Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/02/2022

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Oct 01, 2022
Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, October 2, 2022
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH 
Where to Watch:  BSGL

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +180, Guardians -210; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +180, Guardians -210; Over/Under:  7 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +180, Guardians -210; Over/Under:  7 runs
 

Season Record

Kansas City Royals:  63-94 (5th place, AL Central)
Cleveland Guardians:  89-68 (1st place, AL Central)
 
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Recent Form
Kansas City Royals:  5-5 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  9-1 last 10
 
 
 

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis

 
The Royals enter this game on a 4 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Detroit Tigers getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 63-94 record overall and have a road record of 24-52. This is the 3rd game of a 6-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .688 OPS. Kris Bubic is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Max Castillo is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 0-1 with a 4.98 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 6 ER, 0 HRs, and 4 BB with 4 Ks on 6 hits through 4 IP against the Seattle Mariners.
 
The Guardians enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Tampa Bay Rays 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 89-68 record overall and have a home record of 43-33. This is the 3rd game of a 6-game series with the Guardians on Sunday with the 2nd game still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 19th in the MLB with a .697 OPS. Zach Plesac is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Shane Bieber is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 12-8 with a 2.91 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 1 homer, and 0 BB with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6 innings played against the Tampa Bay Rays.

 

Royals vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Guardians listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Guardians have been rolling over the last week as they took a lead late in their division but held on as they have grown an 11 game lead over the White Sox in 2nd place, and they have now locked up the division going to the playoffs too. The Royals are out of the playoffs and can't even play spoiler here so they will use this as an opportunity to get some playing experience for some of their younger players. The Guardians have been very hot over the last few weeks and they will need to stay hot going into the playoffs. They have already won 3 games in a row now and they will keep that streak up here as they have been hitting well in their games and pitching even better. The best way to place a bet here is on the Guardians to win this game.
 
Royals Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, October 2, 2022 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Guardians 6 Royals 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Kansas City Royals: 63-94 (-15.2 Units) ML in all games. 24-52 (-16 Units) ML in road games. 19-12 UNDER on the road when the total is 7 to 7.5.
Cleveland Guardians: 89-68 (+22.6 Units) ML in all games. 43-33 (+5.2 Units) ML in home games. 21-15 UNDER as a favorite of -175 to -250.
 

Key Injuries

 
Kansas City Royals:  J. Brentz (RP) out for season - Elbow. T. Zuber (RP) out for season - Shoulder. A. Mondesi (SS) out for season - Knee.
Cleveland Guardians:  Z. Plesac (SP) Prob Sat - Hand. A. Gose (RP) out for season - Tricep.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We opened the door in that inning for their guy (Ramírez) to do damage. And he did it." - Mike Matheny after his team’s loss against the Guardians on Friday.
 
 
"Andrés Giménez called that homer. I said, ‘Double,' but he just turned to me and goes, ‘No, home run.' Give him credit." - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Royals on Friday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Kansas City Royals
MJ Melendez (L) LF
Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS
Salvador Perez (R) C
Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 1B
Edward Olivares (R) DH
Michael A. Taylor (R) CF
Michael Massey (L) 2B
Nate Eaton (R) 3B
Drew Waters (S) RF
 
Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) DH
Gabriel Arias (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Oscar Gonzalez (R) RF
Will Brennan (L) LF
Austin Hedges (R) C
Myles Straw (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Kansas City Royals
Batting Average:  Maikel Garcia (.318)
Hits:  Bobby Witt (146)
Home Runs:  Salvador Perez (22)
RBI:  Bobby Witt (80)
Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (28)
Wins:  Brad Singer (10)
Saves:  Scott Barlow (24)
ERA:  Angel Zerpa (1.64)
 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Will Brennan (.333)
Hits:  Amed Rosario (175)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (29)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (122)
Stolen Bases:  Myles Straw (20)
Wins:  Cal Quantrill (14)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (40)
ERA:  Ian Gibaut (0.00)
 
Managers:
Kansas City Royals: Mike Matheny (3rd season)
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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