by Rod Pearson
Friday, Sep 27, 2024
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, September 29, 2024
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chiefs -7, Chargers +7; Over/Under: 40 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chiefs -7, Chargers +7; Over/Under: 40 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chiefs -7, Chargers +7; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Season Record
Kansas City Chiefs: 3-0 (1st place, AFC West)
Los Angeles Chargers: 2-1 (2nd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Kansas City Chiefs: won their last game on the road against the Atlanta Falcons 22-17.
Los Angeles Chargers: lost their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 20-10.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers Preview and Analysis
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 22-17. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 26/39 passes for 217 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Carson Steele led the team in rushing yards with 72. Rashee Rice led the receivers with 110 receiving yards on 12 receptions and 1 TD. Nick Bolton led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Felix Anudike-Uzomah and Mike Pennel each led the defense in sacks with 1. Chamarri Conner came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Chargers are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 20-10. Justin Herbert was the starting QB and he completed 12/18 passes for 125 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. J.K. Dobbins led the team in rushing yards with 44. Ladd McConkey led the receivers with 44 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Daiyan Henley led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Derwin James Jr. and Khalil Mack each led the defense in sacks with 1. Bud Dupree came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Chiefs vs Chargers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked really good in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall. Their defense has looked really good in their games and now they are going to be playing their 1st division game of the season. Meanwhile, the Chargers have looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall, starting the Jim Harbaugh era on a good note. They are coming off their 1st loss of the season last week, losing on the road to the Steelers who are having a great 3-0 start to the season. The Chargers only gave up 20 points in that game and their defense has looked good in their games. Their offense did struggle in that one and Herbert also picked up an injury so that will be a problem with the Chiefs looking really good on defense themselves. The Chargers also have a lot more injuries to deal with for this game and even though the Chiefs offense hasn't been great in their first 3 games, they still have one of the best QBs in the league to get the job done against a banged up Chargers team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game.
Chiefs Chargers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 29, 2024 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 24 Chargers 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Kansas City Chiefs: 9-3 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 10-5 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 7-1 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more. 23-13 UNDER as a favorite. 10-2 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points. 11-3 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more.
Los Angeles Chargers: 3-6 ATS vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 235 or more passing yards/game. 2-6 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 yards/game or more. 23-13 UNDER in all games. 11-6 UNDER in home games. 10-3 UNDER versus division opponents.
Key Injuries
Kansas City Chiefs: M. Danna (DE) Injured - Calf. C. Conner (DB) Injured - Heel. N. Bolton (LB) Injured - Back. R. Rice (WR) Injured - Ankle. J. Watson (CB) Injured - Shoulder. D. Nnadi (DT) Injured - Triceps.
Los Angeles Chargers: S. Smartt (TE) Injured - Finger. K. Fulton (CB) Injured - Knee. R. Slater (T) Injured - Pectoral. D. Davis (WR) Injured - Hamstring. O. Ogbonnia (DT) Injured - Neck. T. Pipkins (T) Injured - Foot. J. Alt (OT) Injured - Knee. H. Hurst (TE) Injured - Achilles. J. Herbert (QB) Injured - Ankle. J. Bosa (OLB) Injured - Hip. K. Mack (OLB) Injured - Rest. J. Taylor (DB) Injured - Fibula. J. Colson (LB) Injured - Hamstring. J. Palmer (WR) Injured - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“It helps when you have a defense that’s been in those moments before and is able to make those big plays. It’s a team game and we’re winning games and I feel like we’re gonna start getting better and better each and every week.” - Patrick Mahomes after their win against the Falcons in their last game.
“Every time I think there's not another rung on the ladder he can go in my esteem, he climbs another one.” - Jim Harbaugh on Justin Herbert after his team’s loss against the Steelers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Watson, Justin
WR Worthy, Xavier
WR Rice, Rashee
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Steele, Carson
Los Angeles Chargers
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Fehoko, Simi
WR McConkey, Ladd
TE Hurst, Hayden
QB Herbert, Justin
RB Dobbins, J.K
FB Matlock, Scott
Statistical Leaders
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (659)
Rushing: I. Pacheco (135)
Receiving: R. Rice (288)
Touchdowns: X. Worthy (2)
Los Angeles Chargers
Passing: J. Herbert (399)
Rushing: J. Dobbins (310)
Receiving: Q. Johnston (133)
Touchdowns: Q. Johnston (3)
Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (12th season)
Los Angeles Chargers: Jim Harbaugh (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
