Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/04/2026

Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, January 4, 2026

Venue:  Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -5.5, Raiders +5.5; Over/Under:  36.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -5.5, Raiders +5.5; Over/Under:  36.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Chiefs -5.5, Raiders +5.5; Over/Under:  36.5 points

Kansas City Chiefs:  6-10 (3rd place, AFC West)

Las Vegas Raiders:  2-14 (4th place, AFC West)

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Kansas City Chiefs:  lost their last game at home against the Denver Broncos 20-13.

Las Vegas Raiders:  lost their last game at home against the New York Giants 34-10.

The Chiefs are entering this game with a 6-10 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-4 in their home games, 1-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 20-13. Chris Oladokun was the starting QB and he completed 13/22 passes for 66 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Kareem Hunt led the team in rushing yards with 38. Travis Kelce led the receivers with 36 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Chamarri Conner led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Chris Jones led the defense in sacks with 1. Nick Bolton came away with the only interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-14 record overall and they have a 0-5 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-7 in their home games, 1-7 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Giants 34-10. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 20/28 passes for 176 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 60. Michael Mayer led the receivers with 89 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Devin White led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Tonka Hemingway and Malcolm Koonce each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Chiefs listed as a 5.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Chiefs haven't looked good in their games this season with their 6-10 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AFC West. They haven't been a good road team either with their 1-5 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-14 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AFC West with the worst record in the NFL. They have looked terrible on their home field too with their 1-7 home record this year. The Raiders have been one of the worst teams in the NFL lately, losing 10 games in a row now. They have a terrible defense that has been giving up a ton of points all year, and they have one of the worst offenses in the NFL too. They finally had a chance to snap their losing streak at home last week and get another win before the season ends, but they squandered that opportunity and ended up getting blown out by the Giants 34-10. This Raiders team has nothing left to play for here and as bad as this Chiefs team has looked lately, missing a lot of key players too, they did show some fight against the Broncos last week. They are off a 20-13 loss to the Broncos and they will be looking to finish a season that has been riddled with disaster, with a positive. Even with the injuries and some players not playing here, the Chiefs are built a lot better than the Raiders who have been a complete disaster under Pete Carroll all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Chiefs to cover the spread in this game. 

Chiefs Raiders Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 4, 2026 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Chiefs 13 Raiders 3.

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Kansas City Chiefs: 7-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 3-8 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 3-6 ATS vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season. 37-20 UNDER in all games. 11-2 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.

Las Vegas Raiders: 5-1 ATS at home after playing a game at home. 5-2 ATS at home after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 16-6 UNDER after playing a game at home. 9-5 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 10-4 UNDER off a home loss.

Kansas City Chiefs:  None.

Las Vegas Raiders:  None.

“I’ll let that be a decision I’ll make with my family, friends, the Chiefs organization when the time comes." - Travis Kelce on retiring after their loss against the Broncos in their last game. 

“That’s what we look like without those guys playing. Unfortunately, they’re that valuable to us. Everybody tried, everybody did everything they could and all that just wasn’t enough.” - Pete Carroll after his team’s loss against the Giants in their last game. 

WR Smith-Schuster, JuJu

WR Worthy, Xavier

WR Brown, Hollywood

TE Kelce, Travis

QB Oladokun, Chris

RB Pacheco, Isiah

WR Thornton Jr., Dont'e

WR Tucker, Tre

WR Lockett, Tyler

TE Mayer, Michael 

QB Pickett, Kenny

RB Jeanty, Ashton

Passing: Patrick Mahomes (3,587)

Rushing: Kareem Hunt (597)

Receiving: Travis Kelce (839)

Touchdowns: Kareem Hunt (9)

Passing: Geno Smith (3,025)

Rushing: Ashton Jeanty (888)

Receiving: Brock Bowers (680)

Touchdowns: Ashton Jeanty (10)

Coaches:

Kansas City Chiefs: Andy Reid (13th season)

Las Vegas Raiders: Pete Carroll (1st season)