by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 15, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 17, 2023
Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chiefs -8, Patriots +8; Over/Under: 37 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chiefs -8, Patriots +8; Over/Under: 37 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chiefs -8.5, Patriots +8.5; Over/Under: 37 points
Season Record
Kansas City Chiefs: 8-5 (1st place, AFC West)
New England Patriots: 3-10 (4th place, AFC East)
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Kansas City Chiefs: lost their last game at home against the Buffalo Bills 20-17.
New England Patriots: won their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 21-18
Kansas City Chiefs vs New England Patriots Preview and Analysis
The Chiefs are entering this game with an 8-5 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 20-17. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 25/43 passes for 271 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Clyde Edwards-Helaire led the team in rushing yards with 39. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 83 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Mike Edwards led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Trent McDuffie, Charles Omenihu, and George Karlaftis each led the defense in sacks with 1. Chamarri Conner came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Patriots are entering this game with a 3-10 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-5 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 21-18. Bailey Zappe was the starting QB and he completed 19/28 passes for 240 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ezekiel Elliott led the team in rushing yards with 68. JuJu Smith-Schuster led the receivers with 90 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jahlani Tavai led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Mack Wilson Sr. led the defense in sacks with 1. Jabrill Peppers came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Chiefs vs Patriots Prediction
The current betting odds have the Patriots listed as an 8 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Patriots have looked terrible all season with their 3-10 record overall and they have already been eliminated from playoff contention too. They finally found something in their last game though with a win over the Steelers in Pittsburgh and they are going to have some momentum from that win coming back home here. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have looked good all season with their 8-5 record overall but a lot of those wins came in the 1st half of the season. They haven't looked as good in their games lately as they have been losing more and just lost their last game to the Bills at home. The Chiefs have had issues on offense all season and those issues are starting to catch up with them now. The Patriots have also had a good defense in their games lately, not giving up many points. The Patriots will have a much better game at home with the momentum they got from last week while the Chiefs continue to struggle in their games and even if the Chiefs come away with the win here which is very likely, it won't be by more than a touchdown. The best way to place a bet here is on the Patriots to cover the spread in this game.
Chiefs Patriots Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 17, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 24 Patriots 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Kansas City Chiefs: 5-0 ATS off a home loss. 6-3 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 9-4 UNDER in all games. 6-2 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 9-4 UNDER as a favorite.
New England Patriots: 3-10 ATS in all games. 7-17 ATS as an underdog. 6-14 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 9-4 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.
Key Injuries
Kansas City Chiefs: L. Chenal (LB) Prob Sun - Illness. D. Tranquill (LB) Prob Sun - Concussion. N. Bolton (LB) Ques Sun - Wrist. M. Edwards (S) Ques Sun - Illness. J. Ross (WR) Elig Sun - Personal. D. Smith (OT) Ques Sun - Neck. B. Cook (S) Ques Sun - Ankle. I. Pacheco (RB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. N. Remigio (WR) Ques Sun - Foot. M. Hardman Jr. (WR) Out indefinitely - Thumb. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.
New England Patriots: T. Thornton (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. B. Schooler (DB) Ques Sun - Illness. J. Smith-Schuster (WR) Ques Sun - Ankle. T. Brown (OL) Ques Sun - Ankle. C. Barmore (DL) Ques Sun - Shoulder. T. Wheatley Jr. (OT) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Parker (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. S. Wade (CB) Ques Sun - Illness. D. Douglas (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion. M. Judon (LB) Late Dec - Bicep. R. Reiff (OL) Out indefinitely - Knee. R. Stevenson (RB) Late Dec - Ankle. C. Anderson (OL) Out indefinitely - Illness. K. Bourne (WR) I-R - Knee. K. Boutte (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. C. Gonzalez (CB) I-R - Shoulder. D. Ekuale (DL) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Jones (DB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. I. Bolden (CB) I-R - Neck. R. McMillan (LB) I-R - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“It’s a bit embarrassing for the National Football League for that to take place.” - Andy Reid on the controversial penalty called on Kadarius Toney after his team’s loss against the Bills in their last game.
“No one has quit in this locker room. We're fighting, we're working. We're trying to get better. That's all you can do. That's all you can ask for. It hasn't been perfect.” - David Andrews after their win against the Steelers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Moore, Skyy
WR Watson, Justin
WR Rice, Rashee
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Pacheco, Isiah
New England Patriots
WR Parker, Devante
WR Thornton, Tyquan
WR Douglas, Demario
TE Henry, Hunter
QB Zappe, Bailey
RB Stevenson, Rhamondre
Statistical Leaders
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (3398)
Rushing: I. Pacheco (779)
Receiving: T. Kelce (896)
Touchdowns: I. Pacheco (7)
New England Patriots
Passing: M. Jones (2120)
Rushing: R. Stevenson (619)
Receiving: D. Douglas (410)
Touchdowns: H. Henry (5)
Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)
New England Patriots: Bill Belichick (24th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
