Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/05/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 04, 2024
Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Wednesday, June 5, 2024
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  BSGL


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +100, Guardians -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +100, Guardians -120; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +100, Guardians -120; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

Kansas City Royals:  36-25 (2nd place, AL Central)
Cleveland Guardians:  39-20 (1st place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Kansas City Royals:  4-6 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  7-3 last 10



Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis


The Royals are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the San Diego Padres 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-25 record overall and have a road record of 14-15. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Seth Lugo is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Brady Singer is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-2 with a 2.63 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Guardians are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 39-20 record overall and have a home record of 20-7. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Royals on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 11th in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Triston McKenzie is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Logan Allen is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-3 with a 5.83 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 1 homer, and 2 BB with 1 strikeout on 6 hits through 1.2 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.


Royals vs Guardians Prediction

The current betting odds have the Royals listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Royals have looked really good in their games this season with their 36-25 record overall which has them right in 2nd place of the AL Central, right behind the Guardians. They haven't looked as good in their road games with their 14-15 road record, but they do have a favorable pitching matchup in this one. The Royals haven't been as good as the Guardians up to this point in the season as the Guardians lead the AL Central with their 39-20 record overall and their 20-7 home record, but the Royals aren't far behind so this will be a big series for them to play catch up. The Guardians have Allen starting in this game and after a rookie season which he pitched really well in, he hasn't looked nearly as good in his starts this year. He is 6-3 but has a 5.83 ERA and even though his team has won 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, he still gave up 7 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him this year. The Royals have Singer starting in this game and he is coming off a good season, continuing that this year too. Singer is 4-2 with a 2.63 ERA this year and coming off a start which he allowed 1 earned run in. Singer has also been a lot more consistent as a starter this season and will give the Royals a very good chance to win this game with pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Royals to win this game.

Royals Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 5, 2024 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Royals 3 Guardians 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Kansas City Royals: 157-228 (-26.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 63-128 (-33 units) on the moneyline in road games. 65-83 (-5.3 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. BRADY SINGER is 7-2 OVER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 and 16-9 OVER in road games.

Cleveland Guardians: 39-20 (+17 units) on the moneyline in all games. 20-7 (+10 units) on the moneyline in home games. 27-17 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 17-10 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125. LOGAN ALLEN is 9-2 OVER in all games and 5-0 OVER in home games.

Key Injuries


Kansas City Royals:  K. Isbel (CF) Ques Tues - Head. B. Singer (SP) Ques Tues - Illness. M. Wacha (SP) Out indefinitely - Foot. M. Massey (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Lyles (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. J. Taylor (RP) Late May - Bicep. K. Bubic (SP) Mid July - Elbow. K. Wright (SP) out for season - Shoulder.

Cleveland Guardians:  E. Morgan (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Carrasco (SP) Out indefinitely - Neck. G. Williams (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. S. Bieber (SP) out for season - Elbow. T. Stephan (RP) out for season - Elbow. J. Karinchak (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“It felt great. I thought I commanded my stuff today. I don’t think I changed anything. Just sticking to the process and going out there and executing that is the biggest thing. In late innings, we put together good bats. These guys are relentless. It is so fun to watch and be a part of.” - Cole Ragans after their win against the Padres in their game on Sunday.


“We just couldn’t see to square anything up against (Irvin).” - Stephen Vogt after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Kansas City Royals
Maikel Garcia (R) 3B
Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS
Vinnie Pasquantino (L) 1B
Salvador Perez (R) DH
Adam Frazier (L) RF
Nick Loftin (R) 2B
MJ Melendez (L) LF
Freddy Fermin (R) C
Kyle Isbel (L) CF

Cleveland Guardians
Steven Kwan (L) LF
Tyler Freeman (R) CF
José Ramírez (S) DH
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Will Brennan (L) RF
Gabriel Arias (R) 3B
Bo Naylor (L) C
Daniel Schneemann (L) 2B
Brayan Rocchio (S) SS

Statistical Leaders


Kansas City Royals
Batting Average:  Salvador Perez (.315)
Hits:  Bobby Witt (76)
Home Runs:  Salvador Perez (10)
RBI:  Bobby Witt (42)
Stolen Bases:  Bobby Witt (17)
Wins:  Seth Lugo (9)
Saves:  James McArthur (11)
ERA:  Jordan Lyles (0.00)

Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Steven Kwan (.362)
Hits:  José Ramírez (63)
Home Runs:  José Ramírez (16)
RBI:  José Ramírez (57)
Stolen Bases:  Andrés Giménez (9)
Wins:  Logan Allen (6)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (18)
ERA:  Shane Bieber (0.00)

Managers:
Kansas City Royals: Matt Quatraro (2nd season)
Cleveland Guardians: Stephen Vogt (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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