blue Jays:  N. Pearson (SP) Late July - Back. Y. Kikuchi (SP) Late July - Neck. H. Ryu (SP) out for season - Elbow.

 

 

 

"He's got a different slider. I mean, it just has different metrics to it, it has different break. You could tell the guys were having a little bit of trouble with him, especially some of the guys who hadn't seen him before, which was most of them. He really capitalized on that pitch today." - Mike Matheny after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays on Friday.

 

 

"He's a beast. He's got another gear with runners in scoring position when he runs into trouble." - John Schneider after his team’s win against the Royals on Friday.

 

 

 

Edward Olivares (D) LF

Bobby Witt Jr. (D) SS

Vinnie Pasquantino (Z) DH

Emmanuel Rivera (D) 3B

Ryan O'Hearn (Z) RF

Nick Pratto (Z) 1B

Nate Eaton (D) CF

Nicky Lopez (Z) 2B

Sebastian Rivero (D) C

 

George Springer (R) CF

Vladimir Guerrero (R) 1B

Alejandro Kirk (R) DH

Bo Bichette (R) SS

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF

Matt Chapman (R) 3B

Santiago Espinal (R) 2B

Danny Jansen (R) C

 

 

Batting Average:  Andrew Benintendi (.317)

Hits:  Andrew Benintendi (102)

Home Runs:  Bobby Witt (13)

RBI:  Bobby Witt (46)

Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (17)

Wins:  Brad Keller (5)

Saves:  Scott Barlow (16)

ERA:  Angel Zerpa (1.29)

 

Batting Average:  Alejandro Kirk (.313)

Hits:  Bo Bichette (98)

Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (20)

RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (56)

Stolen Bases:  George Springer (9)

Wins:  Alek Manoah (10)

Saves:  Jordan Romano (19)

ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)

 

Managers:

Kansas City Royals: Mike Matheny (3rd season)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (Interim)