by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 24, 2024
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 27, 2024
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Chiefs -9.5, Raiders +9.5; Over/Under: 41 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Chiefs -9.5, Raiders +9.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Chiefs -9.5, Raiders +9.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
Kansas City Chiefs: 6-0 (1st place, AFC West)
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-5 (4th place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Kansas City Chiefs: won their last game on the road against the San Francisco 49ers 28-18.
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Rams 20-15.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
The Chiefs are entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the San Francisco 49ers 28-18. Patrick Mahomes was the starting QB and he completed 16/27 passes for 154 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 78 and 2 TDs. Noah Gray led the receivers with 66 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Justin Reid led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while George Karlaftis led the defense in sacks with 1. Justin Reid, Christian Roland-Wallace, and Jaden Hicks each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-5 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Los Angeles Rams 20-15. Aidan O'Connell was the starting QB and he completed 6/10 passes for 52 passing yards before getting replaced by Gardner Minshew II who completed 15/34 passes for 154 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Alexander Mattison led the team in rushing yards with 92. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Isaiah Pola-Mao led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Maxx Crosby led the defense in sacks with 1. Nate Hobbs came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 9.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs have looked great in their games this season with their 6-0 record overall and they are the only undefeated team left in the NFL. They are 3-0 in their road games this season and they are playing a team who they have been crushing in the division over the last few years. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-5 record overall which has them at the bottom of the AFC West with one of the worst records in the entire NFL. They are already 0-2 in their division games this season and they are 1-2 in their home games too. They are coming off another loss in their last one, losing to the Rams who have also been struggling a lot this season. The Chiefs have been really up and down on offense this season but they still have one of the best QBs in the league and they have been finding ways to get the job done in their games. They also have one of the best defenses in the NFL and that has been a key to their success over the last 2 seasons too. The Raiders are going to struggle to put up points on this defense that hasn't been giving up many points all year, and the Chiefs will be able to do enough on offense against this terrible Raiders defense to put this game out of reach. The best way to place a bet here is on the Raiders to cover the spread in this game.
Chiefs Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 27, 2024 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 27 Raiders 6.
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NFL Betting Trends
Kansas City Chiefs: 1-3 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 5-11 1H ATS as a road favorite. 2-6 1H ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less. 29-18 UNDER in all games. 25-13 UNDER as a favorite. 13-7 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.
Las Vegas Raiders: 7-3 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 7-3 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 9-4 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-3 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 9-4 UNDER versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 yards/game or more.
Key Injuries
Kansas City Chiefs: K. Hunt (RB) Injured - Hip. J. Reid (SAF) Injured - Hand. L. Chenal (LB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Hicks (DB) Injured - Ankle. J. Wiley (TE) Injured - Achilles. J. Smith-Schuster (WR) Injured - Hamstring. D. Nnadi (DT) Injured - Triceps. M. Danna (DE) Injured - Pectoral. M. Hardman (WR) Injured - Knee.
Las Vegas Raiders: H. Bryant (TE) Injured - Elbow. G. Minshew (QB) Injured - Elbow. J. Bennett (CB) Injured - Knee. A. Butler (DT) Injured - Hip. K. Miller (T) Injured - Elbow. M. Crosby (DE) Injured - Ankle. D. Parham (G) Injured - Foot. J. Meyers (WR) Injured - Ankle. K. Mauga (LB) Injured - Knee. T. Eichenberg (LB) Injured - Quad.
Notable Quotes
“We got plenty of room to improve on things. Eventually guys will start coming back. But the thing I appreciate the most are guys stepping up and then the other guys trusting them to step up and believing in them.” - Andy Reid after his team’s win against the 49ers in their last game.
“We’ve got to be smart with the ball. At the end, you’re trying to (take) a shot. I get that one. The other ones, got to do a better job.” - Antonio Pierce after his team’s loss against the LA Rams in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Kansas City Chiefs
WR Hopkins, Deandre
WR Watson, Justin
WR Worthy, Xavier
TE Kelce, Travis
QB Mahomes, Patrick
RB Hunt, Kareem
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Tucker, Tre
WR Bachman, Alex
WR Turner, DJ
TE Bowers, Brock
QB Minshew II, Gardner
RB Mattison, Alexander
Statistical Leaders
Kansas City Chiefs
Passing: P. Mahomes (1389)
Rushing: K. Hunt (249)
Receiving: R. Rice (288)
Touchdowns: X. Worthy (4)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: G. Minshew (1168)
Rushing: A. Mattison (250)
Receiving: B. Bowers (477)
Touchdowns: A. Mattison (4)
Coaches:
Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (12th season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
