by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Nov 25, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, November 26, 2023
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chiefs -9, Raiders +9; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chiefs -9, Raiders +9; Over/Under: 43.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chiefs -9, Raiders +9; Over/Under: 43.5 points
Season Record
Kansas City Chiefs: 7-3 (1st place, AFC West)
Las Vegas Raiders: 5-6 (3rd place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Kansas City Chiefs: lost their last game at home against the Philadelphia Eagles 21-17.
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 20-13.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 21-17. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 24/43 passes for 177 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Isiah Pacheco led the team in rushing yards with 89. Justin Watson led the receivers with 53 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Justin Reid led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Chris Jones and Trent McDuffie each led the defense in sacks with 2. L'Jarius Sneed came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Raiders are entering this game with a 5-6 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 1-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 20-13. Aidan O'Connell was the starting QB and he completed 24/41 passes for 271 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 3 interceptions. Josh Jacobs led the team in rushing yards with 39. Davante Adams led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Trevon Moehrig-Woodard led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Maxx Crosby led the defense in sacks with 1. Isaiah Pola-Mao came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Raiders listed as a 9 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Raiders haven't looked great this season with their 5-6 record overall but they have looked a lot better in their games lately with their interim head coach taking over. They have also looked really good in their home games all year with their 4-1 home record. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are 7-3 overall this season but they haven't looked great in their games lately. They have taken 2 of their losses in the last few weeks and their offense has had a big problem in those games. They have been getting out to quick starts in their games but their offense has also been stalling in the 2nd half and it was a big reason for their loss last week to the Eagles. The Raiders have a big boost in the locker room with this new head coach taking over and they have looked a lot better in their last 3 games, even keeping their road game with the Dolphins close last week. The Raiders have looked a lot better in their home games all season and they will be able to keep this game close with the offensive issues the Chiefs have been having. The best way to place a bet here is on the Raiders to cover the spread in this game.
Chiefs Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 26, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 24 Raiders 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Kansas City Chiefs: 4-12 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 4-9 ATS off a non-conference game. 8-2 UNDER in all games. 5-1 UNDER after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game.
Las Vegas Raiders: 6-3 ATS after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games. 4-1 ATS in home games. 9-2 UNDER in all games. 10-3 UNDER after allowing 6 or more yards/play in their previous game.
Key Injuries
Kansas City Chiefs: M. Hardman Jr. (WR) Out indefinitely - Thumb. K. Toney (WR) Out Sun - Knee. J. McKinnon (RB) Out Sun - Groin. J. Williams (CB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. L. Sneed (CB) Prob Sun - Knee. D. Smith (OT) Prob Sun - Neck. R. James (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. N. Bolton (LB) Late Dec - Wrist. J. Ross (WR) Out indefinitely - Personal. B. Thompson (DE) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. P. Wanogho (OT) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. J. Fortson (TE) I-R - Shoulder. N. Johnson (S) I-R - Knee.
Las Vegas Raiders: J. Jones (DB) Prob Sun - Knee. T. Moehrig (S) Prob Sun - Back. M. Crosby (DE) Doub Sun - Knee. A. James (C) Prob Sun - Knee. R. Spillane (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. M. Epps (S) Ques Sun - Neck. B. Hoyer (QB) Ques Sun - Knee. R. Teamer (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. K. Miller (OT) Ques Sun - Shoulder. K. Mauga (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Facyson (CB) Out indefinitely - Shin. D. Wagner (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Brown (RB) I-R - Undisclosed. A. Walter (RB) I-R - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“I think offensively. I’m just not where I want to be at this point in the season.” - Patrick Mahomes after their loss against the Eagles in their last game.
“I’m learning how hard the NFL is and how hard it is to win. Kudos to our defense. They played so well in the second half. Kept us in the game. It comes down to our offense. Be better all around, and it starts with me.” - Aidan O’Connell after their loss against the Dolphins in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Valdes-Scantling, Marquez
WR Watson, Justin
WR Rice, Rashee
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Pacheco, Isiah
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Adams, Davante
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Renfrow, Hunter
TE Mayer, Michael
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Jacobs, Josh
Statistical Leaders
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (2619)
Rushing: I. Pacheco (614)
Receiving: T. Kelce (641)
Touchdowns: T. Kelce (5)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: J. Garoppolo (1205)
Rushing: J. Jacobs (661)
Receiving: D. Adams (741)
Touchdowns: J. Meyers (6)
Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (11th season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (Interim)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
