Kansas City Chiefs vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/08/2023

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Oct 05, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 8, 2023
Venue:  U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -4.5, Vikings +4.5; Over/Under:  53 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -4, Vikings +4; Over/Under:  52.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -4, Vikings +4; Over/Under:  52.5 points

Season Record

Kansas City Chiefs:  3-1 (1st place, AFC West)
Minnesota Vikings:  1-3 (3rd place, NFC North)

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Recent Form
Kansas City Chiefs:  won their last game on the road against the New York Jets 23-20.
Minnesota Vikings:  won their last game on the road against the Carolina Panthers 21-13.


Kansas City Chiefs vs Minnesota Vikings Preview and Analysis


The Chiefs are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Jets 23-20. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 18/30 passes for 203 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 115 and 1 TD. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Drue Tranquill led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Mike Edwards and Chris Jones each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Vikings are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Carolina Panthers 21-13. Kirk Cousins was the starting QB and he completed 12/19 passes for 139 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Alexander Mattison led the team in rushing yards with 95. Justin Jefferson led the receivers with 85 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 2 TDs. Camryn Bynum led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Harrison Smith led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Chiefs vs Vikings Prediction

The current betting odds have the Vikings listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Vikings are 1-3 this season and haven't been great in their games as they just got their 1st win of the season against the winless Panthers in their last game. Their offense has still been putting up points in their games though and even their 3 losses have all been in really close games. Now that they finally won a game they will have some momentum at home here and the Chiefs haven't really looked great themselves despite being 3-1 this season. The Chiefs have won 3 games in a row since losing to the Lions in week 1 but they struggled on offense in their 17-9 win against the Jags and they also struggled to get by the Jets in their 23-20 win last week. The Vikings have a much stronger offense than the team they have faced so far and the Vikings are going to put up points at home to keep this game close. The Vikings are also going to be desperate since they started the season so badly and a win here would really boost them up going into next week. The best way to place a bet here is on the Vikings to cover the spread in this game. 

Chiefs Vikings Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 8, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Vikings 31 Chiefs 24.
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NFL Betting Trends


Kansas City Chiefs: 12-28 ATS after gaining 375 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games. 12-30 ATS after gaining 6 or more yards/play in 3 consecutive games. 13-6 OVER in road games. 6-1 OVER after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game. 

Minnesota Vikings: 13-7 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. 6-3 ATS after 4 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. 24-14 OVER in all games. 7-0 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 10-3 OVER off 1 or more consecutive unders.

Key Injuries


Kansas City Chiefs:  M. Dickerson (DT) Ques Sun - Knee. J. Watson (CB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. N. Bolton (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. B. Thompson (DE) Ques Sun - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. R. James (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. C. Omenihu (DE) Elig Week 7 - Suspension. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.

Minnesota Vikings:  N. Mullens (QB) Ques Sun - Back. J. Metellus (S) Ques Sun - Shoulder. M. Davenport (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. B. Asamoah II (LB) Ques Sun - Toe. L. Cine (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. G. Bradbury (C) Ques Sun - Back. J. Nailor (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. O. Udoh (G) I-R - Quadricep. K. Nwangwu (RB) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Lynch (DL) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“Listen, I thought it was a hold. I've got to go back and look at the tape on it. He was on the other side of the field. They’re aggressive, so they’re going to get a couple of those during the game. Sauce is as good as there is in the league, but he might have had a little bit of fabric there.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the Jets in their last game. 


“When we gave up an interception that resulted directly into points early, those guys fought off that feeling of, ‘Woe is me’ or ‘Here we go again.’” Our guys weren’t having it. We found a way to piece together a complementary win.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s win against the Panthers in their last game.


Starting Lineups


Kansas City Chiefs
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez  
WR Watson, Justin  
WR Moore, Skyy 
TE KELCE, TRAVIS 
QB Mahomes, Patrick 
RB Pacheco, Isiah

Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin 
WR Addison, Jordan 
WR Osborn, K.J. 
TE Hockenson, T.J. 
QB COUSINS, KIRK 
RB Mattison, Alexander 
FB HAM, C.J. 

Statistical Leaders


Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (1006)
Rushing: I. Pacheco (270)
Receiving: J. Watson (163)
Touchdowns: T. Kelce (2)

Minnesota Vikings
Passing: K. Cousins (1214)
Rushing: A. Mattison (250)
Receiving: J. Jefferson (543)
Touchdowns: J. Jefferson (3)

Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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