Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/30/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, May 29, 2022
Game Time: 6:10 pm ET, Monday, May 30, 2022
Venue:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  MLB Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +145, Guardians -165; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +145, Guardians -165; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Royals +145, Guardians -165; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Kansas City Royals:  16-29 (5th place, AL Central)
Cleveland Guardians:  19-23 (3rd place, AL Central)
 
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Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Kansas City Royals:  3-7 last 10
Cleveland Guardians:  3-7 last 10
 
 
 

Kansas City Royals Analysis

The Royals are coming into this game with a 16-29 record overall and they are 8-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. They just lost their 2-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks getting swept 2-0 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Guardians on Monday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Minnesota Twins still to be played on Sunday. Zack Greinke is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Jonathan Heasley will be on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 0-2 with a 4.73 ERA this season. His team lost all 3 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HRs, and 6 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits in 5 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks. They scored 17 runs in their last series averaging just over 5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 15 runs against them averaging 5 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

Cleveland Guardians Analysis

The Guardians are coming into this game with a 19-23 record overall and they are 8-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 3 game losing streak that they were on. They just lost their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 and they are playing the series opener of a 3-game series with the Royals on Monday. This will be the 1st game of the series on Monday with the series finale of their series against the Detroit Tigers still to be played on Sunday. Triston McKenzie is the starting pitcher for them on Sunday while Zach Plesac will be on the mound for them here on Monday. He is 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA this season. His team lost 4 of their last 5 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 9 hits in 4.2 innings played against the Houston Astros. They scored 5 runs in their last series averaging 2.5 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 11 runs against them averaging 5.5 runs allowed per game with the final game of that series still to be played.
 

 

Royals vs Guardians Prediction

The Royals are coming into this game as an underdog with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well in this last series against the Twins and they have started to score a lot more runs recently as well as their bats are starting to heat up. They are going up against a Guardians team that has been very inconsistent this season and is still sitting below .500 with their record. The Royals are one of the worst teams in the MLB but they have been playing well on the road recently and they will put up a good fight against a division rival here. Heasley has not been great for the Royals this season but he has not been awfully bad either while Plesac has been pretty bad for the Guardians and has struggled in most of his starts this season. The Royals are hitting well right now and their lineup has been getting healthier, at the same time the Guardians are not really a good team in the MLB. The best bet here is on the Royals to win this game.
 
Royals Guardians Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Monday, May 30, 2022 (6:10 pm ET start time) is Royals 6 Guardians 4.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Kansas City Royals: 116-151 (-9.3 Units) ML in all games. 76-122 (-12.3 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 22-15 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Cleveland Guardians: 49-19 (+22 Units) ML as a favorite of -125 to -175. 75-57 (+7.5 Units) ML against division opponents. 31-18 UNDER at home when the total is 9 to 9.5.
 

Key Injuries

 
Kansas City Royals:  M. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Illness. A. Mondesi (SS) out for season - Knee. C. Gallagher (C) Out indefinitely - Hamstring.
Cleveland Guardians:  A. Civale (SP) Mid June - Buttocks. F. Reyes (RF) Early June - Hamstring. C. Morris (SP) Early June - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It's a dangerous, dangerous lineup. They depend on the home run, and they get a couple guys on base it can turn into a crooked number in a hurry. I was happy to see Whit come down with that one." - Mike Matheny after his team’s win against the Twins on Saturday.
 
 
"It's just such a pleasure. And I hope people realize what they're seeing because, I mean, my goodness, he just is so, so good. He's so smart. I don't know if people realize how smart he is. ... His intelligence, his IQ in baseball is so off-the-charts." - Terry Francona after his team’s win against the Tigers on Saturday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Kansas City Royals
Whit Merrifield (R) CF
Andrew Benintendi (L) LF
Bobby Witt Jr. (R) SS
Salvador Perez (R) DH
MJ Melendez (L) C
Hunter Dozier (R) RF
Carlos Santana (S) 1B
Emmanuel Rivera (R) 3B
Nicky Lopez (L) 2B
 
Cleveland Guardians
Myles Straw (R) CF
Amed Rosario (R) SS
Jose Ramirez (S) 3B
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Oscar Gonzalez (R) RF
Andres Gimenez (L) 2B
Richie Palacios (L) DH
Luke Maile (R) C
Steven Kwan (L) LF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Kansas City Royals
Batting Average:  Edward Olivares (.371)
Hits:  Andrew Benintendi (53)
Home Runs:  Salvador Perez (6)
RBI:  Bobby Witt (24)
Stolen Bases:  Whit Merrifield (7)
Wins:  Collin Snider (3)
Saves:  Scott Barlow (5)
ERA:  Matt Peacock (0.00)
 
Cleveland Guardians
Batting Average:  Oscar Gonzalez (.500)
Hits:  Jose Ramirez (47)
Home Runs:  Jose Ramirez (12)
RBI:  Jose Ramirez (48)
Stolen Bases:  Myles Straw (9)
Wins:  Nick Sandlin (3)
Saves:  Emmanuel Clase (7)
ERA:  Sam Hentges (1.17)
 
Managers:
Kansas City Royals: Mike Matheny (3rd season)
Cleveland Guardians: Terry Francona (10th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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