Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/16/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jul 15, 2022
Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Saturday, July 16, 2022
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  SNET

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +245, Blue Jays -295; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +245, Blue Jays -295; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +240, Blue Jays -300; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Kansas City Royals:  36-53 (5th place, AL Central)
Toronto Blue Jays:  47-43 (3rd place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Kansas City Royals:  7-3 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

 
The Royals enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Detroit Tigers 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 36-53 record overall and have a road record of 17-26. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .691 OPS. Zack Greinke is the starting pitcher on Friday while Daniel Lynch will be making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-7 with a 4.92 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 6 hits through 4 IP against the Detroit Tigers. 
 
The Blue Jays were on a 2 game winning streak but now enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-0 completing the sweep in a 2-game series. They enter this game with a 47-43 record overall and have a home record of 27-19. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Royals on Saturday with the 2nd game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .757 OPS. Alek Manoah is on the mound on Friday while there is no probable starting pitcher yet throwing the first pitch in this game on Saturday. The Blue Jays have a lot of their starters on the IL so they will either be going with a bullpen day here or they will have to make a call to the minors for a starter in this game.

 

Royals vs Blue Jays Prediction

The current betting odds have the Royals listed as a massive underdog in this game. The Blue Jays have not been playing well recently. They thought their trouble were over with a 2-game series sweep of the Phillies a few days ago but they followed that up with a loss in the series opener to the Royals here and that is a very bad look considering that the Royals are missing 10 of their strongest players due to not being vaccinated. The Blue Jays continue to be massive favorites in these games and continue to lose them as they are in the middle of a very big slump. Even in the games they are winning, they are winning in very close games and very rarely does this offense explode in a game like they should be doing. The Jays will likely win this game and bounce back at home but it will not be by much and considering how much of a favorite they are going to be here, it is not worth betting. The best way to place a bet here is on the Royals on the runline in this game.
 
Royals Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 16, 2022 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 3 Royals 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Kansas City Royals: 26-22 (+4.8 Units) ML on the road when the money line is +125 to -125. 75-82 (+14.6 Units) ML in the second half of the season. 29-17 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125.
Toronto Blue Jays: 47-43 (-16.4 Units) ML in all games. 12-20 (-10.3 Units) ML when the money line is +125 to -125. 31-21 UNDER against AL Central opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Kansas City Royals:  W. Merrifield (2B) Out indefinitely - Toe. S. Perez (C) Late Aug - Thumb. A. Mondesi (SS) out for season - Knee.
Toronto Blue Jays:  N. Pearson (SP) Late July - Back. Y. Kikuchi (SP) Late July - Neck. H. Ryu (SP) out for season - Elbow.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"One of the best wins of the year, all things considered." - Mike Matheny after his team’s win against the Blue Jays on Thursday.
 
 
"Great to get him back out there before the (All-Star) break. We liked what we saw, obviously. Everything was there as it usually is. Just a couple bad pitches." - John Schneider on Gausman after his team’s loss against the Royals on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Kansas City Royals
Edward Olivares (R) LF
Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS
Vinnie Pasquantino (L) DH
Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B
Ryan O'Hearn (L) RF
Nick Pratto (L) 1B
Nate Eaton (R) CF
Nicky Lopez (L) 2B
Sebastian Rivero (R) C
 
Toronto Blue Jays
George Springer (R) CF
Vladimir Guerrero (R) 1B
Alejandro Kirk (R) DH
Bo Bichette (R) SS
Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R) LF
Matt Chapman (R) 3B
Santiago Espinal (R) 2B
Danny Jansen (R) C
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Kansas City Royals
Batting Average:  Andrew Benintendi (.317)
Hits:  Andrew Benintendi (102)
Home Runs:  Bobby Witt (13)
RBI:  Bobby Witt (46)
Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (17)
Wins:  Brad Keller (5)
Saves:  Scott Barlow (16)
ERA:  Angel Zerpa (1.29)
 
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  Alejandro Kirk (.315)
Hits:  Bo Bichette (97)
Home Runs:  Vladimir Guerrero (20)
RBI:  Vladimir Guerrero (56)
Stolen Bases:  George Springer (9)
Wins:  Alek Manoah (9)
Saves:  Jordan Romano (19)
ERA:  Bowden Francis (0.00)
 
Managers:
Kansas City Royals: Mike Matheny (3rd season)
Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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